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Argh! Am I being smart priced?

eCPM has halfed from 1st December onwards

         

whitenoise

11:56 am on Dec 4, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Hi everyone,

For me November was a extremely good month. I was getting EPC in the $2.5 - $3 range, clicks were high, earnings were consistently at record breaking levels - life was good.

1st December rolls round and suddenly EPC drops down to the $1 - $1.5 range, yet traffic and clicks remain about the same (roughly).

What’s going on?!

I can take a look at the website with the preview tool, but the biggest country of visitors, isn't mine, so the tool only gives you an approximation of the ads being displayed. I can ban any known offenders (like ring tone ads etc) but would this just be filling up the filters unnecessarily?

Can you good people offer any suggestions?

Thanks

John Carpenter

10:24 pm on Dec 11, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



It's quite obvious that this isn't yet another one of those usual AdSense fluctuations, which all of us know very well and which most of us learned to ignore. The timing, the sudden and almost precise 50% decrease in eCPM, along with unchanged CTR, unchanged traffic, and unchanged site content are more than just a coincidence or natural fluctuation. The response from the Italian AdSense team only seems to confirm this.

If any AdWords advertisers are reading this topic, I'd like to ask you a question: Do you now pay 50% less money for a click on legitimate (non-MFA) AdSense sites than you did before November 20?

drall

12:27 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



The recent change a few weeks ago at the beginning of Nov for the adwords side in relation to cpc costs for some advertisers on the content network has had interesting results for us.

Some of our sites have tripled in epc from already high epc numbers to outright insane.

Other sites of ours have seen a substantial drop in both epc and ctr, mostly ctr. This is due to google booting most of the aff/mfa crowd out of adwords which for the most part wrote great copy to gain clicks even if they were slightly deceptive or borderline.

Your site may fall within the same area as the sites we own that experienced this downturn.

Scurramunga

12:48 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Your site may fall within the same area as the sites we own that experienced this downturn.

After experiencing the downturn, today my ecpm is a almost triple of what is has been over the past three weeks or so

[edited by: Scurramunga at 12:51 am (utc) on Dec. 12, 2006]

G_Smitty

3:21 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



my ecpm also recovered a little today.

trinorthlighting

3:42 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Mine did as well. Its monday though and I still wonder if my niche advertises during the week only

hunderdown

3:59 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



Should we assume that comments from the Italian AdSense team apply to all the AdSense languages? Isn't it possible that there were particular targeting problems in the Italian program?

When describing the AdSense elephant, it's all too easy to assume that the piece in front of us is typical of the whole thing.

FWIW, I didn't see any big drop, either on Nov. 20 or Dec. 1., though there were a few down days that I attribute to Thanksgiving and shopping. As Scurramunga reports, great day today. But of course, in a program of this size, it's likely that the fact that we are both having a good day is a coincidence, not due to some X factor that is affecting both of us.

danimal

5:16 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



>>>Your site may fall within the same area as the sites we own that experienced this downturn.<<<

that could be a very astute observation.

you were not blocking mfa sites with your filter? or perhaps your sectors that were overrun with mfa'ers were well over the filter limit of 200 sites? i have blocked mfa'ers since day one.

my average epc started rising in september, now it's up to double what it was before that... but i'm getting killed today, so there is no universal pattern in this madness, and it's certainly not on a par with the italian comments.

i think that the average epc that any publisher out here is currently getting could change drastically, for better or worse.

rbacal

5:32 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



Just checking in. Today, our cpm is up 25% over daily average for the month. CTR up 25% over daily average. Obviously income is also up. Should be the best day in months.

Also re: dec versus nov. No real differences between the two months on any metrics.

As for tomorrow? Probably back down. We'll see.

tomthumb2000

8:58 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



we're also down half epcm for december - could it just be the christmas season when advertisers rely more on direct sales and TV advertising with less people at work on their PC's?

I know some travel sites whose epcm suffers in the summer as the travel industry just waits for the consumers to come to them.

whitenoise

10:37 am on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



No change in ecpm for me =(

What makes this situation worse is that Yahoo stupidly believes that the US is 'the whole world'. Consequently any other countries are deemed insignificant, so I can't use YPN to offset any loss in earnings.

On the bright side at least I'm a member of an exclusive club, oh wait....

mattg3

12:28 pm on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Yesterday totally increased ecpm today it doesn't look so good.

maxgoldie

5:41 pm on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



My theory on these sort of fluctuations is that we typically don't see them reported from some of the webmasters on this board who have older, more established sites (some that have been around since the mid-90s even). Its like G assigns some sort of algo rank analgous to PR (some sort or trust rank?) to these sites, and consequently they see less MFAs, less CPC./earnings fluctuations etc. And they are at the safer side of the "smart pricing" sliding scale too.

It makes sense in this way of looking at it; the older more established sites out there are a safer bet for advertisers who might feel some risk in the content network.

John Carpenter

7:08 pm on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



maxgoldie, I'm not sure how you know how old or established are the sites of the people who reported the 50% drop. Nobody has posted any URLs.

drall

9:43 pm on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



We have several authority sites that have been around quite some time and for us at least this has proven to be a nonfactor compared with our new sites.

Now some of our sites that have 1-3 million visits per month have a higher amount of advertisers targetting them then our new properties but in relation to epc/ctr/ron/psa etc we see no difference overall and I do not think this plays into the equation.

I think the change to adwords at the beginning of Nov is starting to show its full effects to many adsense publishers 4 weeks later. Our advert pool is of a much higher quality but moving trends on many of our high volume sites have been downwards, especially those of ours that were plaqued by mfas/arbi/aff folks.

This would make sense in the short term as the system recalibrates itself and pushes out good copy/poor payout inventory and makes way for real advertisers.

In regard to the earlier question asked of me, no we do not bother blocking MFA's. When you have literally tens of thousands of adverts to try and block because your site is so popular it would be a waste of time and resources.

3apa3a

10:24 pm on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Same problem: -50% since beginning of December (lowest eCPM for 2 years, CPM is near normal), +25% increase on monday and drop again :(

3apa3a

10:36 pm on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



typo: CPM -> CTR

Genuine1

11:51 pm on Dec 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Are all the ones with a solid constant drop of say 33 to 50 percent UK adsensers?

ElvisFan

12:57 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



With this latest adsense algo that have drop our income by 50%... I've been thinking how many are due to the fact that "maybe" it is because we have blog sites.

I have two (5 year old).com sites which have great traffic and one blog site that is just a directory that links back to all my site pages.

Just wondering if I tansfered my blog site to my .com site if that would help re-instate my income to my previous status?

fearlessrick

2:34 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



Elivs, I don't think blogs have much impact.

Overall, all my numbers are way up TODAY, especially EPC. Highest in months. Must be seasonal, or.... my new theory:

Nearing the end of quarter, G's algo has determined that G will meet Wall St. expectations and begins distributing more %/$ to publishers. Buy now. G will exceed estimates - again!

My reasoning? September was my best month ever (another end of quarter scenario).

Drum

3:33 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



fearlessrick,

I was also thinking that same way too.

yc168

3:52 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Congrat for those ecpm go back to normal.

my one looks like die flat now. going down another 20% again.

$100/day go down to less than $10/day

hunderdown

5:32 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)



Just to inject some historical perspective here--comparing Dec. 1-12 this year to last year, I'm up 40%, which surprised me. No change in traffic.

That's mostly due to improved EPC--CTR is up only slightly. I don't think I can conclude that I'm being paid more per click because I have a better site, though, because I did add a few pages that have attracted some better paying ads. How much of the improvement is due to that I can't say.

If you were in the program last year, I encourage you to take a look back. You may find you are doing better (or worse...) than you thought!

Drum

5:50 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Looking back last year for me I am down 50% for this year in terms of pay per click.

icedowl

6:02 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Getting about 2/3rds of last year. Sucks. Got hit by Big Daddy months ago and have never recovered. Fortunately there are ways to find my sites other than digging in Google and the folks are using them. Mostly Yahoo.

Scurramunga

6:14 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I've noticed that people here do mention YPN here as a possible alternative but there is no mention of Chitika.

John Carpenter

9:01 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



To answer some of the posed questions:

- We don't live in the UK.
- We don't have a blog.
- We don't have a MFA (haven't paid a cent for traffic).
- We have a legitimate established site.
- (I don't think it matters but: We get 10,000 unique visits a day on average.)
- Previous 6 months brought no noticeable fluctuations, but very stable income $4000 per month.

Genuine1

10:14 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Exactly the same as above here except I do live in the UK and stable for 3 years plus. Including all the other decembers! Perhaps they just decided to pay us less its their choice!

[edited by: Genuine1 at 10:17 am (utc) on Dec. 13, 2006]

Scurramunga

10:21 am on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



To answer some of the posed questions:

- We don't live in the UK.
- We don't have a blog.
- We don't have a MFA (haven't paid a cent for traffic).
- We have a legitimate established site.

.....and the same applies here too.

ElvisFan

12:18 pm on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



This "NEW" adsense reshuffle has brought my income down to its knees since late November.

I can't believe what's happening - my worse month so far with google (after 20 months) did better last December. I think google has got Santa by the throat.

I'm dying slowly (10 clicks = 3 cents) This can't be happening - must be a bad dream...

Green_Grass

12:41 pm on Dec 13, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Better than mine ..

10 Clicks = 0 Earnings..

All I guess are invalid?

Seems to be happening very often.

I guess, G needs some better numbers, for its shares to zoom up a bit more so that ....

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