he did predict this update and also there was a post from Barry from SERT that confirmed that the same Bill Lambert posted from the same IP etc when people where questioning if there was an impostor - not saying it never happens but the genuine one does seems to post often enough.
I did not see the post where Barry confirmed Bill was the same poster as before, but it's good Barry took the time to respond. It does look like some of his posts were deleted from the one post about the update rolling out. And it looks like there is a lot of Bill bashing going on in another. Which is why coming here to learn of the latest news is a far more pleasant experience.
@HereWeGo123
Do you think (or anybody here) that this logic can be attributed to the fact that on certain days, whether it’s this update, or other updates., confirmed or otherwise, or on just regular days, when organic rankings appear stable or even better than usual, the traffic is still lower?
Not to say that personalization doesn’t exist, But whatever happen to the mindset of just that sometimes certain keywords at certain times are simply not searched by users? Or some days you just don’t rank as highly as other days? Or some days when google is releasing something, there’s a lot of flux in many of your keywords, which results in less people naturally landing on your page?
Many of us operate in industries where search volume and conversions will vary by day. For example, the products my company manufactures and sells to consumers are often researched during the week and purchased on Saturday and Sunday. The reason for this is the average consumer needs to do some investigating to determine which of our products will work for them, and if they fail to do this then what they order will not work. On weekends B2B searches and conversions mostly come to a stop since most businesses are closed on weekends. Likewise, a website about movies will likely see increases in traffic on the weekends while ski resorts will likely see traffic increases after a snow event. These are all naturally occurring and expected events. When it comes to personalization, that's a different story since ranking can change by the minute.
Since we know little about personalization as it pertains to organic search results, we can look to Adwords as an example of the signals they use for paid ads. Those "contextual" signals are publicly posted and are:
Device
Physical location
Location intent
Weekday & time of day
Remarketing list
Ad characteristics
Interface language
Browser
Operating system
Demographics (Search and Display)
Actual search query (Search and Shopping)
Search Network partner (Search only)
Web placement (Display only)
Site behavior (Display only)
Product attributes (Shopping only)
Mobile app ratings (coming soon)
Price competitiveness (coming soon for Shopping)
Seasonality (coming soon for Shopping)
See: [
support.google.com...] under automated bidding signals
Expand the signal categories on the page above, and Google will provide examples. Under the demographics signal, Google provides the following example:
For a toy retailer, bids may be adjusted if someone has been identified as likely being a parent and is more likely to convert on an ad promoting a new line of educational toys.
This is what Google posts, but there are many other signals that the Chrome browser and other data collection points can provide Google. For example, if a person visits Amazon then goes to Google to search for a product, should Google display Amazon pages in the SERPS at all or demote them? A user that came from Amazon to Google performing a product search likely has a high intent of buying and whichever ads and organic results are displayed are all competing for this buyer. If a different user came to Google from a webpage that describes how to build a picnic table, that user is less likely to buy a pre-assembled picnic table.
The machine learning Google uses for smart bidding in paid ads gives us some insight into how they may handle personalization for organics. Though the output may be different, Google has to profile every visitor in order to serve ads and that info can easily be carried over into what they display in organics. We can check our rank using a different IP address/browser in ten different locations across the USA, at the same time, and at least in half the queries our keyword will rank in different locations.