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How many of you entirely depend on Google for survival?

         

irock

9:04 am on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



We all know Google traffic account for a lot of our revenue, but how many of you here are totally depend on Google... say for example, if Google ranks dropped, you instantly lose 40% of the revenue. My content site, which gets 80% of the visitors from SE, survives on Google traffic.

Any comments?

dvduval

4:21 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



The question posed was: How many of you entirely depend on Google for survival?

I think a better question would be: If Google were to shut down tomorrow, how would you survive? Or, if your site was permanently banned from Google tomorrow, how would you survive?

My answer: Even though I don't get nearly as much traffic from other search engines, there is sure to be a formidable Google competitor sooner or later. First, I try to make sure I'm ranking well at other places. These include: Inktomi, Alltheweb, and Teoma. I think it is important to stay informed of developments by the "Tier 2" search engines.

Secondly, I try to stay informed on paid advertising. I'm sure most people in this forum are worried that the end of free advertising through search engines may one day come to an end. For that reason, it is always good to have a plan ready if the need to pay for advertising arises. BTW, I don't currently pay for advertising. I prefer to spend money on site development.

Finally, no matter how careful you may be, there is always the possibilty that a site can be banned or not get spidered due to an outage. For that reason, I think it is important to have at least one other domain on a different server as a backup as insurance.

c1bernaught

6:03 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Anyone here worried about what Froogle may do to your business?

javascripter

6:19 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Not really worried. I'm sure being that you, me, and everyone else in this room stay up all night conjuring up ways to enhance our websites for Google. I'm sure in 6 months we'll all be listed on there and looking back laughing at how worried we were.

quotations

6:33 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Across about 100 sites and a couple of hundred thousand page views per day, the average is about 23% google and about 25% other google partners.

Sometimes google can go as high as 45% but Yahoo (google results) never seem to go above 25%

Altavista runs at 1-2%
MSN runs about 1%
Looksmart runs about 1%

10-15% comes from top sites lists related to the topic of each site.

5-10% comes from topical search engines which search multiple related sites and are attached to each site.

Most of the rest comes from links in the mailing lists and direct visitors.

These results are highly seasonal and highly volatile.
Repeat visitors and word of mouth help a lot when people are not searching for "Christmas <widgets>"

Results can also change radically right after each dance, as we all know.

Sometimes a new index will cause a big drop in traffic but then the people seem to come back in a week or two as they learn to "work around" the new index and start finding what they really want again.

lgn

7:56 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)



I have been in business for five years and Google,
Yahoo and partners account for no more than 10 - 15% of referals tops.

The trick is to find alternate ways to bring in web traffic. Being totatly dependent on one search engine, and worst a small set of keywords is a recipe for failure.

If your web site is relatively new, your Google and Yahoo numbers will by high (if you are well ranked). However with time, they should drop as you find alternative sources of traffic.

The word is diversify.

UKNick

8:21 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



UK Targeted Web Site:

Google 48%
MSN 14%
Google
Partners 12%
Links 9%
Others 17%

DVDUVAL, if Google shut down people would have to use other search engines.

Finally, although our site is rated 2 on All The Web, we get practically nothing in terms of hits from them.

c1bernaught

8:41 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Umm... Froogle doesn't allow affiliate sites. How many of us both rely on Google for traffic and also run affiliate sites?

Dante_Maure

9:00 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I think a better question would be: If Google were to shut down tomorrow, how would you survive? Or, if your site was permanently banned from Google tomorrow, how would you survive?

I cannot more strongly echo the sentiments already expressed by fathom, drduval, and lgn.

If Google is directly providing more than 50% of your business revenue I highly recommend taking a healthy portion of your proceeds and investing them into the development of more stable income streams.

You also need to think about leveraging your current traffic into a long term benefit beyond the SE's.

For example... having a top 5 site in your niche with heavy traffic can be capitalized upon when negotiating the near infinite range of Joint Venture possibilities that exist.

Sit down and try to think of at least 5 ways in which you can leverage your current SE success into benefits that will last far beyond today's traffic.

Your current SE traffic can be your business life-line, or a springboard driving you business on to even greater things.

Personally, I think it's folly to hang the life or death of your financial well being on shifting sands.

Do everything you can to mix the sand with some cement paste, and you'll wind up with a concrete foundation... rather than quicksand.

[edited by: Dante_Maure at 9:03 pm (utc) on Dec. 30, 2002]

BigDave

9:01 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



fathom has the right idea. The best example I can think of is a suppliment site that I found back in the day that WebCrawler was king, even before AV.

They play the return customer game very smart. They also work hard on alternate marketing methods.

Their prices are low, but not the lowest. They have great customer service. They have a set UPS ground shipping charge, no matter how much you buy.

They send out a weekly email newsletter that I always open to read their cartoons. It also has a list of health related articles that they link to at the bottom, and of course a column of ads along the side that I mostly ignore.

They also have a monthly newsletter with articles written specifically for them.

All their item pages have a quick description and the nutritional label from the product, then at the bottom there is often a more indepth article about the product, and links to other pages if you want even more information.

If you spend over $50 you get a sports bottle or a t-shirt. If you spend over $200 you get a decent quality gym bag with their URL plastered on it.

They have an afiliate program that pays quite well.

I will occasionally do a search on what I buy to see how much others are charging. There are lower prices, but by the time I'm done it would cost as much or more, so I go with the company I know, that has earned my trust.

While doing my searches, the site I do business with rarely comes up in the first few pages. It is a competitive field. But of the people i know that order online, most of them buy from this company due to word of mouth marketing and customer loyalty.

I personally think that the weekly e-mails with the cartoons is their best marketing gimmick. it is something that you want to open, and it reminds you that they are there. I rarely read the rest of the e-mail, but I am reminded of the company weekly.

Google cannot provide you with a guaranteed income as well as return shoppers.

bobmark

9:58 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I think part of these seemingly endless similar discussions on this topic are the result of people talking at cross purposes. I get A LOT of my traffic from Google and it's feed partners. This is because they are the most popular with searchers. I rank just as highly or moreso in other SE's but I can't make the public use them, so as long as Google is dominant it will be the majority of my web referrals.
I think when a lot of people on here post on this, they are talking about their web traffic and there are always posts about diversification. In my case I have other means of doing business and I pursue other internet marketing options, so when I say the majority of my traffic comes from Google that does not mean I passively sit around and pray that it continues to happen, it means on the topic open for discussion - which is referrals from SE's - I am currently dependent on Google referrals.
As to the posed question "What if Google shut down?" this is pointless. If Google declines it will be because one or more SE's topple it. As long as I rank well in them, why worry?

turk182

10:07 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Bobmark
As to the posed question "What if Google shut down?" this is pointless

The problem is not "What if Google shuts down" but "What if Google ban/drops me". In the first case, people would use other search engines, so if your are good positioned there you'd have no problems. What I think we are discussing here is more the second case. If Google is your main source of referrals, and you get dropped/banned, you're out of business.

AAnnAArchy

10:15 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



turk182
The problem is not "What if Google shuts down" but "What if Google ban/drops me". In the first case, people would use other search engines, so if your are good positioned there you'd have no problems. What I think we are discussing here is more the second case. If Google is your main source of referrals, and you get dropped/banned, you're out of business.

I suppose then it would also depend on how many sites you own. Unless you own a big huge link farm, then you shouldn't lose all of your sites no matter what the worst case scenario.

Most of my traffic comes from Google, Yahoogle, AOL...because that's what surfers use the most. I have excellent rankings at ATW, but they're currently useless. If Google disappears, I would expect other search engines, which don't send much traffic now, to start sending a lot more traffic. Those that are using search engines currently *have* to go somewhere if they're not using Google.

If I get one site banned (for whatever reason), then I have one waiting in the wings to replace it. That said, I hope to keep my record pristine and not ever have to deal with a ban.

AAnn

bobmark

10:16 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I agree with you, Turk182.
It would be interesting to know how many actual occurrences there are of legitimate sites dropped NOT through their own errors (there is a current example on another thread of over imaginative scripting that inadventently blocked Googlebot).
I know the term "legitimate" is loaded. While I may not have much sympathy www.widgetsporn.com, widgetteenporn.com, etc. getting banned, I suppose they are legitimate businesses ,but it would be interesting to know realistic the fears we all share of an out-of-the-blue ban are.

web_india

10:34 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Are there search engines other than Google? :)

BigDave

10:50 pm on Dec 30, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



It would be interesting to know how many actual occurrences there are of legitimate sites dropped NOT through their own errors (there is a current example on another thread of over imaginative scripting that inadventently blocked Googlebot).

Um, I'm not positive what example you are referring to, but that sure sounds like it IS through their own error.

From http://www.google.com/webmasters/guidelines.html

Use a text browser such as Lynx to examine your site, because most search engine spiders see your site much as Lynx would. If fancy features such as Javascript, cookies, session ID's, frames, DHTML, or Flash keep you from seeing all of your site in a text browser, then search engine spiders may have trouble crawling your site.

Dante_Maure

12:03 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



on the topic open for discussion - which is referrals from SE's - I am currently dependent on Google referrals.

This thread's topic is not about what SE's you are dependent upon for referrals.

How many of you entirely depend on Google for survival?

"survival" implies a specific inquiry into whether one's business is dependent upon what is currently the internet's number one source of search engine referrals.

This doesn't ask whether you are dependent on Google vs. other engines for search referrals. It asks whether the survival of your business hangs upon Google referrals alone.

As such, I believe a discussion about diversification (far beyond just the SE's) is entirely on topic, and a natural response to the issue being raised.

markh8624

12:30 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



We received - until our educational site was banned four months ago - about 50% of our new user registrations from Google.

Is our survival dependent upon Google? That will depend on our ability to quickly build up traffic offsetting this huge loss from other sources, using PPC, PR, and other methods.

Jakpot

1:11 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



50% from Google - Could survive

BigDave

1:26 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Mark,

You aren't banned. Saying that you were just adds to the hysteria. You were dropped due to a network issue. There is a huge difference.

If you were banned, you should go ahead and have those layoffs now, or switch domains.

Powdork

1:29 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Our restaurant's site was dropped from google during May do to a large scale outage that affected many sites. We survived (it was only one month). It led me to Google Groups, WW and other forums which landed me squarely in the webmaster/SEO business. Now I can't get out. Don't ever get dropped from G!;)

markh8624

1:47 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



BigDave -

You might be right that we are not 'banned' but I don't think you can be absolutely sure at this point, right? I think your diagnosis that our problem has been caused by slow Google DNS updates may be accurate. Hard to know at this point.

I am getting 2 conflicting viewpoints (no one seems absolutely sure) from various SEO forums regarding why our site had its listings completely disappear from Google and why our domain is non-existent when you search on it with Google:

1. Google has a very slow DNS updating schedule (your diagnosis of this situation) - a problem with Google;
2. Google has banned the site due to not meeting its content quality standards - a problem with us not understanding or properly implementing Google's 'rules' for inclusion (and the experts we've shown this to can't seem to find which 'rule' we are breaking);

Time will tell which one is correct - or if both are correct.

The effect is the same: 4 months without traffic from Google has dramatically affected our traffic.

BigDave

2:01 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Mark,

I am sure that you should not be using the word banned when you are *almost certainly* not banned. If you say you were dropped it would cover both possiblities.

If you read the message from google, you will notice that they do not say you were banned, they say it was lacking in quality to receive PageRank. Being unable to find the page would definitely be a lack of quality issue.

Banning is not what happens to people who commit minor offences, they receive a penalty. Banning happens when you do something really, really bad.

It is not in your best interest to refer to yourself as being banned, unless you are certain that you have been. Googlebot has returned to your site, it is looking at pages other than / , I would have to say that I am 98%+ certain that you have not been banned. Is that sure enough for you?

Once again, saying you are banned when you are not banned just adds to the general paranoia that it is in fact a common occurance.

Visi

3:37 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Think bobmark hit the nail on the head a few posts back...I can't control where people looking for the information on my site, decide to enter their search criteria. Odds are though it will be at Google or Yahoo. Based on that, yes our survival depends on the Google listings, Although our site is lited in all the other major search engines, our visitors are 80% from those affiliated with the Google listing. Nothing we can do about it...its the nature of the search world today.

Mawge

5:29 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Ditto on the above comment.

At the moment I am dependent on Google. But if Google went away tomorrow, people would search somewhere else. And they would still find my site.

Mawge

5:35 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Holy smokes. Thanks for the wakeup call. I used to be listed in all the other major engines, but because my site is doing well with earnings I must admit I haven't checked in a while. It is not in several smaller "major" engines! I will work to correct that, so that if Google does go away anytime in the near future my site can still be found elsewhere.

papercut

8:35 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



my understanding is that yahoo is positioning to buy another major search engine and go into competition w/ google. i cant remember the name - i am sure its the inka..whatever search engine.. ( i will look it up and come back and post it. ) but in any case, seems like heavy dependence will be a bad thing in the near future.

Tor

8:37 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



25% from Google. Will survive. :)

Dante_Maure

8:53 am on Dec 31, 2002 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



my understanding is that yahoo is positioning to buy another major search engine and go into competition w/ google. i cant remember the name - i am sure its the inka..whatever search engine..

It happened a week ago papercut...

Yahoo Purchases Inktomi [webmasterworld.com]

wasmith

3:33 am on Jan 1, 2003 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Search engine traffic 2/3 google and 1/3 msn, provide 80% of new visitors.

I would survive without google. I get enough traffic from established links that the website can exist without any search engine traffic.

But i would have to cut back on updates, and content. Most of my valuable traffic (which pays for the effort) only needs the information untill they buy. then they don't need it again for many years (at least thats their hope, the affiliates hope, and mine).

Search engine traffic is very important because that provides the <metaphoricly> new leads </metaphoricly> It may take a month or two for those leads close but search engines provide most of them.

So with that big a lose i would need to cut back on what i put into the websites.

jpalmer

12:51 am on Jan 7, 2003 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Reminds me of a salient story in legendary advertising man David Ogilvy's best seller "Confessions of an Advertising Man".

His fledgling ad agency was offered the British Airways account, but its value would have made up more than 20% of his total turnover. As he had a rule (I call it the Ogilvy Rule) to the effect that "if you have more than 20% of your income coming from a single source, then you should either get more business which will dilute the value of the account or decline the business". (He declined the business at the time!)

I thought it was very sensible when I first read it many years ago, and find it useful to remember the "Ogilvy Rule" when analysing the many number crunching aspects of our business.

It means I work hard on reciprocal links, regional directories, newsgroups and email lists to get traffic to the sites I'm responsible for, to ensure that the Olgilvy threshold doesn't get breached. (A task increasingly time consuming with the closures, mergers and machinations going on in the SE world!)

BTW, you all know by now that google.com.au is alive and well?

A peaceful and prosperous 2003 to all.

Hooroo
JP

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