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A Gartner analyst predicts the demise of the computer mouse in the next three to five years.
Taking over will be so called gestural computer mechanisms like touch screens and facial recognition devices.
IMO, this is not going to happen, at least not for many years to come, if at all. The mouse is used for everything--it's simple to use, inexpensive, very versatile, and in my opinion can do things that other input devices cannot. There may be other technologies for input devices for such things as gaming consoles, cell phones, etc... however as far as the desktop/laptop is concerned, I'm not sure there is going to be much change.
What do you think? You think the mouse is on its way out?
In any case it all sounds pretty cool, can't wait to see what's next!
The touch interface was invented way back in 1971, and it is perfect for a whole range of applications. In fact, it's helped generate new applications that would have been impractical for a mouse. Think of point of information kiosks, think of point of sale cash registers at restaurants, etc. It's helped create the touchscreen-based phone. However, it has not replaced the mouse and keyboard in the vast majority of consumer computer interfaces.
I'd like to be proved wrong, but, I think it'll be more than a few years before alternative technology replaces the mouse in the vast majority of general applications for the consumer.
The mouse/touchpad/trackpoint concept will survive for as long as large screens survive. If we move to little screens mounted like spectacles, then a replacement may be necessary (for the keyboard too).
In specialist and ultra-portable devices, touch screens (and other technologies) will always be useful but not in PCs as we know them today.
Personally, I think the trackpoint is best pointing device.
I have a logitech G5 gaming mouse and it's so sweet. I could never be so accurate with my gestures. I can get a single pixel with my mouse in photoshop. I have a real hard time doing that with my WACOM. If I need to be accurate, I can't beat my mouse.
So, I guess I will be a skeptic for some time to come.
Just try holding your arms up in front of you and time how long it takes for them to start dropping on their own. Add lots of arm movements to that and you're going to be lucky to last a full minute.
Touchscreens are absolutely useless for anything but kiosks where use is short and limited. Or maybe wall mounted monitoring stations in server rooms, hospitals, or anything that will be quick, limited use.
I would love a ..horizontal lcd with touch and with keyboard ( as a touch on a button to "flip" to keyboard ..touch another to go to standard touch screen ..and still with wacom pen options would be great ) ..hint to wacom ..around 17 to 19 inches would do fine ..
problem is it will either be a long time coming ..or as usual ( where I am wacom are expensive ..about twice US cost ..) like their current big touch screen Cintiq 21 around €2500.00...here .cordless would be nice too ..with RRFC ..
interesting that visualplanet foils go upto 116" ..nice size for a desktop ..makes me think of the machine that Bjork uses the "reactable" and other touchscreen synths ..
"painter" on a touchscreen is real interesting ..
This Gartner analyst will most likely be fired soon due to stupid predictions such as this.