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29% of Internet users purchased something from spam email

         

sgietz

12:55 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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"Security company Marshal reports that their latest survey found 29% of respondents willing to admit that they have purchased something from a spam e-mail."

[readwriteweb.com...]

This blew my mind. I thought the number could be no higher than 5%. No wonder spam is alive and well.

[edited by: caveman at 6:25 pm (utc) on Aug. 25, 2008]
[edit reason] Added quote. [/edit]

caveman

6:26 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I have to admit that blew me away too.

There have been a few really good spam emails that were so professional and interesting that I gave the related site a serious look (after cutting and pasting the URL, NOT clicking it) ... but something about the mere fact of them being promoted via spam was enough to stop me.

Lord Majestic

6:46 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Can't be true. Most certainly bad extrapolation of data from wrong target group - if you look at the poll on the page and vote you will see (right now) 95% did not buy from spam - even that seems too low.

In fact the rest of the article talks about how dodgy this "poll" looks like: "The study was of just over 600 respondents who visited the Marshal website.". Like who visits their site to buy their stuff, people who buy from spam emails?

LifeinAsia

7:04 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I agree- 600 votes is certainly NOT representative of "Internet users" as a whole. How do people find their site? By clicking on a SPAM message that says "Click here to take a survey" or something like that?

[edited by: LifeinAsia at 7:11 pm (utc) on Aug. 25, 2008]

pageoneresults

7:07 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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This blew my mind. I thought the number could be no higher than 5%. No wonder spam is alive and well.

Ya, got me too! I don't believe it. I'd like to see that same survey done with a much larger group and with a more controlled environment that isn't influenced by the author in any way. It is really hard to tell in this instance but after reading the About the Author and what they do for a living, I'd say the article is biased.

Marshal's research, which asked ‘What purchases have you made from spam,’ attracted 622 responses with 29.1 percent indicating that they had made purchases.

622 responses? Web based survey? On his own site? Come on now. :)

About the Survey
Marshal's research results are derived from a web-based survey hosted on the Marshal website during June and July 2008. Respondents were asked to select the types of products they had purchased via spam email campaigns from a list of the most commonly spammed products.

Marshal provides customers with a complete portfolio of policy-driven email and Internet solutions that integrate content filtering, compliance, secure messaging and archiving.

<added> I see there were two replies while I was doing mine. We're all on the same track here. In the crapper with this survey! :)

incrediBILL

7:16 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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This is not surprising because I've always said that spammers wouldn't spam if idiots didn't buy from the spam. People don't waste time and money doing marketing that doesn't pay at the end of the day so it's the idiots among us that keep the spammers spamming.

Blame those 29% on all the hassles you have with email, it's all their fault.

pageoneresults

7:23 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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This is not surprising because I've always said that spammers wouldn't spam if idiots didn't buy from the spam.

But its a numbers game isn't it? I mean, I thought the return on email spam like this was in the less than 1% range? Its all about sending out email in the millions for that small but lucrative return from that less than 1%. What am I missing? Are the numbers really this high?

We sometimes forget that some of those idiots could be close relatives of ours. You know, like Mom, Dad, Grandmom, Grandpop, etc. :)

Lord Majestic

7:28 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I did plenty of legit email marketing (sending emails to opt-in customers of the company I worked for) in 2000-2002 and there was no way to get such high response rate even to legit targeted emails - 29% figure is completely bogus.

incrediBILL

7:32 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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You know, like Mom, Dad, Grandmom, Grandpop, etc.

My entire family is anti-spam so I'm not worried about them plus the only way Dad, Grandmom, and Grandpop could buy something is if they can spam the dead.

Even at a lower 1%, that's still a lot of idiots that need to be rounded up and educated.

Maybe when the cops bust spammers they should get the customer lists and force them all to attend a mandatory email school and stop them from buying off spam ;)

Perhaps making it a crime to do business with spammers with a $1K fine per incident (purchase) would stop the nonsense and one customer list would be a nice payday for the agency busting the spammer, which would probably escalate the anti-spam enforcement efforts drastically if there was more in it for the government.

jimbeetle

7:36 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Are the numbers really this high?

I don't see how they could be. Heck, a good old-fashioned, highly-targeted, split-tested, snail-mailed direct marketing campaign is considered a success at 3 to 4 percent.

buckworks

7:38 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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29% figure is completely bogus.

A person would only have to buy from a spammer once, ever, to be counted among the 29%.

Lord Majestic

7:46 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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A person would only have to buy from a spammer once, ever

If you assume this was the case then taking over last 5 years it would mean that 5.8% of users bought each year, this is still a huge number - if response rate was that good then spammers would have billions, which they did not - millions yes, but response rate is nowhere near this figure - no way. I would certainly need something more than totally unscientific poll of 600 people on some site that deals with spam. Stalin would blush when faced with this kind of statistics!

Lord Majestic

8:09 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Let's just think logically here: if buy rate is so high then you'd hear a lot of recomendations about good deals and how it all works. On the other hand if it worked THAT well for totally unknown shops selling dodgy stuff then there would be lots of spam emails that just have one objective - get your credit card without actually delivering any product, frankly (I never bought from spam emails and never will) anyone would need to be totally naive to buy from those dodgy shops - there simply can't be that many people who did it.

Perhaps they confused spam and legit email marketing newsletters and meant to say whether they bought something as the result of email? Then in this case I'd agree 29% is probably about right, possibly too low - but definatly not when it comes to real spam emails.

sgietz

8:32 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



The article cautions the reader to take the number with a grain of salt. This was not exactly a scientific study, BUT even if the numbers are off by 50% it's a shocker!

There should be a real study on this after seeing this little article.

caveman

8:50 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I'm not going to defend the numbers because who the heck knows how the poll was conducted. But having thought about it, I can see the possibility of this being in the ballpark.

Re polls, 600 people is easily enough to be projectable, at least within a 5-10% margin of error. Whether it actually is projectable depends on how the people were found, how they were qualified, their alignment with the overall Web user base, etc.

But even if the real number is only half of 29%, or 14.5%, that number is lower than the Forrester research which was said to be similar in nature (I've not seen it) and put the number around 20%.

And you can't look at this like a one-time action. These are aggregated numbers. So as buckworks points out, even if we only assume 5 years of email experience, that is 1,825 days of email, at perhaps average 10 spam messages per day (I receive thousands per day and about 20-30 hit my mailbox after filtering). But at 10/day that's 18,250 exposures. A 1% open rate = 182 opens. A .5% conversion on those opens gets me my purchase.

Combine that with the fact that many of the things being bought are by far most accessible to potential users via email or Web sites ("pirated software, knock-off watches, counterfeit designer goods, cheap drugs and prescription medicines, pornography and other adult material"). That is the kind of stuff that, frankly, lots of people are looking for, and pre-Internet, was harder to find. Helllo email.

Finally add to that the fact that the spam emailers are more experienced in what works and converts, have gotten more more clever, and sometimes now look like real "reputable" companies, and it all starts to seem plausible.

Who knows what the real number is, but when the International mobs have been playing for a long time now, you know that the money is big. Can't be all just low-lifes and degenerates buying the stuff.

pageoneresults

8:54 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I'd really like to see those original emails that people purchased from. What are they classifying as email spam? Surely someone didn't purchase from one of those borked Viagra emails?

I've been running targeted email campaigns for years. That 29% figure just doesn't jive. I won't even go for half that, nor a quarter of that.

I want to see those emails that people purchased from!

caveman

9:01 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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POR, where do you think people are going to get their pirated software, non-scripted scripts, knock-off bags and watches, and especially porn? Not everyone is flying to NYC to grab the latest fashion at 80% off.

I wouldn't be surprised if the porn category alone accounted for a large bit of this. The people who buy porn subs aren't getting them from Ikea or the local, erm, strip mall. ;-)

incrediBILL

9:13 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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There should be a real study on this after seeing this little article.

A real study wouldn't work because that would require all those men with E.D. hiding in the closet to admit they bought those little blue pills via spam.

LifeinAsia

9:58 pm on Aug 25, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Perhaps they confused spam and legit email marketing newsletters and meant to say whether they bought something as the result of email?

That's what I originally thought as well. The survey question specifically asked about buying from SPAM e-mail messages, but I wonder if many people took a very loose definion that included legit opt-in marketing.

sgietz

5:40 am on Aug 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Knowing that people fall for those "I'm such and such from Africa and my late uncle has deposited a sum of $8,000,000,00 .... blah blah blah" emails, I'm not so sure anymore that this number is so far off.

My wife's aunt has fallen for more than one email scams, and I would say she represents the average Internet user over the age of 30.

caveman

6:25 pm on Aug 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Well one thing is for sure. Whether it's 10%, 20% or more, it's eye opening and thought-provoking and has me thinking it's time once again to chat to family and friends about the parts of the Web they may not understand so well.

One thing I'd be curious about is how many people who paid something got scammed after being spammed. :P

pageoneresults

6:35 pm on Aug 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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One thing I'd be curious about is how many people who paid something got scammed after being spammed.

If the percentage of who purchased is even close to accurate, I'm going to guess that they were valid promotional offers and someone classified them as spam since they were not opt-in recipients maybe? Studies like that leave way to many questions...

sgietz

1:17 pm on Aug 27, 2008 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I'd like to see a breakdown of items purchased, although I have my suspicions. :)