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I would assume that most of use use WordTracker and its fair to say it is pretty accurate. (unless someone knows different)
We have to accept that there are many factors involved in achieving quality traffic, so What makes visitiors click what they click.
Okay, we can't get unlimited access to such resources but I would think that there must be a benchmark or method enabling us to predict potential click-throughs.
The internet is mature enough to have certain models now, clearly 100% accuracy is impossible, but trend forecasting is possible.