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p.s I don't think anyone can reliably predict the update - I've checked through the archives and the evidence just isn't there.
I also don't think Google are messing with our heads. Better to wait and not having serious problems i.e good sites disappearing all over the place.
I guess I just feel that Google is kinda like Disneyworld - there are a lot of people waiting to get on the ride, only a few people on the ride at this moment, and a growing number of people who have been on the ride. I figure it's quite possible that "Disneyworld" has opened for the month, but the initial updates might be "favored" sites which are used in the calculation of other sites.
Maybe I just don't have a clue what I'm talking about...<grin>