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1.Intel company sell 6.7 billion value of CPU in Asian area, and they admitted China market occupy over 50%. 6.7 billion make equal to Intel¡¯s 1/3 markets in the world.
2.The China market grows at least 30% on computer every year. The new computer shops open every month in the markets. By above data, China would accept over 5 billion intel¡¯s CPU in 2003. If intel owned 75% market share, it means that China market need near 7.5 billion computer¡¯ CPU. ( the AMD and VIA CPU is also very popular in China)
3.Intel refuse to reveal the true sales quantity in China, as we Chinese know, the smuggle problem is still serious here for the reason of custom rate, so , even government don¡¯t admit intel¡¯s import quantity, it won¡¯t proof that intel don¡¯t sell so much.
4.To kick out the CPU not used in pc, China need about 5 billion personal computer CPU. One CPU counted average 100 USD(include VIA low price CPU, there would be a market 50,000,000 pcs of CPU.
5.Now almost all city citizens owned computer or plan to buy computer in two years, in about 50 cities in China. These city population reach up to 400,000,000.
6.By another way to calculate the data: the biggest computer seller, Legend computer sell 12,000,000 pcs of computers in 2002. By the market share, Legend get about 20% market share by the reason that most Chinese buy DIY computer to avoid software price. That¡¯s to say, Chinese need at least 60,000,000 computer this year.
7.So, China would soon to have 150,000,000 computers in 2004¡¯s end and reach 200,000,000 by 2005 to exceed the States.
This is why Google try to enter China market, and it¡¯s said that google already prepare for some filtration word to meet China government¡¯s demand. This is a secret. But the MARKET IS NOT A SECRET.
Secondly you are citing market figures but you forget to mention that market is about money, Google gets rich through advertising... The strength (ha, weakness) of the yuan is such that the income from an adwords system is bound to be pitiful, unless the main subscribers are international firms. This of course, will not help google again, as chinese mainland companies will not be able to afford to show up in the adwords, google will look 100% a foreign service.
Just my notes.