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H1N1 now 'Out Of Control' in the UK.

         

g1smd

2:11 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Predictions of up to 100 000 new cases per day by the end of August, in a country with 60 million population.

engine

2:29 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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It annoys me when they make these predictions.

We could all do something to minimize the spread, and one of those things to wash our hands regularly.

It's difficult to get kids to do that, but as adults, common sense tells us we should be doing that anyway.

One thing to bear in mind, most people will not suffer greatly, beyond the normal flu symptoms. Only the infirm, elderly, and certain groups are at greater risk.

Time to leave the country, methinks. Anyone fancy a trip to Mexico? ;)

mack

2:38 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Yea I read that in a BBC article also. I think the importaint factor to take into account is we don't yet know any true numbers. We know about suspected cases, probable cases and confirmed, but out of the thousands who have been diagnosed, there could be even more who have had the virus and just went on with normal life. I know two people who have had it and to them it was just like any other flu virus.

Things realy need to be kept in rational context. It may be a pandemic, but pandemic doesn't mean more dangerous to people who become infected. Pandemic simply means we have little or no resistance to it so the virus can spread very quickly through the population. Every year millions of people die of the flu, this strain h1n1 is just getting all the attention. The flu in general can be potentially lethal for people with underlying medical conditions, this outbreak is the same. the virus its self is no more harmfull than regular seasonal flu.

The people I know who have had it say it feels very mild. Worse than the common cold, but seasonal flu generaly feels a lot worse. Symptoms lasted about a week. One was given antiviral medicaltion one wasn't.

In the UK the gov have finaly admited the virus is out of its containment stage and the priority is now treatment as opposed to containment.

My concern is to much effort is being put towards the vacine and taking lab time away from the development of the seasonal flu jab vaccine. Seasonal flu is very dangerous for people with risk factors so the regular flu jab is a lifesaver.

Mack.

lawman

2:41 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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I'll take whatever flu vaccine is available.

kaled

3:42 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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100,000 per day sounds a lot, but assuming it lasts 6 days, that means ~600,000 will have it simultaneously, that's only 1% of the population. Given the fact that it's milder than standard flu, unless it mutates into something nasty, there's nothing to worry about.

Kaled.

mack

4:32 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Not sure if I will take the vaccine or not. I probably won't and I suspect there are a lot of people who think along the same lines as me. This alone could pose a problem. The vaccine will give the recipient a very small dose of the virus, this will enable their immune system to build up resistance. But it will also give them mild symptoms and they could potentially pass this onto un vaccinated people.

Kaled, the 100k estimate was for UK only. I'm with Neil on this one. I don't like predictions that are based partly on statistics and on guess work. We really have no idea of the true numbers, we may already have the 100K a day.

Mack.

jatar_k

4:58 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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want an odd thing

a middle age range of adults isn't getting it, at all, they think they were exposed long so how do they account for that

they also say here that everyone has it already

I also have a kid who's been exposed and she got sick and she normally ends up in the hospital with any cold, heaven forbid a flu and she got over it

my wife's been exposed, a couple times, so has my Mom

that said there have been a lot of people who were very very sick and some that died, none of the numbers they throw around actually make any sense at all, in any context

the flu vaccine doesn't always have something new in it, sometimes its just the same old, so spending extra money rushing a vaccine for a new/active flu is probably pretty sensible, since that's what is making people sick now

so what does all that mean

nothing, you don't have the ability to analyze all that, nor do I

It's nice they're having a practice go and working through all the procedures for a serious pandemic.

<added>I'll take the shot, I have to due to my daughter and so will everyone in my house, will it change anything, yes, we'll be vaccinated

lawman

5:35 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Local rule:

Do what it takes to keep the money maker well.

kaled

7:21 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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The vaccine will give the recipient a very small dose of the virus

That's not how live vaccines work - the virus has to be modified in such a way that it is harmless but is still similar enough to the original that it creates the required immune response. Presumably there is a standard way of doing this with the influenza family of viruses.

Unless you normally have seasonal flu vaccines, there is no reason to have the swine-flu vaccine. There is anecdotal evidence that children may be more vulnerable so governments may recommend that they are vaccinated too but I doubt that will happen.

Kaled.

swa66

9:05 pm on Jul 3, 2009 (gmt 0)

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H1N1 really is a very broad misnomer for a specific strain. The spanish flu was also a H1N1 strain. The media should get their facts straight instead of the worrying overly about political correctness.

OTOH it's clear this is quite much like a normal flu, over-hyped to the extreme.

jastra

1:16 pm on Jul 16, 2009 (gmt 0)

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My daughter landed in London from North Carolina at about 9am this morning and I'm concerned given the recent headlines.

But it does seem that otherwise healthy people who watch their nutrition and get rest have mild symptoms.

So how do you tell a 21 year old, turned loose in Europe with her friends, to get plenty of rest, compulsively wash hands, etc? LOL.

Fingers are crossed.

swa66

6:46 pm on Jul 16, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Tell your kid to have fun!

From what Ive seen out here even doctors make sure their patients don't panic by telling them it's just a flu, nothing to worry about.

Good to see the doctors aren't joining the media and politicians into the hype.

ronin

9:58 am on Jul 17, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Tamiflu marketing push.

Old_Honky

1:27 pm on Jul 17, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Did anyone watch the BBC series "Survivors"?

The news bulletins on the program were very similar to those real life ones that I have seen on the various TV channels, albeit that in real life they are more strung out. Could this be a prediction, if so in a year's time those of us who survive will be killing each other to take possession of a few cans of corned beef in a trashed supermarket.

Time to stock up on canned food, bottled water and weapons?

Shaddows

2:34 pm on Jul 17, 2009 (gmt 0)

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...and weapons?

So its a cost/benefit analysis whether to go to the inner cities of Manchester, London and Brum and order guns. Risk your life now, or be unarmed next year.

Tricky stuff.

And can we get the design of POTUS' car for personal trasportation?

Will cash work as currency? Will its limited supply push up its value, or make it worthless? Will we enter a barter system, or use cigrettes and/or drugs* as an intermediary?

Most important, how will know that we should co-ordinate the next wave of mass hysteria in expectation of H5N1 hitting shores, brought to us by people on well-meaning relief missions (call them "missionaries") from the outside world?

*Idea borrowed from Luke Rhinehart's Long Voyage Back

jastra

6:43 pm on Jul 17, 2009 (gmt 0)

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I had the Hong Kong flu as a college senior in 1969. Didn't remember a thing for two days. Now, there was some flu, sonny.

lawman

11:21 pm on Jul 17, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Yep, had the Hong Kong flu my first year in college. Infirmary was overflowing. I just laid around in my dorm room until the fever broke. It was brutal.

[edit speeling]

[edited by: lawman at 11:37 pm (utc) on July 18, 2009]

jastra

8:51 pm on Jul 18, 2009 (gmt 0)

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<Affectation.Hip>
Dude. Like I didn't know anybody on this forum was nearly as old as I am.
</Affectation.Hip>

lawman

11:36 pm on Jul 18, 2009 (gmt 0)

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I have to make new friends because my old ones keep checking out. :)

Well, I'm not that old yet. Born in 1950. Makes it easy to cipher my age when I forget. ;)

Essex_boy

11:51 am on Jul 20, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Ive been very tempted to call the swine flu help line and make grunting noises down the phone.... But so far ive remained sober

sem4u

8:01 am on Jul 21, 2009 (gmt 0)

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I called it and there was only crackling on the line <groan>

On a more serious note, a lady at my girlfriend's work now has the swine flu...so I am hoping that we don't catch it anytime soon! :o

However, most people seem OK after 5 days of isolation and taking tamiflu.