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Internet to revolutionize TV in 5 years: Gates

         

engine

9:33 am on Jan 29, 2007 (gmt 0)

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The Internet is set to revolutionize television within five years, due to an explosion of online video content and the merging of PCs and TV sets, Microsoft chairman Bill Gates said on Saturday.

"I'm stunned how people aren't seeing that with TV, in five years from now, people will laugh at what we've had," he told business leaders and politicians at the World Economic Forum.

The rise of high-speed Internet and the popularity of video sites like Google Inc.'s YouTube has already led to a worldwide decline in the number hours spent by young people in front of a TV set.

Internet to revolutionize TV in 5 years: Gates [today.reuters.co.uk]

rj87uk

10:05 am on Jan 29, 2007 (gmt 0)

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has already led to a worldwide decline in the number hours spent by young people in front of a TV set

I will agree with that statement! I remember watching TV when I came home from School, and then when I got the internet more time was spent talking to friends on MSN Messanger and then broadband, even less time at the TV and more time watching clips and videos.

The only time now when I watch the TV is to see the news while eating dinner!

eelixduppy

12:51 pm on Jan 29, 2007 (gmt 0)



TV time: 0 hours
Computer/Internet time: 6 hours (give or take)
Having the keys of my keyboard wear away from over use: Proof that the internet has already revolutionized television...at least in my area.

Kids my age and younger spend much more time on their PC then watching TV.

sem4u

1:05 pm on Jan 29, 2007 (gmt 0)

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With broadband speeds becoming faster and faster it is only a matter of time before content from PCs makes its way into the majority of living rooms.

I know that I watch far less TV than I used to. Also children seem to spend much of their time on MSN Messenger and online games sites.

weeks

6:24 pm on Jan 29, 2007 (gmt 0)

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Take a look at Netflix to see how the future of TV is going to look. They are setting themselves up as a source for TV via the web. (If you haven't visited Netflix recently, you will be amazed at what they have done.) Good luck to them, they will need it: This is going to be a battle!

What is the role of the ISPs going to be in this? Comcast is not going to give up their TV income without a fight. Verizon likewise has visions of making money from cable TV. What if they become only the ISP and firms such as Netflix or Google are the providers? It's going to be interesting.

maccas

6:44 pm on Jan 29, 2007 (gmt 0)

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Yeah I haven't had a TV set for over a year now and don't miss the "idiot box" at all.

georgeek

6:59 pm on Jan 29, 2007 (gmt 0)

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The Internet is set to revolutionize television within five years, due to an explosion of online video content and the merging of PCs and TV sets, Microsoft chairman Bill Gates said on Saturday.

Is this the same Bill Gates that said at the same economic forum in 2004 that "Two years from now, spam will be solved”?

percentages

7:27 am on Jan 30, 2007 (gmt 0)

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>Is this the same Bill Gates that said at the same economic forum in 2004 that "Two years from now, spam will be solved”?

Bill's timelines are always too short. He has proven this over the last 25 years!

However, they are almost always right, eventually,.....you just need to give his predictions 500% more time!

TV is dying! The Internet is growing, so why isn't MS at the helm as Gates knows this is happening?

ronin

6:28 pm on Jan 30, 2007 (gmt 0)

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Bill's timelines are always too short.

Mostly because he underestimates how technologically conservative most people are.

And he's wrong. There will always be space for mixed schedule / public service / appointment-to-view programming.

TV did not destroy cinema and video did not kill the radio star.

John_Keates

2:16 am on Jan 31, 2007 (gmt 0)

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ronin, I like that last line ;-)

weeks

2:09 pm on Jan 31, 2007 (gmt 0)

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Yeah, ronin, telling TV executives that television will fine, that it will thrive the same way as radio did, will be great comfortable to them.

Problem is, there is only so many hours in the day and people will be attracted to the most compelling format. (But, true, people are very conservative and change will come in fits and starts. Still, five years from now TV is going to be very, very different.)

vik_c

6:29 pm on Jan 31, 2007 (gmt 0)

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TV did not destroy cinema and video did not kill the radio star.

This is a good line but I'm, not sure how much I agree with it. TV and Cinema are two different mediums. You can have live news on TV, television serials, stock quotes, a lot of information that is available by the minute. Cinema is a very different medium. Broadcasts are more planned. So is viewing. You don't saunter into a movie theatre as casually as you switch on a tv when having your breakfast.

The Internet to TV is not what TV was to cinema. TV is going to come across as a 'subset' of the Internet with convergence. The later will do everything the former does and still be interactive, something the former is not.

Assuming TV will survive despite the Internet seems a little unrealistic. It's like someone may have said decades ago that 'talkies may be coming but silent movies will still have their own charm and will survive'. Silent movies were finished. They can best be seen as a sub set of talkies. If you don't like the sound on tv, hit the mute button and voila! you have a silent movie!

Similarly, if you don't like the interactivity on the internet, just watch a movie on it, don't chat, go to bulletin boards, buy online or do any of the interactive things you can do. TV, someone said, is a lean-back medium while the Internet is a lean ahead medium.

In five years, maybe ten, I don't know when but eventually, we'll have a single unit for both internet access and tv as the norm and TVs will be dinosaurs, possibly even the landline phone and a few other things.

Tastatura

6:34 pm on Jan 31, 2007 (gmt 0)

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Well MS had the same idea around turn of the century - and it flopped. Now that landscape is a bit different it will be interesting to see how they execute on this push.

percentages

8:30 am on Feb 1, 2007 (gmt 0)

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If I want news...where do I go?

Well I can tune my TV to channel 200 for CNN and 90% of the time get commercials, or tune to 205 for Fox News and 85% of the time get commercials.

On the off-chance either is broadcasting at that time, the best I will get is a stay tuned for the next 60 minutes of commercials and we might give you some biased news somewhere in between!

It is a joke, and the reason why they will die!

I can go to Google, Yahoo, MSN and many other sources and get instant news.....no Ads, no waiting, no editorials! Just News of a type....

Into the future those looking for factual information will turn to the Internet, and the many different opinions it has to offer......If you are reading this, you are already one of them!

Prior to TV, communication was via individuals....word of mouth.....post TV it will be the same......right now typed, but moving more to sound and video as YouTube shows!

weeks

1:37 pm on Feb 1, 2007 (gmt 0)

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If you don't like the sound on tv, hit the mute button and voila! you have a silent movie!

Actually, I've found myself doing this more and more. It's weird how I like it.

weeks

1:41 pm on Feb 1, 2007 (gmt 0)

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percentages, I think you might be right, but it could go even further than that. The technology is going to redefine "news." Already I read my filtered headlines on WSJ.com first, before looking at their front page. On Yahoo news, I read their headlines, but then scroll down to "most popular." Nine times out of ten, the first story I'll click on (if I click on any) will be in the "most popular," not the editors' "current headlines." That's true of Yahoo and WSJ, both.