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Damn the Dollar hits new lows -

I will not accept new sponsors that pay dollars, for now

         

zeus

9:52 pm on Jan 5, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I think it is about time the dollar gets on it feet again, because sponsors from America or other that pay in US dollors become less interesting, like I will not accept any sponsoring that wants to pay in US dollars.

This does have some bad influence on the web business because it has customers/service around the world, Im sure Im not the only one, that want the dollar back on top.

zeus

Mungo

10:22 pm on Jan 5, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I am in the UK, and import products from the USA, and the dollar falling makes my imports cheaper! ;)

That is until the $ starts rising again!

Hunter

10:30 pm on Jan 5, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



If the dollar really begins to unravel then the us stock market will soon follow...not good for anyone.

PhraSEOlogy

11:49 pm on Jan 5, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



You could always put all the payments into a US account and wait for a favorable interest rate before transfering it to your UK account.

UK webmasters going to pubcon in FL should get a bit more bang for their buck!

andy_boyd

12:26 am on Jan 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I run a few sites which are aimed at the USA, but sell and export UK goods. However, all my payments are done stateside by PayPal, 2CO etc so I think that it'll be a case of raising the release level until the dollar strengthens. Hopefully that'll be soon!

hannamyluv

12:55 am on Jan 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



payments into a US account and wait for a favorable interest rate

Good luck finding that one. US savings accounts are paying about 1% right now. And there is no change in sight.

PhraSEOlogy

1:26 am on Jan 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Sorry - I meant EXCHANGE rate not interest rate.

jim_w

5:48 am on Jan 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I’m in the US, I saw someone that was retired from the Federal Reserve talk today on a news show and he said that there is no way to know when the dollar will rise again. It is based on something about the amount of debt the US creates on exports vs imports and once that debt gets too high, then the dollar will start to go back up, but there is no way to predict when that will happen.

In the mean time, I’m a happy camper because we can now sell product even to China, so our international customer base is growing.

zeus

1:42 pm on Jan 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



If the dollars was to go up, then we must have a good job employment no. here on Friday and the interestrates must go up again + a good thing would be if the US will pay some of the debt.

zeus

danieljean

4:39 am on Jan 7, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



One of my main predictions for 2004: the Euro keeps gaining against the US$.

-- Background --
I'm not trying to start a polemic when I say any of this. These are just politically neutral observations trying to predict what's going to happen with currency markets.

The tax cuts implemented by Bush are not going to go to the poor who would likely spend it fastest. It likely will get invested, but much of that could be off-shore. The costs of occupying Iraq and reconstructing Afghanistan, as well as coping with continuing insecurity are draining the US budget. I'm also hoping that there won't be another terrorist attack.

If oil-exporting countries switch to the Euro as the exchange currency for oil, importers will dump their USD$ reserves for Euros. I think this would be a practical decision (much of it is bought by Europeans), but the deciding factor will be political. Europeans have made moves towards a common space and scientific research program, as well as a shared defense (read: they want to stop buying US weapons and use their own). I don't think the move towards open-source software is innocent either.

(Again, feel free to disagree, but I'm not getting into an argument about any of this).
-- End Background --

I am pessimistic for the green-back. In any case, how exposed to currency risk are webmasters here? What are you doing -if anything- to reduce that risk?

One thing I am thinking of is positionning myself now to sell to Europeans (who will find our goods and services much cheaper). Selling from Canada might be easier than from the US as many Europeans might boycott US goods. If I were a US site, I'd be looking at Canada (many ecomm sites do a very poor job of marketing to us, not even accepting our postal codes in checkout forms, etc).

Europeans that now sell to the US would do well to look for other markets, including domestic ones. andy_boyd, I'd hate to be in your position right now.

rcjordan

4:53 am on Jan 7, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



International travel destinations favored by US vacationers will be hit pretty hard. I was just running the Big Mac price parity index through the exchange rates --pretty horrific. OTOH, domestic US destinations will likely benefit.

jim_w

4:54 am on Jan 7, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



>>The tax cuts implemented by Bush are not going to go to the poor who would likely spend it fastest.<<

Actually a lot did not go to the wealthiest. But they already spent it at Wal-Mart, etc. who now gets a lot of their stuff from China, so the spent dollars went off shore. The ‘tax cuts’ were not all on just taxed investments. People received checks from the US government. It’s not the tax cuts as I see it, it is debt and imports vs. exports and that is what the person who was retired from the Fed. indicated. I think the problem is much more in-depth than you allude to.

Well, gold is up. If one could convert the greenbacks into gold first, it might get around the problem of the falling dollar, but I have no clue if one could actually do that or not nor if it would, well, buy you anything.