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Losing mind share, being upstaged, it's all part of the process.
Hmm. A couple of techno journos have found something new to write about. We saw the same thing with the iPod - iRiver, Creative Zen etc. If that spreads to mainstream media, then it will be more interesting.
For the foreseeable future (admittedly never that far ahead in this market) there is little to show that the iPhone has any serious challengers. For the moment iPhone sales and hype still dominate.
Gartner predicts that Android will outpace Iphone in 2012.
I think it is a good assumption. These people may be just as biased as us but they also have more money for research than we do. I think that it is likely that Android will be at or above the number of IPhone units in 2012.
But the other question is will the growth of Android be at the expense of IPhone? Some of it may be. However, I think IPhone has grown at the expense of Windows Mobile and Symbian, and I expect that will be the case for
much of Android's growth as well.
Assuming that none of us make money just by predicting which OS will "win", what does this all mean to us?
Both Android and IPhone mean more browsing activity from phones.
Is it worthwhile to develop for Android? I'm hoping so, since I don't have a day job anymore and am pretty much betting the farm until I can either succeed or panic and get another job. Realistically, it's not going to be as lucrative as IPhone development for a while, but there is also less chance that there are twenty applications that already do what you're planning.
If you are planning to reach a large percentage of your audience, though, you may only reach 13-18% by targeting IPhone or Android. To get close to 100%, you might need to target Iphone, Android, Symbian, Windows Mobile, and maybe Palm.
A great example of this are the HTC Magic and Dream phones... they pale in comparison to the iPhone 3GS and these are the only Droid phones in Canada right now that are offered at a discount with a plan.
I have been waiting and drooling over a Droid phone and when it came time to get one I didn't.... it just isn't there yet, and least not with HTC phones.
Give Droid a few more generations to catch up and it may out do iPhone... but currently it isn't in my opinion.
Keep in mind it took the iPhone many generations to get as far as it has got and it isn't perfect but it is way better then the orig iPhone.
The problem with Droid for me
I think you mean ANdriod :-) The actual Droid phone (Verizon/Motorola) does all of the things you've heard about.
I hear that an upgrade from Android 1.5 to 2.0 will be available in early 2010 for some of the older/cheaper Andriod phones, which should add some features.
So you can not only open the car door but start the car and open the garage door with a single device.
There used to be some cell phones that replaced smart remotes for TV, DVR and DVDs but it requires and IR interface and Android phones don't have one yet, but it could be a simple USB dongle to make it work.
We are in 2010 it is almost a shame that we don't already have this as default behavior in our "smart" phones.
I was wishing I had this all the other day. It's freaking cold here.
The argument that because Android will be on every cell provider network and therefore will ultimately win is bogus.