Sam Altman Says We May Have Superintelligence in a Few Thousand Days

The Intelligence Age

[engine]

Sam Altman has published a document with his overview of AI, the past and the future.

Something which stood out for me was, "It is possible that we will have superintelligence in a few thousand days (!); it may take longer, but I’m confident we’ll get there."

[ia.samaltman.com...]

ia.samaltman.com The Intelligence Age In the next couple of decades, we will be able to do things that would have seemed like magic to our grandparents.

[ronin]

I mean. It's possible.

But even the most advanced generative signal processors at the moment provide a simulation of artificial intelligence rather than representing the genuine article.

Despite the popular marketing-centric term used to describe them, pre-trained transformers aren't AI in any meaningful sense.

I concede that when a simulation of a given expression of intelligence performs so well that it becomes indistinguishable from intelligence, then the distinction (from a functional perspective) is academic.

But that observation also applies to a solar-powered pocket calculator from the 1980s.

And no-one, to my recollection, ever sought to label those devices showcases of artificial intelligence.

[Mark_A]

I am interested by the amounts of electricity various AI companies need to power their creations. I suppose they can respond to hundreds of thousands of queries simultaneously so are impressive, but individual human brains work without an electric supply, which makes them rather special indeed.

[tangor]

SMR (Small Modular Reactors) are in the wings. Amazon in particular is looking to set up one per data center, each capable of a couple of gigawatts up to 5gw Not soon, about 10 years out, 6 at the earliest.

Meanwhile: Paging Sarah Connor....