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I have to agree with Claus on this.
Google has a difficult balance to strike. It has to find the right emphasis to place on new material.
I don't believe that it has this correctly set at present. 'New' is being overvalued, to the detriment of quality, and importantly, stability.
The effects of this on the search experience may be more profound than anyone in the company realizes. People's search habits are being affected, as are people's perception of what is happening. I think the stability angle is perhaps more important than is commonly understood, and will manifest itself in some very strange ways (IMHO).
Those knobs that GoogleGuy spoke of a few months ago, possibly need a small twist anti-clockwise in term sof fresh weighting.
The Google Specialist.....
...an endangered species?
Aside from other issues being touched on, if that's referring to people who are associated with optimizing sites for Google being an endangered species, imho that's far from the case and I don't see it happening for a long time to come.
The more confusing things get the more needs to be explained to the layman, and instead of being able to tell people what the regular crawling and update cycle is, it's now necessary to make them aware of the instability and fickle behavior. That means explaining that it takes 6 months time to work on a site, make adjustments and additions and maximize the results of efforts.
Gone is the one-shot deal where they expect an overnight or one-week miracle. Leave that for doing Inktomi PFI optimization, which was quite a good deal until AOL made the switch - it rocked. Now it's contingent on being restricted to those people willing to do an initial consultation with no further commitment or those willing to enter into a longer term arrangement.
Very confusing, and imho could easily have been intended to foil SEOs and make us appear less credible. All that takes is learning to shuffle the deck of cards we've now been handed.
The demand has never been higher than it is right now.
Wouldn’t it be interesting if G did that? Put in a random numbers generator and randomly selected a different algorithm to list the results.
>>User behaviour tends to show that many users are happier to return to a search engine and enter in the search term they used yesterday / last week to find a url they've forgotten than to use bookmarks... perhaps because this keeps the in-browser bookmark list relatively short<<
I’ve seen this a lot. The same IP, from a company, coming back from G after entering the same keywords. I think they do it to see if there are any new sites to look at.
>>The answers, in turn, are mostly found on good old static html pages that haven't updated, changed or moved one bit since the last time i saw them. For this reason (?) they are buried deep down in the serps if they're even there.<<
I also have a heck of a time trying to find old techno stuff to be used for references. I have to try to remember, verbatim, what text was on any given page so I can search with quotes.
The Google Specialist.....
...an endangered species?
When I think of a specialist I think of a brain surgeon and what he/she needs to know to remove a tumour.
With so few variables to play with that carry any weight, I doubt anyone can really call him/herself a real SEO Google specialist. If you are better than your competitors at getting more qualilty, well motivated external inbound links, than thats 90% of what it takes to be a Google SEO "specialist".
One can research and specialise in the marginal ranking variations of increased Keyword density, Heading wording variations etc, yet these marginal improvements can be nihilated by a competitor buying or asking and getting one good extra inbound link.
...few months from today? ..from may? ..from "the-fritz-thing-that-wasn't-really-an-update"? I'm not sure the serps will stabilize, or, rather i think that the algo is now getting (close to) stable and the serps are not and will not be (the algo is stable - running as intended - and the serps still fluctuate, as this fluctuation is built in due to the new weighting of freshness/on-page/whatever). All we need is a little spam-filtering on top to take care of the problems the new weights create.
>> significant extra amount of quality external inbound links.
I've had new pages take the #1 spot for a two-word keyphrase within the last forthnight. It's not a competitive search but all the others in the top of the 822 results have external inbounds as well as Tbar PR(*), these new pages have neither. They went straight to #1 after being indexed.
I have thought about this. As it's an uncompetitive search, the competing pages have little or none on-page optimization done. I think it's on-page factors beating inbounds.
/claus