Can you predict google moves?

To all google Guru's and senior members of this forum.

[dupac]

hi
I have 4 sites which i have been working on for 1 year now. Never have i seen such a thing.
I read everything that it maybe a continuous update google is doing, but the question arises that will google stop any where or will this will be the future of google.
In half an hour my site is ranked No.1 then 4 then 2 then 19.
Any body who can give me solid conformation about what they think about whats goin on will be appreciated. I know what has been said in other threads so if anybody has some concrete new idea what might be goin on then do discuss that.
To all senior members who have been following google moves for last "x" number of years what does your expertise or experience say about it.
dupac

[claus]

First, an excuse for being here in the first place. I really have lots of other things to do than study a particular SE in details, so my words are not those of a G-expert. Anyway, it's late at night local time, i'm too tired for real work. Plus, i must admit that even though i don't usually comment, i find some of these threads amusing.

dupac,

My sites ranking is changing everytime i check for my preferred key word.

Now, isn't that just wonderful? ;)

Really, if that is going to be the case, it is a nice one.

Assume, for one moment, that You do not work professionally with search engine optimization. Assume further, that you are an "ordinary internet user" searching for ...well, widgets.

Conducting four searches within half an hour for the term "widgets", clearly, this is important to you. In your first search, the "superior-home-of-all-things-widget.com" even show up as number 1.

This is very nice, if that site is what you need. If not, well, I'd say that You would go about and conduct another search then. At least I would. And You did, too. Four times.

Now, if SE's were only a tiny little bit intelligent - just a little, that is - they would probably assume, that since you have been searching for that phrase in the immediate past, and then return, it couldn't have been the right #1 they picked for you. Obviously (if they were also a bit service-minded) they would present something else on the #1 place.

Of course, SE's are not very intelligent, they're just databases, and of course databases can't be service-minded per se, but some things can be done with probability and usage tracking, and the thought is nice.

..for an end user, that is. (the "Assume.." part)

Unfortunately i must admit that, even though the thought is nice, and even though this SE apparently employ a few fine thinkers, it's not very credible, as until now, focus has been on database manipulation (the so-called PR) and not on user behavior.

So, basically, this post is just yet another wildcard and speculation, and it shouldn't carry much weight, as i really don't follow the google whereabouts much.

I just tend to think that the world is not always static, and thus serps should not always be static either, but that's probably just wishful thinking.

/claus

[AAnnAArchy]

claus

Now, if SE's were only a tiny little bit intelligent - just a little, that is - they would probably assume, that since you have been searching for that phrase in the immediate past, and then return, it couldn't have been the right #1 they picked for you. Obviously (if they were also a bit service-minded) they would present something else on the #1 place.

Or, more likely, someone searches for something...finds it. Gets up, go does something else for a while, then comes back and wants to find that same site - does the same search...and it's gone.