It seems like I can run a campaign spending $10,000 a month and get 100 conversions. If I spend $20,000, I don't make 200 conversions...it'll be more like 150 conversions. When I increase to $30,000, I don't make 300 conversions...I get 25 more for 175.
It's like the more money I throw at it, the sloppier Google gets in matching my ads to queries. Nothing else changes - not the match type, negatives, nothing...just my conversion rate.
Do you guys see the same type of short-term competitor?
How else are new advertisers supposed to get enough traffic so that Google can judge the quality of their ad? My experience is that you bid high at first and then lower your bid over time as you gain some history.
My experience is that most of these guys don't stick around long enough to learn the subtleties of the system. They just blow a ton of money to be top bidder for a couple of months and then disappear completely.
When you double your spend where is the money going?
If it is to make your current bids higher then you are paying more per click and if thats the case then obviously each conversion is now going to cost more (assuming the same conversion rate). In most, but not all cases, higher placement for the same term will lead to a lower conversion rate.
If the extra spend is going to pay for more terms then these new terms you are spending the extra money on are not converting nearly as well (at least on a CPA basis) as your original ads.
Imagine if all you needed to do was double your spend to get double the conversions? I would have retired long ago after my company was spending millions per day in AdWords. Unfortunately, there is only a finite amount of searches that we can convert into sales at a profitable level.
[edited by: PPC_Chris at 4:52 pm (utc) on July 17, 2007]