Today I HAPPILY discovered that this competitor is bidding enough to be #1 in adwords for the main niche keywords. I say happily because this probably means that he is making enough money with it: his ebook is sold since 2004 so chances are he has been advertising in adwords for a long time.
As I said my saleseletter + ebook structure is almost the same, so I now want to promote in adwords following his path. In other words, I can take advantage from HIS experience
My idea is to start bidding high to be #1 or #2 with a similar ad so that I can rapidly understand how many visitors he is getting, what's the CTR and, probably, what's the conversion rate. Question: how long it takes before I can also understand how much he is really bidding, if i'm getting similar good CTR? I expect that first clicks will be paid a lot because Google hasn't background info about my campaigns. Generally speaking, after how much time / after how many clicks my cpc will be adjusted by Google to reflect my average good CTR?
PS. on a 24 hours test i've verified that #1 position CTR with an almost identical ad is over 5% so I can already say the he is at around that CTR with his campaign.
Differentiation is an important key to beating your competition. More of the same won't make any of you money. All it will do is drive profits in the 'niche' down until no one is making money.
...As I said my saleseletter + ebook structure is almost the same, so I now want to promote in adwords following his path. In other words, I can take advantage from HIS experience...
Hi emaccenti - just my personal opinion here:
I'd love to see you devote the same time and attention (even passion) to deeply understanding how AdWords works that you currently devote to figuring out how to reverse-engineer one competitor's practices.
I think you'd find that the long-term gain inherent in doing this would be substantially more valuable to your bottom line, over the long run. ;)
AWA
On the other issue which seems to be attracting comments: Duplicating a competitor's strategy to the greatest extent legally possible is a tried and tested method for getting a headstart in almost any industry. It will hurt your competitor's profits but that, I'm afraid, is life!
I don't think it is possible to figure out the exact amount your competitor is paying by actually running an account and looking at your spends.
And yes, as some one rightly said, by being in position 1 and pushing your competitor down, there will be some amount of volume drop for him.
You'll never know.
You can't know his CTR, bids or QS.
And I don't recommend trying to beat him by copying him. At best you'll always be one step behind him.
Write better ads. Work the system better.
Copying is a poor substitute for out-performing.