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QS Updates - Damage and Speculation (Part 2)

Dynamic Factors - That's the Future

         

DoctorDoctor

11:46 am on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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System: The following 10 messages were cut out of thread at: http://www.webmasterworld.com/forum81/8477.htm [webmasterworld.com] by bakedjake - 9:11 am on July 12, 2006 (edt -4)


I wonder if all advertisers here have used Analytics to view other factors that may affect bids, more dynamic factors that clearly points if users are happy with their site such as -
bounce rate, depth of visit, length of visit and so on?

If I was to write such an overwhelming algo, I will put these factors as highly relevant.

SEO? that's the past,
but dynamic factors - that's the future. At least that's how I view it and also, that's what I believe in - if users love my site - then they will thank Google by using it once again.

hannamyluv

2:43 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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outrageous amount does not cause the ad to show

So why the pretense? My gut tells me that there is something not quite kosher about this, but I don't know enough about the law to say one way or another. (Webwork, you out there?)

In this sweep, since I wasn't affected, I am looking at it with a better eye than last time and I still have a nagging feeling that there is something not quiet legal here. If we run with my tinfoil hat/programmer arrogance theory, the programmers at G could just very well feel that they are above that law and are just posing a thin veneer of legality in the high bids to cover it.

It is just something that keeps nagging me... alot.

bakedjake

2:45 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Anyone think they pay attention to the ratio of spend vs. budget?

davewray

2:48 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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bakedjake...I totally agree. I'm sitting on this "update" for now. But the longer I sit, the more money I miss out on. We need to know now what is going on and how to "fix" it...that is if we can!

davewray

2:51 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Ratio of spend to budget...hmmmm...definately an interesting metric. I must say my budget has always been well above what I've been able to spend. What doy you think they look favourably on? Spending your full budget...or only spending 10% of your budget? It's quite humorous actually because I set my budget at what THEY recommend, yet never hit it....

vanillaice

2:52 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Before I even try to fix it, i'd like to know if it's still going on. I added a new campaign yesterday before I noticed my disabled ones. Today the campaign is approved for the most part, and the inactive keywords are the normal .10c to activate.

I'm wondering if that is going to change over the next few days

rbacal

2:57 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



The problem with MFA sites is that you have to learn where to draw the line.

Is a shopping comparison site that doesn't sell anything an MFA site?

Is a site with travel content that doesn't sell anything an MFA site?

Is a photography site that doesn't sell anything an MFA site?

They don't have to use onpage factors, or at least rely on them exclusively when it comes to adwords. They can develop a model that looks at adwords advertising behavior, correlate manually with identified MFA, and use the advert behavior to flag sites they perceive has not having value to google.

hannamyluv

2:57 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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I'm wondering if that is going to change over the next few days

Historically (the last 2 times) these were sweeps. If your site survived the fallout, you were good till the next sweep. Then you hold your breath again.

God, do I sound like I am talking about nazis and the jewish ghettos or what?

bakedjake

2:58 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Is there any information available as to how much the average AdWords advertiser spends per month?

Just caught this. Umm... I'd say spend is definitely on a curve for sure, but straight dumb did-this-really-quickly average gives you about $20K per advertiser per year.

vanillaice

3:02 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Historically (the last 2 times) these were sweeps. If your site survived the fallout, you were good till the next sweep. Then you hold your breath again

Well that's good to know. When I get the bad news from google today after I call (sorry we can't fix your campaigns), i'll try a few things to see if it works. If it works and my ads are running again, i'll definitely spend the time until the next sweep looking for a Google replacement.

rbacal

3:05 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



But why damage your relationship with thousands of advertisers who together spend millions per month on advertising? Doesn't seem like a good thing to do. Especially when they don't explain HOW they are determining exactly what constitutes a "quality" page and what does not. Apparently their be all robot can't figure it out too and is performing an all out slaughter on everyone's campaign. I have yet to hear from one person who's account hasn't been affected one bit.

1) I haven't been affected, not one keyword increase.

2) I think google is making mistakes with this, but not to the extent many posters think that. What people are missing is that the value of a click to google is not the same as the value of a click to the advertiser.

The value of a click to google is (simplified) the absolute cost of the click (actually google's share) MINUS the COST of lost revenue opportunity.

In other words, with a range of bids going from let's say 5 cents to $10.oo for a single keyword, the lower bids are going to (given common conditions) yield a NEGATIVE VALUE for the lost cost clicks.

It's possible to mathematically model this given having the data that google has, so that they can predict the economic impact of different strategies. I don't know if they have for this.

Other factors that effect the economic bottom line for google with this include the percentage of high bidders who are NOT at their daily budgets, various CTR figures, and some stuff about which ads show and in what order.

[edited by: bakedjake at 3:07 pm (utc) on July 12, 2006]
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DoctorDoctor

3:07 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I just wonder if they have the capability to model a good commercial user-experience.

davewray

3:09 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Rbacal...That's great news for you, but I wouldn't hold your breath. If I were you I'd be proactive and look for alternate advertising venues. I wasn't affected the last "sweep"...so what has changed so radically with this new "quality" algo that my site has been affected so much? Is quality really that much better now? No, I think not.

rbacal

3:13 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



Rbacal...That's great news for you, but I wouldn't hold your breath. If I were you I'd be proactive and look for alternate advertising venues. I wasn't affected the last "sweep"...so what has changed so radically with this new "quality" algo that my site has been affected so much? Is quality really that much better now? No, I think not.

I don't really care if we are affected. Not a big part of what we do, which is probably the reason we haven't been affected. Our advertising patterns don't at all resemble the sites and ads that they consider offering a poor experience.

For the benchmark terms I monitor (clearly not representative of all keywords), quality of ads has improved to an incredible extent. And, I can pretty much guess that for those particular keywords, google is now making more money than they did before.

hannamyluv

3:55 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Our advertising patterns don't at all resemble the sites and ads that they consider offering a poor experience.

And what are those patterns? That's kind of the issue. There does not seem to be any pattern.

netmeg

4:09 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Nobody would know the pattern but Google.

I'm in pretty much the same situation as rbacal. Have had a total of four words go inactive requiring ten cent raises in each case, and what with all this mess I've been worrying and monitoring it pretty closely. That's out of 7500 or so words over six client accounts.

The one thing I can say about my accounts is that in each case, I've set the budget to be WAY above what the spend actually is. It'd be risky if I weren't watching it pretty closely, but I've been doing this for a long time (since AdWords started), and I know these six markets pretty well, and what the competition is doing, and what they can sustain.

Of course, everyone thinks their site/landing page is of the utmost quality, but my idea of quality is different from your idea of quality, and both are no doubt different from Google's idea. Of course, since none of us can see each other's sites without breaking TOS here, we can't know if there IS any kind of a pattern, except based on our own (hardly objective) views of our sites.

rbacal

4:10 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



And what are those patterns? That's kind of the issue. There does not seem to be any pattern.

You won't discern the patterns because the algo (as many algos) use too many interacting variables to flag sites. That's a given with google. The pursuit to identify simple patterns from where we sit is futile.

To answer. I wanted to start a new thread but don't have time. How would YOU set up the algo? Or how would I?

The simple answer is to profile the sites I don't want in, identify onpage, off page and any other characteristics that separate those sites from those I want to keep, and write the algo that way.

Patterns? Here's a few.

bid price or bid price relative to other higher bidders
number of pages related to the account
use of dynamic keyword insertion
NUMBER of keywords for the account (a big flag)
traffic patterns (length of stay) and other visitor behavior
ratio of adsense income to adwords spend
organic search rankings (part of onpage factors)
...etc.

The reason why you can't identify any of these from discussions is that no ONE or TWO factors determine flagging. It's the COMBINATION of a number of variables that fit the "profile" of the sites you don't want. And, those variables aren't combined into a "score" in a linear way. They get weighted and each variable effects the "score" of another variable.

Finally, you can't look at cases described here because you don't know if their exclusion is intentional or collateral damage.

davewray

5:05 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Collateral damage is the KEY word here. No algo can be perfect and many innocent sites will be affected. Solution? Who knows.

aleksl

5:22 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



Don't know if anyone posted this before, but related thread is here:
[webmasterworld.com...]
This has been going on for some time.

aleksl

5:25 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



if u block all robots with robots.txt to your landing page - how can google assess your landing page quality?

For the Internet God's and your own sake, please, REMOVE G$$GLE ANALytics FROM YOUR LANDING PAGES!

europeforvisitors

6:05 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)



if u block all robots with robots.txt to your landing page - how can google assess your landing page quality?

Maybe Google defaults to the baseline (zero) in that case.

inbound

6:10 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Speaking from harsh experience, this is site-wide for us at least. We have 30,000 different landing pages and know that Google has not visited them all (not even a small proportion, we let robots see them if they wish but the site is not spiderable without knowing where the pages are).

Worrying about what is on EACH page is not the way ahead, worring about what the AIM of your site is should be the focus. If your site 'makes a living' from adverts or affiliate links then you are in the firing line.

edd1

7:13 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I've always been very loathed to advertise on the content network even though I've always felt Google have been keen for me to do so (the same kind of feeling I get in a computer shop that all the staff really wants me to do is buy an extended warranty)

Perhaps by using these heavy handed tactics, they get more people to sign up for content (searching for crumbs) and at the same time to pay more attention to landing page quality. That way when they reactivate peoples accounts, they get their money back plus achieve two important company objectives. Not a conspiricy theory - it's probably the way I'd do it if those were my two biggest challenges. Although I'm not sure I'd want to upset my paying customers the way they have - a lot of goodwill has pretty much gone forever now.

edd1

7:14 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I feel like I've been headbutted in the gut by a soccer player. Google, I promise I didn't say anything about your mother.

Calc Richmond

7:31 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



So does AWA or AWA2 have anything to say on the matter.....

jtara

7:33 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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So does AWA or AWA2 have anything to say on the matter.....

Probably too busy improving customer communication...

graywolf

9:03 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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Is anyone who was affected using the google automated bidding "budget optimizer tool"

vanillaice

9:16 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



Here is something interesting. Maybe it's nothing, but I had 6 active campaigns running. Here are their CTRs and the results...

3.41% = remained active
3.43% = remained active
2.65% = 1/2 remained active, other 1/2 only jumped to 0.10c per click
7.61% = completely disabled
6.42% = completely disabled
9.98% = completely disabled

So it appears my best converting ads have been completely disabled. Could it be that G$ removed these ads knowing that i'll either:

a) Pay the higher amounts and give them a ton of cash with more CPC and high CTRs...
or
b) Knock me off the front page with my .05c per click and let someone on who 'bought' their way on with a .10c or higher CPC

Could be, maybe not... I'm curious to hear the CTR's of those who have been disabled. From what I heard, it seems everyone who had brought up their CTR has mentioned how great it was, so they were puzzled why it was inactive. Perhaps great CTR is a red flag you're doing something 'too' right for their system.

toomer

9:40 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



So does AWA or AWA2 have anything to say on the matter.....

Hahahaa ... that's funny! I wouldn't expect to hear anything at all, official, from Google - other than what has been reported here 3rd hand from folks that have talked with their AdWords reps -- "Suck it up and deal with it. Meet your new reality."

Matter of fact, AWA2 was here and actually responded to a thread yesterday about AdWords ads showing up in Yahoo emails or something. It's down the page a bit by now. So we know he's here ... and his silence speaks volumes.

RhinoFish

10:58 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)

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I am completely unaffected, though I've been nervous about it after receiving the email from the "Inside Adwords" team - nervous because the changes in scoring that were announced had little or no details about how the scoring specifically works. Past sweeps have also gone by with all my campaigns completely unscathed. I run ppc to my own affiliate sites and I also run ppc campaigns for my clients, usually merchants, but that can vary as well.

It could be a rolling thing that just hasn't hit me yet, but I wonder if that's the case since with all the ppc stuff that I manage I'd think at least 1 new inactive would have come up somewhere.

I do a lot to focus on quality and value at my own sites. I think they're special, but surely they're just fairly above average. I do make them complete with pro logos and policies that are real and enforced and usually lots of content (but aimed at what I think the visitor wants, not the engines). However, I doubt I'm an award winning site designer. Some use GA because I need it, some do not. Some have tons of content, some are really small content-wise because they're very niche (or are small for other reasons, like mounds of content doesn't fit the site's theme for various reasons).

Being unaffected evcerywhere - lacking comparison - I can't see anything that I do that makes me remain unaffected... (at least untouched so far)

Perhaps a few of you that have been affected can get together and do a detailed analysis of your sites (perhaps by a 3rd party) to see if there's something consistent in many of them... I read your posts and am not insinuating there's a lack of quality in the visitors eye, just suggesting one route you might take to solve the problem you're experiencing where G's scoring is marking you as such.

I'm not talking about a think-tank to work around either, but somehow an objective review, using G's general guidelines given, to see what's amiss.

Perhaps a you-grade-my-site-I'll-grade-yours type deal would point out something. (I am often somewhat blind to flaws in my own work).

Sorry you're having trouble and that I don't have any great answers or insights for those affected.

rbacal

11:09 pm on Jul 12, 2006 (gmt 0)




So it appears my best converting ads have been completely disabled. Could it be that G$ removed these ads knowing that i'll either:

a) Pay the higher amounts and give them a ton of cash with more CPC and high CTRs...
or
b) Knock me off the front page with my .05c per click and let someone on who 'bought' their way on with a .10c or higher CPC

The latter, in effect. Typical profile of an MFA junk site would be high ctr, and low cpc. That's also the most "costly" arrangement for google in terms of unrealized income.

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