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Earnings warning

another new report

     
6:49 am on Jun 21, 2013 (gmt 0)

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I just saw this today in my account:

We detected a 83% fall in earnings on your account
Your earnings on June 17 were 83% below forecast. This may indicate an issue with your site that you should investigate. We detected the earnings drop by comparing the money you earned to a forecast for your account.

I'm looking into it now. Very interesting new feature.

More info on it - [support.google.com...]
2:42 pm on June 21, 2013 (gmt 0)

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Heh that's going to probably show up a lot with my seasonal sites.
5:23 am on July 8, 2013 (gmt 0)

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I just Googled this after getting a 60% warning for the first time. My traffic was the same, the loss of earnings was caused by a large unexplained reduction in both EPC and CTR. It returned to normal the next day but the warning message is still in my dashboard.
6:02 am on July 8, 2013 (gmt 0)

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Saw it last week, had some problems with the hosting of certain sites, what seems interesting is the "prediction" of earnings
9:25 pm on July 8, 2013 (gmt 0)

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From that link most of the possibles are "no brainers".
12:27 pm on July 9, 2013 (gmt 0)

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Heh I got a ginormous warning; of course my busiest season is over. There oughta be a way to dismiss it. Once I've seen it, I've seen it.
1:45 pm on July 9, 2013 (gmt 0)

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Probably the same issue as [webmasterworld.com ]

Look for clawbacks of clicks (clicks appear, then disappear 1 to 30 minutes later) which decrease over a few days, but leave you with a greatly reduced CTR which *might* slowly recover as your "punishment period" expires. Let us know if this matches. It seems like G has been rolling out a new formula that is killing selected publishers. They are blaming it on invalid clicks, which doesn't explain the recovery behavior if you have any traffic at all.
1:53 pm on July 9, 2013 (gmt 0)

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Me? No, that's not my issue. My busiest sites are seasonal, and the season peaked on July 4th. After that, it's all downhill (on those sites) until next May or so. Oh, with a occasional spikes around Labor Day and New Year's. I have other sites that work year round, but the big bump always comes this time of year. You'd think after eight or nine years, AdSense would see that there's a pattern to this, but no. They think I should have made $868 yesterday. Well I think so too! ork ork ork.