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dollars strength to rise?

         

Encore

4:17 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Hey all,

Just receive a cheque from adsense and stuck on what to do. Being in the UK means the money needs to be converted to pounds. Now at the moment its clear the dollar is relatively weak, but what I want to ask is ..

Will the dollars strength rise any time soon ( meaning I should hold on to my check for a while ) or is the current exchange rate likely to stick and therefore I should just pay the bank a visit and cash this cheque?

Appreciate any replies.

Mauricio

4:25 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)



Do it quickly.

Most analysts say the dollar could still lose around 10/15% in the next 4/6 weeks.

By the way, Google takes euros from my Adwords account and pays with dollars to my Adsense account.

ukgimp

4:26 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I may be wrong but the cheque is not valid for all that long. Make sure you check. You dont want to wait for a few extra quid in exchange rate, only to find out it is worth FA as you left it too late :)

taps

4:35 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Encore: maybe you can open an account in US$. Ask your bank.

Mauricio: Yep, intersting. I wonder if our CPM in $ raises while the dollar is going down?

Most of the ads are from Germany so I think most of ourt customers pay in euro.

If Google converts those euro to dollar with the most recent exchange rate, everything should be ok and our CPM should be relatively high.

europeforvisitors

4:57 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)



Will the dollars strength rise any time soon

Only if interest rates rise significantly (does anyone else here remember the mid-1970s?), making U.S. government securities more attractive to China, Japan, and other countries that are nervous about the federal deficit and have been shifting investments into euros.

If I were you, I'd just cash the check.

Encore

5:00 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Thanks for the replies, I'll do as you suggest and take the cheque to my bank tomorrow.

fdmaster

5:06 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Wise decision Encore. When you want to speculate on currency rate you get your brocker to buy you apropriate currency contract on stock/currency market. Or you can do it to hedge your risks related to currency fluctuations. But google cheque is really wrong instrument for it. Cash it ASAP.

ukgimp

6:49 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



talking out my hole. I must be mixing date issue up with another dollar cheque i have recieved. Sorry

cleanup

7:45 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



So how long are Google checks valid for?

ignatz

8:10 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



The dollar is heading downhill and isn't coming back anytime soon.

It's so bad in fact, that you might even want to consider setting up a US dollar account if you can, then you might be able to spend it without having to incur the wicked exchange losses.

EFV: Raising interest rates won't help as they have historically. The fed has hiked them up recently and the dollar only took a short pause on its downward plunge.

The good thing of course, is that it will be cheaper to buy and invest in american goods, which is the whole point of the exercise.

MikeNoLastName

11:21 pm on Nov 30, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



The sooner the better. In fact I'd ask them to send you checks weekly from now on, so that you can still salvage any value ASAP. Search for "hyperinflation germany 1923"
:-).

xxxxxpp

12:11 am on Dec 1, 2004 (gmt 0)



I don't think the dollar will rise again soon. I would be surprised if the dollar will be worth as much as a euro again before the end of 2005 or even 2006. I think it's going to continue to go down over the next months to start rising slowly after that.

dongjp

12:59 am on Dec 1, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Seems Chinese webmasters are lucky, since the exchange rate of Chinese Yuan to US Dollar is constantly 8.26:1.

level80

4:31 am on Dec 1, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Will the dollars strength rise any time soon ( meaning I should hold on to my check for a while ) or is the current exchange rate likely to stick and therefore I should just pay the bank a visit and cash this cheque?

In the time since you wrote that post your cheque is worth 0.2% less - eg for every £10 pounds that the cheque was worth yesterday, the cheque is no worth £9.986 (and this trend is continuing because America has two deficits - a trade one and a budget one). Pay the cheque in - and get it cleared the same day (eg negotiation vs collection). If you chose collection, by the time the cheque is sent back to the States and the money credited to your account etc - the exchange rate will have worsened so much it'll really eat into your profits. You can pay it into any bank account - just like a normal cheque in pounds.

Mentat

6:13 am on Dec 1, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month




So how long are Google checks valid for?

6 months - from adsense support :)

cleanup

5:54 pm on Dec 1, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Thanks Mentat for picking that up.

Six months sounds just about long enough for..
1)Checks to arrive at the UK
2)then to be sent on to me in Madrid
3)returned to the UK signed on the back
4)presented at the bank
6)sent back to the US for clearance
7)for the funds to arrive back at my UK bank.
8)and be converted from GBP to EUR
9)and and last but not least to be transferred to Madrid so I can spend it!

I bet you all thought your lives were complicated!

Bluepixel

6:23 pm on Dec 1, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



When I cashed in my first check, my bank asked me if I would like to open a is dollar account. Luckely I didn't do it. But my checks still take +- a month to clear, so I still loose a little. But I can live with that.

Good that my adwords account is also running in dollars and not in euros :-)