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Why doesn't Google disclose its adsense revenue formula?

google adsense revenue secret

         

shaxpir

2:12 am on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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This is something I've never understood. Why doesn't Google disclose the formula or algorithm it uses to calculate how much you'll get per click? I know you're not paying for Adsense, but you are carving out space on your site for it, so why shouldn't you be allowed to know? Trust In Google, It Will Provide.

Lame_Wolf

2:14 am on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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That's like asking Coca Cola to give out their recipe.

incrediBILL

2:23 am on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Might as well ask the Colonel what's in this chicken while you're at it.

Truthfully, with smart pricing, what you get paid per click is never a fixed price and varies wildly from site to site based on the function of your site.

Samanthatouch

2:46 am on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I'll take the Windows 7 source code with that coke and bucket of chicken :)

signor_john

2:58 am on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)



Why would Google want to make things easier for competitors? ("Psst, buddy! Google is paying you X percent? We'll pay you Y percent.")

Why would Google want to unleash a barrage of whining? ("How come my site gets only A percent while my friend's site gets B percent.")

Why would Google want to invite criticism whenever the formula changed? ("You paid me C percent, but now you're saying my site is worth only D percent under the new formula?")

Finally, how would Google benefit from revealing the details of its "secret sauce"? AdSense is already the dominant text-ad network, so it's not like millions of Web publishers are going with the Yahoo or Microsoft versions of AdSense because they find their terms more attractive.

shaxpir

1:56 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Okay, thanks guys, but AdSense doesn't taste like crispy KFC or refresh like Coca-Cola or reliably let in viruses like Windows. You want to continue the metaphor, it's like buying a six-pack and not knowing whether five cans will contain water and one will contain Coke. It's like buying a bucket of KFC and not knowing whether you'll get six pieces of meat or six pieces of plastic. Meanwhile, all Pepsi and Popeye have to do is say Psst, buddy! We give you cola and chicken every time!

Or is it actually _meant_ to be a game? "Carve out some space for us and see what you get." They should call it AdGames, not AdSense.

signor_john

2:56 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)



You want to continue the metaphor, it's like buying a six-pack and not knowing whether five cans will contain water and one will contain Coke.

Except you aren't the buyer. You're the seller. It's Google that's buying the pig in the poke.

Or is it actually _meant_ to be a game? "Carve out some space for us and see what you get." They should call it AdGames, not AdSense.

If it's a game, it's one that pays more reliably than the lottery or a football pool. And, unlike those games, it doesn't require paying cash out of pocket: You just stick the ad code on your site and see how much Google pays you. If you're happy with the results, you leave the code in place; if you aren't, you remove it and look for a game that pays better.

Knowing the inner workings of Google's compensation formula won't put money on your table, and Google isn't going to disclose those inner workings anyway, so why worry about what you can't know? Instead, focus on the numbers that really matter: your AdSense eCPM (which shows how well AdSense performs compared to other revenue sources) and the payment that you receive fom Google at the end of the month.

londrum

4:46 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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why are you defending google on this? you are supposed to be a publisher as well. what possible benefit are you getting from being kept in the dark? you talk of "google formulas" like they are supposed to be secret. all we want is to be told how much we are being paid.
sign up to commission junction and they give you the figure. sign up to amazon and they give you the figure. sign up to tradedoubler, but.at, and every other affiliate that i know, and they give you the figure. the only company that doesn't is google.

vordmeister

6:18 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Firstly let me say how useful I find your posts signor_john. Some thinking and new points of view in them. Surprised that different points of view aren't appreciated on this forum - personally I find discussion helpful.

My own suspicion is adsense they don't publish the figures because they don't need to - they seem to have plenty of advertisers so why give them anything extra?

I find the lack of any info to work with is annoying too. I'm working on other ways to make money from my sites. It seems quite easy to beat adsense in eCPM, and 2 of my sites have reached that point so far. I'm hoping the rest will follow by the end of the year.

willybfriendly

6:42 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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The lack of info from G is as annoying as is the satisfaction from cashing a G check. It is not unusual for me to see eCPM swing from below $1 to $14 in a 24 hour period with no really good way to track why. More aggravating is seeing pay per click 300-400% with no good explanation.

There are times that it feels like it is more related to an earnings cap than a fair and honest distribution of an earnings share - and if that were the case then I could understand why the big G would not to be above board with their calculations.

londrum

6:53 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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this is why it's unfair: if we all experienced a day where we earnt a half-a-dollar for 1,000 clicks, then we could assume that something went wrong at google's end. but there would be absolutely nothing that we could do about it. absolutely nothing, because we have no way to appeal when google keeps their payouts secret.

we have to just trust that google gives us the correct amount. but since when has any payout between two businesses been based on trust?

it's like doing business on a handshake.

Lame_Wolf

8:29 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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why are you defending google on this? you are supposed to be a publisher as well.

No one is defending Google here. The OP aked why not "do you think it's right". Common sense will tell you why.

what possible benefit are you getting from being kept in the dark? you talk of "google formulas" like they are supposed to be secret.

Why not ?
I respect the fact that they have to keep certain things secret. I may not like it, but I respect it.

If you made some "winning formula" no matter what medium it is in, wouldn't you want to protect your work to prevent people copying it (or trying to defraud you)... I sure would.

Just think of the money people would save if they made their own Coke, KFC, or Whitecastle Burgers ?
Companies would collapse, people would be out of a job, rioting in the streets, and Bruce Willis will make another film about saving the world.

Okay, I made the last one up, but surely you can see why companies have to protect sensitive data.

londrum

8:52 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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all companies make mistakes with payments sometimes. that is just life. but all our business with google comes down to trust... trust that they pay us the correct amount and never get it wrong. it is uncheckable, because we never know how much we're due.
no other affiliate business works like that. it is laid down in the terms how much you can expect for every click, sale, impression or lead.
if google pays us 10p one day, they might decide to pay us nothing the next. there is talk in the adwords forum of clicks getting discounted even when they lead to a sale -- apparently that is something that is actually happening right now, because they've released adwords videos explaining it. if google wants to wipe those 100 clicks from the system we are none the wiser. and get no explanation. we can't query it.
people are always reporting on here about poor earnings on a maintainence day. i haven't seen it myself, but what if they lose a load of clicks. how are we supposed to know? they can just ignore their error and move on, keeping the money from the ad man. i'm not saying they would ever do that, because they are a decent company. but the point is that there is nothing to stop them. doing business with google is like doing business on a handshake.

willybfriendly

8:58 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Given what I read on the Adwords side, G is pretty much a black box for both advertisers and publishers. $$$ goes in on one side and $ comes out on the other.

When brought to task, G points to the user experience more often than not.

Good, bad or indifferent, I can not think of another business that operates this way, i.e. with so much of its "services" cloaked so completely.

Still, I like cashing the check.

Edge

10:17 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Why would Google want to unleash a barrage of whining?

Whining about GG can get worse?

shaxpir

11:47 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



signor_john

Except you aren't the buyer. You're the seller.

Not entirely. I'm carving out precious space on my site for them.

Knowing the inner workings of Google's compensation formula won't put money on your table, and Google isn't going to disclose those inner workings anyway, so why worry about what you can't know?

Maybe knowing the inner workings will put money on my table, because it might turn out that someone else has a more reliable way of delivering ad revenue. But it's not just about money; I'm giving inches of space and I want to know exactly what I'm getting in return. Knowledge is power, eh?

How will Google _lose_ by telling me what they're giving me?

Lame_Wolf

11:58 pm on Sep 27, 2009 (gmt 0)

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I'm giving inches of space and I want to know exactly what I'm getting in return.

Then Google isn't for you. We would all like to know such things, but that will never happen. What may pay well one day, may not pay as much the next... Or it could pay even more.

It's just like an auction house. Your vase may be worth $1000 and may get that for it, but it all depends on the day. It may go for more. It may well go for half that value. Google is no different.

shaxpir

1:22 am on Sep 28, 2009 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Lame_Wolf, that's pretty much what I came here to investigate: whether Google is for me. And I think you're right, it's not.

Lame_Wolf

1:32 am on Sep 28, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Nothing stopping you trying it though. What have you to lose ?
If it doesn't work, or it's not for you, then pull it. If you do decide to try it, give it a while as earnings do grow.

IanCP

1:47 am on Sep 28, 2009 (gmt 0)

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To me the answers are pretty simple.

a) Am I happy with what I am receiving? If not;

b) Can I do better elsewhere? If not;

c) Shoot self in foot in a fit of petulance by removing AdSense.

If Mr. Adsense gets $100 for a click on my site and passes along 50c to me, all I know is I received 50c for that click, either I'm happy or I'm not.

Knowing otherwise isn't going to increase my 50c take and;

Knowing otherwise isn't going to instantly produce a better competitor to AdSense I can use.

Them's the facts of life folks - whether we like it or not.

signor_john

3:29 am on Sep 28, 2009 (gmt 0)



why are you defending google on this? you are supposed to be a publisher as well.

As Lame_Wolf said, no one is "defending Google." My response, put simply, was to ask how Google would benefit from changing the status quo. Unless there's something in it for Google, don't hold your breath waiting for a change--and don't carry a gun if you have a propensity for self-inflicted foot injuries of the kind described by IanCP. :-)

londrum

8:51 am on Sep 28, 2009 (gmt 0)

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If Mr. Adsense gets $100 for a click on my site and passes along 50c to me, all I know is I received 50c for that click, either I'm happy or I'm not.

Knowing otherwise isn't going to increase my 50c take and;

it probably would increase your take in the long run.
if google pays us 50% today, and their profits take a tumble because of the recession or whatever, as it stands at the moment they could quite easily reduce our share for a few months to make up the shortfall.
google are a company like any other, in it to make money. so we can assume they do that because it makes sense.

but if they told us how much we were getting prior to the tumble, then they are far less likely to publish a cut because we'd all know about it. that's why this secrecy thing is so no good for us. our cut doesn't stay stable.

adsense earnings are prone to quite strong swings sometimes. if they published our cut then i'm guessing the swings would iron out a little bit.

signor_john

3:31 pm on Sep 28, 2009 (gmt 0)



f google pays us 50% today, and their profits take a tumble because of the recession or whatever, as it stands at the moment they could quite easily reduce our share for a few months to make up the shortfall.

Not without revealing that fact in their quarterly earnings report.

Look, I'm all for "transparency." As far as I'm concerned, Google could offer a browser toolbar that would show:

- The individual publisher's cut

- The individual publisher's "smart pricing" discount

- How many advertisers had opted out of the publisher's domain

- How many advertisers had opted into the publisher's domain

That way, publishers would know how much they and their competitors are valued by Google and its advertisers, and advertisers would know how much publishers were valued by Google and other advertisers.

But that's all beside the point, because the real question here isn't how publishers might or might not benefit from "transparency": The real question is why Google would want to change a policy (keeping the "secret sauce" secret) that has been in place for 6+ years and hasn't kept AdSense from becoming the dominant contextual ad network. Unless you can offer Google a compelling reason to change its policy, your argument boils down to "I want," and that's unlikely to be an effective negotiating strategy.

swa66

3:52 pm on Sep 28, 2009 (gmt 0)

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This is a waste of your time.

Will never happen.

IanCP

7:39 am on Sep 29, 2009 (gmt 0)

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Hmmm

Does it really matter? Slice it, dice it if you're gunna fizzgig around. AdSense has IMHO, a set payment formula.

FWIW

Big Player 90/10
Not so Big Player 80/20
Up among the big time 70/30

down to:

OK down to "you got an AdSense account" 40/60

Now if you are alert, looking at those numbers, one thing should stand out.

COST

Yes. [Putting Cost Accountants hat on] each an every delivey of an Ad costs a basic $0.0X

Yes Marcia, fools would say "how can it cost to deliver Ad's". Well forget servers etc. Count in 1,000's of staff behind the scenes.

Whether you deliver 1 million impressions an hour or that number over a whole year, that unit cost remains constant, for eack and every impression. It must be included in the "take out" by AdSense.

I could Yadda on for hours but essentially my experience of AdSense [from their POV] is positive.

I honestly believe the biggest take out is X amount per unit impression and then added in a variable per your traffic/impressions/clicks.

Go back to my half-baked table above.

Again FWIW