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US economic crisis & earnings

     
11:29 am on Sep 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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How much effect does the current US economic crisis have on earnings?
what are your thoughts
11:44 am on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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End game. It's happening now. Pray to whatever God you worship and enjoy what time you have left. Stockpile gold and ammunition.. fresh water and batteries...
12:05 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Also, don't forget to build an underground bunker.
1:15 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I sold my stocks and filled my refrigerator.
2:04 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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From the previous comments, it sounds like those with survivalist websites should be doing pretty well.

I haven't seen a measurable impact. Yet.

2:11 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I thought it is forbidden by Adsense TOS to talk about our income. Isn't it?
2:38 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I can confidently state that today will be my worst day of the year!

Why? My main web server has blown up and we've been down for hours...arghhh...just what I needed!

3:00 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I thought it is forbidden by Adsense TOS to talk about our income. Isn't it?

The real question is what isn't forbidden by the Adsense TOS?

3:23 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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About a 50% drop in earnings so far. If it continues this way for the next 3 months, I will need to look for a full-time job next year.
3:34 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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My earnings seem (just) ok today and I'm in a sector where retail sales are down.

The headline news stories seem filled with assurances that the banking system and the FDIC will survive. That in itself is a bit unsettling.

3:41 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I thought it is forbidden by Adsense TOS to talk about our income. Isn't it?

No. We are allowed to talk about monthly earnings. Not allowed to disclose CTR, EPC.

3:50 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Already have a bomb shelter but that is just prudent planning living close to the DC area. It is a modest shelter suitable for 90 days of sustained living for 12 people. It can sustain a almost direct impact from most of todays nuclear yields.

Several people in my neighborhood who are mostly DC elite have shelters that put mine to shame though. Sustained living for 12-18 months for upwards of 20 people.

When you see people "in the know" building these it tends to motivate you.

3:53 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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So we are allow to talk about our monthly earning both in percentage and $ ?
3:59 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I thought it is forbidden by Adsense TOS to talk about our income. Isn't it?


The real question is what isn't forbidden by the Adsense TOS?

Since when does G have to show any specific violation of the TOS to boot a publisher?

Crunch, shuffle, shuffle(<--- folding of tinfoil hat)
OK, I am now sitting on my bags of rice, armed to the teeth, waitng for "them" to come.

All that aside, yes I do think the economic slump is affecting earnings ina marginal way.

[edited by: Reno_Chris at 4:02 pm (utc) on Sep. 26, 2008]

4:00 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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@ drall
You're awesame. :)

And about adsense earning, this month is sucks. My short positions against US$ are far more profitable compare with it.

I've take this forum advise to diversify...diversify...diversify.

4:03 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I understand that you can disclose the monthly earnings in $ (they like that as it can encourage others to join the program) but changes in CTR, eCPM and CPC are only supposed to be expressed as a percentage.

So you can say "my eCPM rose by 60% last month and as a result I earned $120, but that is still not enough to fund a Claustrosphere".

4:51 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I'm up. My clients' ecommerce sites are up. Even my domains are up. Everything's up.
6:01 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Honestly, I dont see any change in earnings . .
6:34 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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An immediate drop in sales or the prospect of a slowdown would cause an advertiser to increase the ad budget, especially for ads that can show accountability like AdWords.

But a prolonged slowdown or the prospect of a deep recession would be another thing entirely.

7:51 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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My Adsense is off a little bit, but I'm attributing it to the end of the summer movie season, not the economy per se. (I get a lot of movie trailers on my site, and my users clickety click click them like mad. Entertainment site, ya know.)

However, what is hurting is that a couple of my major CPM banner advertisers -- not with Adsense -- were banks, one of which went glug this week. There went THOSE ad dollars. A major shipper of packages has also stopped advertising on my site; they were paying double-digit CPM for certain demographics. Suspect nobody's buying anything online right now and THEY'RE hurting.

Total impact is pennies per thousand, because other advertisers have filled the holes, but I'm worried about trickle down effect as there are fewer and fewer advertisers and therefore less competition and therefore lower CPMs.

8:46 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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At the moment, it seems that while many firms are cutting down their advertizing, they are taking the money away from the conventional ad-places, and not from Internet/cable-channels (=better focus).
9:07 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Already have a bomb shelter but that is just prudent planning living close to the DC area. It is a modest shelter suitable for 90 days of sustained living for 12 people. It can sustain a almost direct impact from most of todays nuclear yields.

Drall is my new best friend. ;)
9:12 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Suspect nobody's buying anything online right now and THEY'RE hurting.

I doubt that. I am seeing pretty healthy numbers from Amazon. People may buy more online to save on gas...

9:51 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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Suspect nobody's buying anything online right now and THEY'RE hurting.

I'm not really seeing that at all. The people who buy my stuff have money to spend though so it's likely they're ignoring this current crisis. That's what I suspect anyway. Sales are down slightly but not to the levels I would think, given the situation.

By contrast my adsense earnings are higher than they have been in 3 years and have more than compensated for the sales slump. Overall I'm up for the month and I would have NEVER guessed this would happen.

I've been doing this for 10 years and thought I had the ability to predict trends but this one has completely blown me away. Somebody slap me in the forehead...

10:31 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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> Somebody slap me in the forehead...

Me too wyweb
My earnings are the highest ever. Crisis? What crisis. :-)

11:01 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I'm set to have a record month this month with AdSense. So, things are still humming along smoothly in my niche.
11:56 pm on Sept 26, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I don't see any change in earnings.
4:55 am on Sept 28, 2008 (gmt 0)

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I expected a downturn, but have been above average the past 2 weeks. Weird!
12:52 pm on Sept 28, 2008 (gmt 0)

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No downturn here either...
My main concern at the moment is the low Dollar. What do they mean with "the Dollar could crash"?
7:59 pm on Sept 28, 2008 (gmt 0)

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What do they mean with "the Dollar could crash"?

It is hard to imagine how the current crisis, which could cost as much as $2 trillion, can be resolved without eventually resorting to the printing press. Once it becomes apparent that inflation is inevitable holders of dollars will dump them, causing a crash.

Inflation would make all those shaky mortgages easier to pay.

[edited by: OnlyToday at 8:06 pm (utc) on Sep. 28, 2008]

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