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Defending Adsense EPC

... and looking at the longer term picture

         

Macro

10:52 am on Sep 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



There have been numerous threads complaining about EPC drops. I tend not to examine Adsense figures as closely as some on these boards. It's paying healthy money and I concentrate on producing new content, expanding our websites, and occasionally changing ad colour or size. But in the wake of the EPC drops I thought I'd do some research. Some very interesting findings emerged. Among them was the fact that long term EPC has actually improved.

For year ending March 31, 2004 my EPC was "x" (well, almost a year. I joined Adsense a little later than some of you here).

For the first five months of this year (April 01 to Aug 31) the EPC is 115% of "x", a rise of 15%.

On a day by day basis, even a week by week basis, there have been several occasions to be very alarmed. But over the longer time periods examined Adsense is paying very well.

Change in ad colours and sizes that we experimented with is unlikely to have made a big difference to EPC (but possibly to CTR). Adding new content could have affected it but a brief analysis of channels (for the limited time channels has been around) suggests that our newer articles aren't attracting particularly higher EPC ads or skewing the results.

So, some of you may be experiencing declining EPC but I suspect that if you look at the longer term picture it's not declining as sharply as it looks in shorter time frames. So, if it's looking bleak have a look at some longer term figures, they may cheer you up.

(Size of sample for those of you interested = <1,000 clicks per day)

sailorjwd

12:08 pm on Sep 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I also just took a look at an EPC graph from 01 apr through yesterday and found a obvious trend line showing a consistent rise of a few percent each month right through yesterday.

Macro

2:58 pm on Sep 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Looks like a problem with the mulitple posts. Hopefully a mod will delete them.

But, yes, EPC drops are not a universal feature and, I believe, that not all those posting about drops are looking at the wider picture.

Never_again

9:01 pm on Sep 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Just to continue with this good input, we started AS very early on. Our EPC from June 2003 - December 31, 2003 = "x." For the period January 1, 2004 - March 31, 2004 "x" declined 20%. But for the period April 1, 2004 - August 31, 2004 EPC was 122% of "x" (not only did we recover from the 20% drop in the second time period, we picked up another 22%).

Agree with your statement that...

...some of you may be experiencing declining EPC but I suspect that if you look at the longer term picture it's not declining as sharply as it looks in shorter time frames.

Still, there are so many variables (of which only a few are controlled by Google) that impact EPC it is hard to apply one sites experience to other sites and the program in general.

ken_b

9:29 pm on Sep 6, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



I wonder about the value of these kinds of comparisons. Here's why....

Unless the site in question has remained perfectly static over the time period in question, how do you assign credit for the EPC changes?

That said, I went back and looked at my stats.

I started just before the first of the year, so I only looked at Jan - Aug, 2004.

My Epc grew steadily overall for the Jan - Mar period.

April was unpleasant with a 20%+ drop in EPC from the previous period.

Looking at the Apr - Aug numbers shows an increase in EPC of slightly more than 10% from the Jan - Mar numbers.

But here's the problem, the site hasn't remained static. I've added a number of pages, changed pages, introduced new topics to some pages, etc. etc.

So is Google paying better? Or am I simply getting higher paying ads, and clicks on them, because of changes that I made?

Whatever the cause, my numbers are up for the long term. Not dramaticly, but up nonetheless.

You're right though Macro, a longer view might well make things look better for many.

Never_again

2:16 am on Sep 7, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I think you're right ken_b. There are lots of variables and one simply can't use the experience of another site to draw conclusions about your own site. But, as Macro noted, his post was intended to give some contrast to the "numerous threads complaining about EPC drops." I posted in the same spirit.

IMHO, some protest to quickly that Google is doing something to drop their EPC when in fact there are a lot more variables outside of the control of Google that can just as easily account for EPC changes (up or down).

Macro

8:32 am on Sep 7, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



But here's the problem, the site hasn't remained static. I've added a number of pages, changed pages, introduced new topics to some pages, etc. etc.

Interesting. And I agree with you 100%. But maybe the non-static nature of our sites helps. The fact that content is being added on a regular basis in itself could attract a wider range of ads from a wider range of advertisers giving breadth and more stability. Perhaps it's the larger sites with a wider range of topics that are less likely to see EPC drops.

Mauricio

7:20 am on Sep 8, 2004 (gmt 0)



I agree.

I manage two sites with tens of thousands pages and a lot of topics in each one (from kitchen to computers). From june 2003, I noticed a slow fall in EPC but the total revenue is constantly growing because the number of pages (more and better content = more users) increases on a higher percentage.

howiejs

2:58 pm on Sep 8, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I have not added any new pages in the last month - and I have noticed a drop (mostly from Google's SERP change back at the end of Aug).

I feel like I need to add a ton more pages to compensate / bring back the numbers and lead back the revenue

jimbeetle

3:41 pm on Sep 8, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



There are lots of variables and one simply can't use the experience of another site to draw conclusions about your own site...

...there are a lot more variables outside of the control of Google that can just as easily account for EPC changes

So true. My EPC this month is only 2/3 of my last 6-month average -- and it's only the last two days that have brought it up that high. Looking at this month's numbers one would wonder why I'm using Adsense.

And EPC has been trending down since the middle of June. It would be very, very discouraging, but I at least know the reason for it -- we had a little convention here in NYC last week. Travelers, thus also and Adwords advertisers, stayed away in droves. CPCs for what are normally fairly competitive keywords were at the lowest level I've seen in three years. Not very favorable conditions when you use Adsense on a desination guide.

The Labor Day weekend also skewed results downward, so I have to give it a few weeks to see exactly what's what.

trader

4:21 pm on Sep 8, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I noticed several members here and in other threads refer to looking at their EPC Graphs and Adsense Charts and other such terms.

Was wondering exactly how that is done? Is there a program available which does charting of that type?

jimbeetle

7:44 pm on Sep 8, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



Excel.

Dowload any of the reports you run as a CSV file, then go from there.

trader

1:17 am on Sep 10, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Thanks but problem is don't know how to use Excel.

Is there perhaps software we can buy designed for Adsense graphing and data?