Thanks to @Whitey for starting this thread :)
I have been toying with a similar idea, so I'm glad to share some of my recent thinkings with you here.
I'd like to state a few things before I do: To make that clear, I do feel the pain of those being hit harshly, and I am by no means trying to sound patronizing. I'm not a google fanboy either, but -just as the OP suggested- I'm trying to observe the bigger picture without getting stuck in conspiracy theories or emotional outrage... that just won't help. If you look at the mental state of people commenting on Barrys blog, you should realize we are living in a very negative bubble right now, that is dangerous by itself, no matter what google contributes to the mess.
So, take good care of yourselfs out there, and rather keep doing something to keep motivated then slipping into states of hopelessness.
I only run one single website, so nothing I can say is in any way objective.
My site "only" recieves around 450 clicks from google a day - but I manage to make around 2k a month with the site. I started in 2011 and was hit by some google algo update really badly in 2016.
I went thru the pain and got myself back into a "real" job to pay the bills, so, yes, I've been thru all of the pain years ago.
This time around, my site was neither hit in September, nor this spring, I'm actually up 30% YoY compared to 2023.
I have the following impression which I'd like to share with you:
- Most SEOs/Webmasters I see posting are wanting to get back to where things were X month ago. Get that revenue back, get the amount of visitors back ... sure, that's understandable.
But: Why do I have the impression people fail to recognize the world is changing rapidly, and why does nobody dare to consider that maybe the past years success were the unrealistic phase, or maybe just a temporary term that allowed for certain business models?
Sure, if you happened to build a career during the past ten years and have adopted to thinking this was a viable way to feed a family, that is hard to accept.
You can go back and try to "fix things" hoping it will turn things around, but if there is a grain of truth to my thought, you might as well spend time trying to revive a dead horse that will not smell any better in a year from now, as the digital world is moving on, and especially younger people are moving away from the classic ways to use the web that you and me are so fond of.
I bet any 20 year old has totally different view and expectations towards google then us folks, and by the time we have overhauled our content for the nth time, that generation will have completely adopted to finding info on TikTok, shopping on Temu and getting answers from chatGPT. This has nothing to do with your site and the quality you have managed to create, don't be fooled to think you made a mistake - things are moving on.
Maybe all the HCU fuss is about google realizing this is happening in the long run, and trying to find ways that keep it relevant and profitable. They might be a victim of the changing times just as much as webmasters feel they are a victim of googles HCU.
I'm aware I am playing the devils advocate here, but I'm hoping it may be perceived as a valid perspective to add to the discussion, and might even help someone in need of a wise life decision to get there.
Maybe you must review you project and ask yourself:
- is it possible your site does serve a purpose, but failed to become a reference or brand? I see people posting stats who gained literally millions of google clicks every day for years, but obviously nobody of those millions of eyeballs recognized that page was worth remembering.
If you have had such strong traffic for a longer period of time and still nobody remembers, recommends or misses your site, then that does indicate something.
I'm aware building a brand deliberately is difficult, but if you had zillions of visitors over a decade and have not accidentally built the slightest brand in the course of the years, then that is quite odd, too.
If people claim the HCU had killed the independent publishers, to then reveal google was able to obliterate their projects traffic by 95% in two days, then one must wonder where the claimed independence is hiding. To be that dependent on google was a mistake (hey, I've made it, too!), maybe it is better to fix that aspect (or give up the idea of your project being a source of reliable income) then to put energy into re-instating that unhealthy addiction to googles traffic.
One more:
I believe it is agreed that google has been able to analyze & predict searcher intent for quite some time, especially with regard of the potential intent to spend money during the current browsing session.
It will not take nearly as much wizardry to determine a websites publishers intent.
I feel much of what the HCU does seem to do has to do with publishers intent.
From what I have read, "informational" or "review" sites with the publishers intent to make money off of ads, affiliate links or lead-gen are being hit the hardest.
They have the "secret intent" of making a living off of that site, while presenting they love to share information out of sheer goodness, which is a bit of a hoax, really.
People who used to build websites to share their love for some topic out of sheer goodness look very different to SEO optimised and keyword researched articles, let's be honest.
There are also rumors sites that have a shop and openly sell something are less affected - that would fit the "publisher intent" theory, as those publishers openly admit what the intention is. Wanting to sell a product is not a bad thing, and operating a shop always comes with much higher credibility barriers (as you need to be approved by some payment provider and have commerce legislation to obey, which pure blogs don't have to). From googles perspective, such sites are potential advertising customers, as they "only" need to raise prices by the PPC for a google ad (in theory) to stay afloat. That is a major difference to the first group of sites, think about it!
Last, we see UGC being pushed heavily - what is the publisher intent here? As long as the UGC is not bot-spammed and abused by some SEO tacticians, genuine user generated content still has that non-commercial publisher intent. BiggusDickus1984 on reddit does not make any dollars, he/she/it may be biased by a lot of things, but squeezing money is not one of them. Which is why both users and AI-training-data scouts are fond of well spam-flltered UGC IMO.
What worked well for me in the long run was to untangle income-generation from my website, and let it run as a profitable side gig. Interest in what my site is all about has been going down steadily (check google trends for your topics overall popularity some time, look at minimum five years trends to get away from the algo hurt!), but those who are interested in my niche realize what unique service they find, and are willing to support that. Having 60% direct traffic, 20% branded search and 20% organic keyword search is closer to independence then many sites I have looked at. Maybe that is a route that may work for some of you, too.
Sorry for the endless read & thanks for having me :)