I was hit by Penguin in Oct 13 (negative seo attack). I lost 85% of my Google organic traffic.
I disavowed and appear to have recovered from Penguin on the 3.0 update. However my traffic only increased by about 30%. So I am still only at about 40% of my original pre Oct 13 traffic.
There must have been a recovery of Penguin to see the sudden 30% jump. During the penalty I was on pages 5, 6, 7 but now I'm on my page 2. Instead of being in positions 1-3 for my keywords, like I was over a year ago, I'm at positions 24-28.
Firstly, is Penguin an "on / off" penalty, or are there different levels of the penalty?
Secondly, I could have been affected by Panda whilst under the Penguin penalty, but how do I know? I wouldn't see any traffic differences because traffic has always been incredibly low during the penalty.
Some of you might say the links I disavowed were helping me before the penalty, so I can't expect to rank well having disavowed them. Well I don't believe this because all the neg seo links were so unbelievably poor, they could never help. Secondly, there are now sites ranking above me that have a much worse backlink profile than mine. It's not a high competitive niche that I am in.