@scottsonline
"The beauty of google was that it gave the little guy an equal chance. That chance is being crushed slowly."
The reality is there weren't as many web sites not so long ago as there are now. I started sites back as early as 1996 as a hobby. It was fun back then. I started using AdSense in 2003 and have essentially retired. My sites are small, but good niches so income is good.
These days I have relatives and friends out of work who all want to know 'how I did it'. They want to get into the game. They need money. They think a web site is the answer. They fail to realize that the Gold Rush is over. They also don't take into account I've been doing this for many, many years. Competition for jewelery sales (an example a cousin of mine wants help setting up a site for) is in the millions. And, he's pi$$ed because his GoDaddy site isn't doing well even though he pays GoDaddy US$30 extra a month (or something like that) for "visibility".
When the number of 'little guys' ends up being the majority, as is the scenario today, it's hard to expect to be ranked highly especially if one is new.
The reality is that Google can not give *every* 'little guy' a chance (or at least the 'chance' they believe they are due).
@plumsauce: Right on. Content is king. Longevity comes close. Nothing has really changed.
I make in the 6 figures from some small niche forums. I don't sell things in my forums. I give away technical information and help (well, you do have to Register if you want to post, but registration is free). In the early days before I started doing forums in 1997-98 I did all the content. These days the visitors provide the content. I'm a one man show who does everything from managing the servers, to backups, etc., and I keep the sites clean, neat, on topic, in control and spam free. I visit each one, and to some degree participate in each, a few times a day, 7 days a week. My domains are all paid through 2019 or 2020. I'm sixty years old now so by the time they expire I'll be 70. And if everything continues as it is now, I'm sure I'll renew them all in 2015 for another 5 or ten years.
As to the original poster, I see no noose tightening. The only down year I have had was 2007 (and it was a 'stay even' year, not a loss year). I never see the effects people talk about when the Google updates come (e.g.: Florida which so many people described as disastrous). This year my little sites are still getting significantly more visitors than last year (and the year before, and the year before), eCPM is way up, as are page views. I will also say I do not do SEO on any of my sites any more, other than the occasional tweak once or twice a year. The basics haven't changed.
I will say that thinking back over the years, there were some forums in a couple of my niches which tried to compete. All are long gone. I credit my personal interest in each as the reason my sites continue to today and continue to become more popular.
Again - I'm a 'one man band'. I'm not a 'big guy'. I've never done link exchanges other than a few with sites some time back, I've never advertised, and I don't pay much attention to SEO. Yet - Every year is better than the one before. Heck, I've never even had a business plan. This all sorta 'happened' as a result of a hobby (I also did BBS stuff on landline modems in the 1980's running BBS-PC on an Amiga 1000) and passion for electronic medium and communications.
The internet is just evolving as one would expect. There are some winners and some losers (mostly losers these days). But that can be said about all aspects of life.