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Earlier, it seems that YPN would actually increase the value for an AdSense publisher, who decides to stick on, but it seems opposite now.
The Advertisers, i guess, are now trying cheaper options of advertising like overture and other ppc and the overall earnings of AdSense seems to be reduced and has its impact on the publisher community.
It may be too early to conclude anything, but with atleat 8 out of 10 people feeling the downtrend, it seems that AdSense revenue bubble might burst or atleast deflate to a level where it is not too attractive for publishers to monetize their content with AdSense.
It so many publishers are feeling the heat, I am sure that the heat must have been felt at the Googleplex also.
With this said my ECPM is 50% of last year (starting in January 05) but I believe this is due to a large increase in my traffic.
where do you get this " 8 out of 10 feeling the downtrend " data stuff? i doubt you have interviewed every adsense publisher out there so can i assume you are just inventing these figures?
solid facts are needed to make this worthwhile for discussion.
I challenge the figures you are quoting as fact:
> atleat 8 out of 10 people feeling the downtrend
EXACTLY where did you see this number stated that was derived by statistically sound polling methodology & acceptable survey sampling size to assure accuracy within, say, + or minus 5% standard deviation?
There hasn't been any such study conducted. Therefore your statement is just pure speculation. Most likely you just wish to cause agitation and angst amongst this board's participants.
Do you have anything CONSTRUCTIVE to contribute?
I'm not going to post anything if my earnings are unchanged. I'm probably not going to post anything if I have a modest increase. I'm only going to post if I have a massive increase or a crushing drop.
If we guess that 9/10 of users won't have an enormous change, and we guess that 9/10 those who have had an enormous change won't post about it, your 8 out of 10 becomes just 8 out of 1000.
The reality is people doing well don't generally post to say "I'm doing well".
So if you see a handful posting to say their revenue has dropped, you can automatically assume it to be a very small proportion.
I'm one of the 992.
I'm more concerned about the whole economic-prosperity bubble deflating due to oil prices and terrorism concerns and generally becoming overextended.
Re the original post--like many others, the first week of Sept. was not good for me, but that's not surprising, considering Labor Day and Katrina. Last few days have been much better, and this Sept. should be at least triple LAST September....
I get a little anxious every time a new "feature" is introduced, but so far I wouldn't be able to tell you when they were introduced by looking at a revenue graph.
I've seen this since the beginning of AdSense, but lately it's becoming more pronounced. Does anyone else see this?
After the changes in Adwords pricing it appears to me that some advertisers had some difficulty adjusting to the new system. On my site, that looks like it resulted in a big pile of additional earnings that could not be justified on any other basis that I know of.
We aren't far enough into September to say for sure, but it's beginning to look like more and more advertizers are figuring out how to maintain a lower, and perhaps more rational CPC.
In the long run I see that as a good thing, because it means fewer advertizers will opt out or just run fewer ads.
However, this was a traffic drop + an eCPM drop.
eCPM has cimbed back to normal, traffic still hasn't, though its inching up.
Nothing yet to indicate an overall Adsense slump - even my traffic slump seems to have affected only a few (No ranking drops).
Nothing to justify a doomsday prediction yet. :-)