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Decline in EPC, anyone else?

Dramatic drop for the last week

         

BennyBlanco

2:28 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Hey guys,

Has anyone else noticed a serious decline in EPC since about a week ago? I am seeing earning drop as much as 70% with no drop in traffic, CTR, or ads displayed on the pages.

Has there maybe been a smartpriceing update that is costing AS publishers? Just wanted to see if anyone else had noticed. I would imagine the answers will be no as someone else would have posted about it by now.

Thanks

alika

2:52 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



Our EPC decreased this month compared to same period last month by 14%. But revenues is up by 15% because the number of clicks increased by 33%.

As long as our revenues are increasing, we don't care much about EPC. At the end of the month, it is the revenues that we bring to the bank, not EPC.

NickCoons

3:09 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Not here.. both EPC and total revenue are at an all-time high this month. In fact, yesterday alone was a record-breaking day.

Traffic has only increased by about 15% over last month, but EPC and revenues have gone up substantially more. I have no idea why, really.

sailorjwd

3:16 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



For me, it dropped about 20% starting Monday and continuing so far through today. But, last week was my all time best week.

trader

3:48 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



It is amazing that when threads appear about declines there always seems to be some members who say the opposite! Have seen this happen in lots of other threads since I started using this valuable forum. (anyone know why this occurs so often)?

Recently (this week in particular) my EPC and other categories i.e. CTR, plus bottom-line $ have gone up nicely and am very well satisfied.

This is with few and minor changes to content and also across a good size and diverse network of sites so my feedback is not due to an anomaly attributable to a relatively small sample size.

[edited by: trader at 3:58 pm (utc) on Oct. 21, 2004]

alika

3:53 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



(anyone know why this occurs so often)?

Misery loves company? It feels good to know that you are not the only person in the planet experiencing downturns :o)

Plus, we like to see whether this vague concept called "smart pricing" is affecting everyone the same way -- e.g. downturns.

ownerrim

3:55 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



EPC on the bulk of my site dropped by about 2/3. However, added content in different areas (hence, different advertisers) has slowed the blood loss and earnings overall are down by about 25%. Additional content may make earnings next month equal to earnings 2 months ago. Anyone who says this is easy money....However, it does make for an engaging challenge.

dmedia

7:40 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Another "me to" .. experiencing that hamster on a treadmill feeling regarding "smart*ss pricing" ;)

Seems like the "woowoo" happy feeling I get when I add some new pages that generate heightened EPC .. is often followed the next week by the "doh" unhappiness of overall reduction in EPC.

The routine is becoming a monotony of iritation .. increase new traffic/ad views by a factor of 2 and increase overall revenue by .2

But then again, it sure beats working for a living.

mike schmitz

8:39 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I had a great month going until Monday as well.

Dropped 40%.

I thought it was AdSense targeting change but I am pretty sure it was pricing difference.

M

signup1

9:43 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Mine got increase by 500% on EPC. the keyword was paying X two weeks agao, and now it is 6x. I got 100s clicks per day, so I am sure it is not just a one time thing. Some clicks still only the minimal 0.03 per click, but on average, it is the highest one, better than M word. M word still has some high payers, but after the first few clicks, it drops to very low, because the demand is very low..

btas2

9:58 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



After analyzing my last 9 months AdSense data I can clearly see that there has been a obvious drop in EPC over that time period.

In the same time span both my total number of impressions and total number of clicks have also increased, so my bottom line has shown some growth.

However there's a clear inverse correlation bewteen number of impressions and earnings per click.

The more impressions I serve, the more clicks I get, but the less each click is worth.

I don't know if I would have seen the same drop in EPC if I hadn't increased traffic of course, but it's certainly seems that I'm swimming against the stream. I have to run faster and faster (i.e. put more and more hours into site development) just to stay still, and I have to work twice that hard just to see a small increase in revenue.

The "black hole" policy of Google is annoying. They get all my data, but I only get back vague hints about what they do with it and how they figure out what to pay me. If they weren't still the best deal in town I'd leave and find someone else who was a bit more transparent in their operation. But they are the best deal in town, and I guess they know that!

yosemite

10:22 pm on Oct 21, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Late last month my earnings went down about 33-45%. I figured it was "just one of those things" since other people reported similar downturns. However, for the last week or so things are back up again. Today looks to be particularly spectacular.

I am trying to just take it all in stride because I'm sure my earnings will go down (and up) again. All I can say is that I am glad that my earnings did go up. I assume that it is that way for all of us. Up, down, up, down.

It's good that people have threads like this because I guess we need to know that others are having similar results. (It isn't just us.) Makes us feel better.

I know that I would have been really concerned about last month's downturn had it not been for the threads on this message board—I was then prepared for it.

mike schmitz

3:34 am on Oct 22, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I agree with you Yosemite - the hard part is sometimes I spend hours and hours trying to adjust my page urls and keywords in order to get better ads on the page in hopes of raising CPCs or CTR - when the real variable is something I have no control over - Google.

M

trader

4:36 am on Oct 22, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



"The more impressions I serve, the more clicks I get, but the less each click is worth."

Generally speaking I agree with that post from above, not that it is correct but only the observation. It seems that way quite freqently, almost like G decides to adjust your EPC up or down based on your overall stats and the bottom line.

Sometimes I can't help but wonder (far fetched?) if they somehow figure by lowering your EPC as impressions/clicks increase that will make you work even harder at optimizing the adsense and adding more content in the future?

It always seems we need to work harder and harder to keep the revenue status quo or make a little headway.

Sunflux

4:57 am on Oct 22, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Mmm, I had a decline, but it was on Saturday, not Monday. Then another, but it was on Tuesday. So it doesn't really match up.

Dazlug

5:45 am on Oct 22, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I have experienced a 50% decrease in EPC, but have over the last few weeks been seeing a steady increase in number of clicks and page views. This nets a result of about a 1/3 drop in daily revenue for October.

trader

2:40 pm on Oct 22, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



An odd possibility is perhaps G feels like more successful publishers do not need high EPC's as much as smaller ones do so as your daily impressions/clicks increase your EPC is adjusted down from time to time.

Often it appears that is the case but in all likelihood it is far fetched and not so. I know many publishers need to work harder and harder to simply stay even or make advancements.

Does anyone here think this could be true?

P.S. Comments here or any other posts I make are not negative toward G. I sincerely believe G is the greatest and am extremely happy with them overall.

walrus

3:01 pm on Oct 22, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I've noticed an "against the wind" type of earnings as well for two months now.
There appears to be little doubt that generally publishers have taken some kind of hit in the percentage payout, maybe some kind of floating scale or a pro rating applied individually to accounts.
...just had to toss another theory in the pot.

darkmage

3:52 am on Oct 24, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Hey walrus, I don't think that is the case because there are publishers out there who are having a really good month. They tend to be silent in these threads (for good reasons).

I think what would be useful in these threads is if publishers complaining of a downward turn in earnings state the type of site they have. Eg Travel (Hotels), Travel (Flights), Games (reviews), Games (Sales) etc.

This way you will have some pointer as to whether it is your sector and seasonal factors or your site.

yosemite

6:29 am on Oct 24, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Like I mentioned earlier in this thread, I've had an upturn, after a few weeks of a downturn (starting in late Sept.). There was a thread started back then which I participated in—others were having the same downturn.

Now I'm going back up again—I won't say it's quite as good as it was before the downturn. I did make some optimization changes to my sites to increase impressions and CTR slightly so that accounts from some of the improvement. But I feel like I've mostly recovered from the downturn. How long this nice increase (or recovery, depending on how you look at it) will last is anyone's guess.

My sites are diverse in subject matter. The two most popular subjects are related to a creative hobby, and education (i.e. my site is often used as an educational reference). Don't know if this helps or is relevant.

morpheus83

3:10 pm on Oct 24, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



What I have noticed is between 15 - 25th of every month EPC falls. It rises during the end and beginning of the month.

europeforvisitors

9:23 pm on Oct 24, 2004 (gmt 0)



Has anyone else noticed a serious decline in EPC since about a week ago?

I don't track EPC, because effective CPM is a much more useful metric for publishers. And I'm happy to say that my CPM has been climbing: October has been better than September, and late October has been better than early October. This has come as a real surprise to me, because I'd expect revenues for a European leisure-travel site to be dropping off with the gloomy, stay-at-home month of November just a week away.

I don't know what the reason for my site's rising CPM has been; the most likely explanation is an influx of advertisers for some of my topics and subtopics. Another possibility is that Google has adjusted its "smart pricing" algorithm in a way that benefits certain types of content or sites.

Mentat

9:31 pm on Oct 24, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



For me i can see clearly a decline since Thursday, October 21, 2004!

And it getting worse :(

My trafiic is ~ stable but EPC is lower and lower...

alvin123

12:27 am on Oct 25, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I have also seen a dramtic decline in both EPC and CPM since Oct. 21st.

asinah

3:17 am on Oct 25, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



October has been our best month so far and our revenues are up by 40% compared to last month, thanks to our new Spanish, Portuguese, Chinese, Japanese and Korean travel content.

walrus

6:58 pm on Oct 25, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



<Hey walrus, I don't think that is the case because there are publishers out there who are having a really good month. They tend to be silent in these threads>

You're right,
I should have accompanied that with a reminder that swings in earnings are normal and the pro ratings just a crazy theory i should have kept to myself.

<This way you will have some pointer as to whether it is your sector and seasonal factors or your site.>

I'd need a mods opinion on posting details like that, or Adsense Guy cause of the pros and cons of it?
I guess seasonal and sector factors are what most of us go through.