(I'm pretty sure you are thinking of a different thing: the fact that a keyword can be disabled after 1000 impressions for an individual keyword - or that an account can be 'slowed' for its most recent 1000 impressions for all keywords combined, if the minimum CTR standard has not been met.)
When you enter a new keyword, you are correct that it has no history. So the AdWords system gives it a moderate CTR to get it started. However, as soon as it has had even one impression and/or click, then it has its own 'earned' CTR.
For example, if the keyword has one impression, and one click, you have a 100% CTR (Yippee!). If it then goes on to have 10 impressions and one click, it has a 1% CTR, and so on, and so on, and so on.
In other words, the CTR changes with every impression and click from then on out.
Hope this makes sense
What exactly is the moderate CTR? Is it the average of CTR of all the advertisers for that particular keyword? I presume the moderate CTR will be different for each of the million keywords out there.
I had always assumed that the system assigns an initial avg position for the ad after considering the max CPC of the keyword and the average CTR of the advertisers for the keyword.
That's why I always pump up the max CPC of the keywords initially even if I cannot afford to pay that much for a click.
However, as soon as it has had even one impression and/or click, then it has its own 'earned' CTR.
I dont think so, it must have at least 1 click, not 1 impression, then it could has it own CTR.
If it has only 1 impressions, but no clicks (and this happends almost 100% of the time), its CTR is 0%, and it will always be shown at the last place, even its CPC is $50/click. This is not logic.
What exactly is the moderate CTR? Is it the average of CTR of all the advertisers for that particular keyword?...
Very sharp there, vibgyor79! You are correct, and to your statement I would add just one small detail:
It is the average of CTR of all the advertisers for that particular keyword, at the time you enter the keyword.