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I can look at my traffic first, and pretty much guess how my pages ranked for the day in G.
Sharp spikes in traffic due to external factors never seemed to affect SERPs for me.
Sustained traffic due to good new links is another matter. THOSE could affect SERPs. -Larry
[channel9.msdn.com...]
Half way through they discuss that a ranking factor is the number of people who click on a specific result on a page of serps.
So for a search phrase 'widgets' then if the 3rd results gets all the traffic it ranks better
that is my understanding anyway - let me know your thoughts.
cheers.
Think about it. You're starting from Google's site. They know where you start and can track where you go, and for how long. What would better determine actual relevance to a user, than actual user behavior within the presented results of a keyword search?
IMO, this one's a no-brainer. I am absolutely certain it's factored in. In fact, click traffic volume and stickiness tracking could be the paramount factor. And impossible to hack -- no matter how enterprising the SEO.
ie your site is on page 499 for a major search result and you find it and click on it, does it then rank higher the next time someone searches the same keyword?
ps is there a way to find what page your site is on (if any) for keyword searches?
On the other hand, it would be feasible for a SE to deeply analyze "long tail" data for sites that have not yet achieved prominence.
The SE could study user behaviour when a new, or less-prominent site appears on the first page of the SERPs for an obscure, multi-word search. Conceivably, a "signal of quality" might emerge from this user-generated data, which would allow the SE to remove, or dial back filters that would otherwise apply to a new site (e.g. reducing or triggering a removal of the infamous "sandbox" effect").
In other words, if users consistently click on listings for a new site when it happens to be listed on the first page of the SERPs for "Obscure Topic Related to Bright Blue Widgets", that user response might give the SE a reason to allow the site to appear on the first page of the SERPs for the less obscure phrase "Bright Blue widgets"
Eventually the site might even emerge from obscurity and appear on the first page of the SERPs for the hugely important "Widgets" -- provided the CTR data, "stickiness" data, link growth data, and other indicators all confirm these early indicators of quality.
Just a thought experiment --- I have no idea whether, or to what extent, the SEs are actually doing this.