joined:Jan 22, 2005
Here are your predictions at the end of 2009 (and there is a link to the end of 2008).
So, how did I do?
I did get the house painted, inside and out. Took several small vacations instead of one big one. Went back to the gym. And left. So, personal predictions, pretty good.
Otherwise? Terrible. A lot of wishful thinking.
I said cable TV will seriously get worried about the web. You might think this is true and it is, but it didn't happen to at the level I thought it would.
Video on Amazon? I haven't see it, probably somewhere on their site, but it's not a major deal.
Bing explodes? It's done OK I guess, but not like I thought it might.
But, I LOVE this one. I predicted that the term "social media" will be heard less, but that social media will be used on more mainstream web sites. I was so wrong on the first, any points from the second shouldn't count.
I said the overall stock market will be about where it is. It's up about 10 percent. I'm happy to be wrong about that and I did make a change in March that took advantage of that.
The past is sooo boring, it's the future that brings you here. It's where we're all going, together.
I STILL think "social media" is going to lose its glam for us digital types. We'll do it, but not work it.
Instead, what is going to take a lot of webmaster time will be mobile. The pads will not be able to be ignored for much longer. Everyone is going to need a re-work for touch screens. Even your mother. It's going to be a monster PITA. If you are not getting paid by the hour now, look into it.
I predict Flash will come to the iPad and iPhone this year. Somehow. There will be a "breakthrough."
Personal? More small vacations. I liked that. Biz, good stuff. I expect my one man consulting firm to pull in six figures for the first time.