Forum Moderators: martinibuster
The only way to know for sure based on AdSense stats is to look at them the next day (maybe the day after that). Even then, unless the channel only got 1 click, you'd never know for sure what any given click earned.
An average is about as good as AdSense stats can get.
I have assumed it is a 'penalised' adwords advertiser who either didn't know better, or chose to run the ad anyway :)
You know - you hear adwords advertisers complaining 'the amount for my ad increased to $10 - whats this quality score thing?' One of those guys.
But could also be a seasonal peak in some sector. For example during the do-your-taxes-period price of a click can rise from $0.05 to $50.0 (because it's very likely that user clicking the ad during that period will make a deal that makes a lot of money in the long term for the advertizer).
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The next day the earnings were back up to normal. Then, I remembered the four $20 clicks days before. It all made sense.
I had mentioned that fact here one time long ago, and the consensus was Google did not give the money back to the publisher because they made a mistake in bidding.
They may however give it back if a competitor clicked the ads. I just find it so unlikely that a competitor has the time to find a publisher site to click competitor ads. How many sites would you have to surf to find small publishers with your competitor's ads on them?
I know it was problem within search results on Google's own site, but I don't see it going beyond that. This incident was back a couple years ago, as I recall, before advertisers could target specific publisher's sites.
It seemed more likely to me, that I just gave my legitimate traffic to the guy who whined about a mistake he made, and lost my commission.