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For this reason I will keep my post away from math and stats concepts. Just at emotional level.
I’ve been with Adsense since the beginning. Many years with lot of work on contents, codes, and excel’s graphics. Most part of my time was building clean sites with quality information and Adsense taking care of the material$ things.
My model has been very simple. Hard work and trust in big G.
Now I’m worried because IMHO thing are changing. Suddenly, some ad spaces are paid to me at very low price, take away my visitor and put him/her in front of what?....in front of another adsense ad in another site with no content but with the good paying advertisers! (…advertisers that may be in my site).
Please Google do something! Adsense competitors may take advantage of this “event”.
The loyalty of so many talented adsensers is with you. You may continue to be the number one. Just remember that an adsense phenomenon is composed by a Corp and the adsensers.