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mechanistic underpinning to smartpricing.

         

hermes

11:04 pm on Nov 12, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



The mechanistic underpinning to smartpricing is thought to be down to conversions.

BUT how many adwords clients have conversion tracking on their account? We of course cannot know for sure - but has anyone a reasoned estimate? I would guess not that high a percentage.

This begs the question - how does smartpricing work for adsense adverts shown for advertisers not implementing conversion tracking? Is there no smartpricing perhaps for these advertts?

Could we as adsense guys try and manipulate the ads shown that we have worked out are implementing smartpricing. Save ourselves this battle with voodoo. Maybe there are some content sectors where less advertisors are implementing conversion tracking.

Smartpricing seems strange to me as:

) google is payed per click (regardless of conversion)
) publisher payment is heavily tied to conversion

So, with an advert that does not convert very well - the advertiser is still paying the same but the publisher gets less. Which means that google gets more. Why does google not pass this publisher discount onto the advertiser?

Because of course then the advertiser could manipulate - "I have no conversions. Give me a discount". But google should set its mind to working this out. If the publisher is paid less this discount should be passed onto the advertiser.

Forgive me if I have completely misunderstood this gig. Just some of my thoughts, at my current level of understanding.

hunderdown

11:55 pm on Nov 12, 2005 (gmt 0)



Smartpricing seems strange to me as:

) google is payed per click (regardless of conversion)
) publisher payment is heavily tied to conversion

Google claims that it is the advertiser's payment that is discounted, and that Google then passes through a percentage of whatever that is to the publisher. That's what they say. Some here say they think Google keeps more when the discount is higher.

Google also says that they base the discount on conversion, but as you say many advertisers do not track conversion. My feeling is that they then fall back on factors associated with conversion, such as click-through rate, perhaps how tightly the ad's keywords are matched to the keywords on the page, and some advertiser factors they mentioned recently in the AdSense blog (you should go read that). I don't think that smart pricing doesn't happen just because they don't have conversion data.

jomaxx

11:58 pm on Nov 12, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



how does smartpricing work for adsense adverts shown for advertisers not implementing conversion tracking?

"On-page factors" (in other words what your site's purpose is), probably determined both by algorithm and manual inspection. A site's average rating for other advertisers, probably. User behaviour after the click, possibly. CTR possibly, although I personally don't think it would correlate well with the conversion rate.

the advertiser is still paying the same but the publisher gets less. Which means that google gets more. Why does google not pass this publisher discount onto the advertiser?

They do. That's the exact reason why smart pricing exists - to give the advertiser a discount for lower quality traffic.

Because of course then the advertiser could manipulate

I don't think there can be any question that sites are be based on RELATIVE conversion rates rather than absolute ones. If your site converts better than average for a given advertiser then you will be rewarded. If it converts worse than average you will not earn as much. Whether the merchant defines a "conversion" in such a way that they convert 1 in 1000 or 1 in 10 is irrelevant.

a1call

12:18 am on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Hi,
I think the concept is flawed because it is subject to being gamed by the advertisers. Advertiser X is encouraged by common sense to put the success page out of reach of the clicker. This should logically contribute to the common advertiser goal of increasing the availability of cheaper venues to advertise on. In other words this will contribute to lowering the average bid. IMO smart pricing is an oxymoron.

aeiouy

12:19 am on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Actually google has said click-through rate has nothing to do with Smart Pricing.

I imagine such things as time on site and other factors might come into play with smart pricing.

I don't really know what kind of information Google has on advertisers.. so I don't know...

jomaxx

12:28 am on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Advertiser X is encouraged by common sense to put the success page out of reach of the clicker. This should logically contribute to the common advertiser goal of increasing the availability of cheaper venues to advertise on.

Please see my preceding post. This strategy will only work if Google are idiots, which they're not. They're extremely smart, they may well be too smart for their own good, but they ain't idiots.

hunderdown

1:48 am on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)



aeiouy, where did you see Google say that CTR has nothing to do with Smart Pricing? The only direct statement I've seen is this, from the AdSense Blog: "Clickthrough rate doesn't affect advertiser return on investment (ROI)."

If you're relying on that statement and the paragraph that follows it, well, they've actually left themselves some wiggle room.

Have you seen something else?

They use conversions when they can, but when conversions aren't available, they have to use other factors...

hermes

2:03 am on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



You can gain some insight into conversions if you open an adwords account and snoop around the relevant documentation. A conversion is measured basically by the clicker reaching some monitored url by google. And in that case this point is very valid:

"Advertiser X is encouraged by common sense to put the success page out of reach of the clicker."

hermes

2:06 am on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



"Google claims that it is the advertiser's payment that is discounted"

I didn't read anything about this in the adwords conversion documentation - even under the "What are the benefits of setting up conversion" (or words to that effect). So, I would guess google must break this good news once you set it up and get it going.

elfred

8:38 am on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



While I agree that not many advertisers are using conversion tracking, I have to say that I would worry only about a couple of advertisers appearing on my sites. The big players.

oddsod

2:32 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I would guess google must break this good news once you set it up and get it going.

As an adwords advertiser I do not recall ever getting that "good news".

In fact, I don't have any statement telling me how much my total bill is being discounted thanks to Smartpricing.

In fact, there is almost nothing we know about the "refund" that is apparently the cause of SP existing. We don't know if it's been applied to our account, when, how much or on what campaigns.

The bottom line is this: It's like religion. You've just got to believe.

europeforvisitors

3:41 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)



The bottom line is this: It's like religion. You've just got to believe.

You need to believe only that Google is honoring its promises to advertisers. And Google really does deserve credit for introducing smart pricing--after all, when was the last time a TV network gave discounts for bathroom visits during Super Bowl commercials? :-)

dzcap

4:16 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



i believe sp is simply a way to make publishers earn less, its a good thing ypn is coming up strong, no more monopoly for adsense, google will eventually have to do something about the sp

europeforvisitors

5:15 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)



i believe sp is simply a way to make publishers earn less, its a good thing ypn is coming up strong, no more monopoly for adsense, google will eventually have to do something about the sp

It's more likely that YPN will need to introduce its own version of smart pricing or a workable alternative if it wants to attract and keep advertisers. For example, YPN (or Google, for that matter) could allow advertisers to:

- Place CPC bids for specific sites, as they can do with AdSense site-targeted CPM ads;

- Include or exclude whole types of content (forums, directory pages, pages with a high advertising-to-content ratio, etc.);

- Automatically exclude publishers (not just sites) that don't meet the advertiser's own conversion goals, as determined by conversion tracking;

It's just not realistic to expect that advertisers will pay full retail for clicks from anybody and everybody--especially with so many cynical, greedy Web entrepreneurs trying to exploit the system.

Side note: For advertisers who don't trust Google to supply its promised "smart pricing" discounts, or for publisher-advertisers who believe that all clicks convert equally well, I'd like to suggest that Google introduce a "Full-Price Option" (FPO) for advertisers. This would eliminate uncertainty for the advertisers, and it would allow those publisher-advertisers to demonstrate the power of their convictions. :-)

ronmcd

5:28 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Yahoo wont need smartpricing if they prevent low quality sites from displaying the ads. Smart pricing only exists because google didnt vet every site, if I was being uncharitable I might even say google is directly to blame for all the scraping tools and auto generated sites cluttering the serps. Imagine if google HAD cheched every site: there would be many many fewer publishers but they would be earning significantly more from their quality sites, and many more advertisers would use the content network, creating even more revenue. Hindsights a great thing....

..then again, that suggests google didnt realise what was going to happen: perhaps they did and have been quite happy to receive the revenue generated by scraper sites.

hdpt00

5:54 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)



Just ignore efv, he'd jump off a bridge if google told him too. SP is a joke, come on YPN and MSN.

dzcap

6:02 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



the bottomline is smart pricing is flawed and needs to be abandoned, now the question is how to force them to take action

DavidDeprice

6:35 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



"Clickthrough rate doesn't affect advertiser return on investment (ROI)."

This statement probably has to do with the new AdWords algo. Before, the highter CTR people had, the less they could bid and maintain their ad position. Now the algo changed and Google said that having higher CTR does not mean your minimum bid will drop. In fact it does not.
Smartpricing from what I've read is directly tied to conversion. Conversion is how many people bought, out of 100 who clicked. CTR is how many clicks you get per 100 impressions.
Conversion rate and CTR are entirely different. Smart pricing is CTR independent, but CV dependent. As for how many people use conversion tracking - all experienced advertisers do.

dzcap

6:47 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



And how much of the advertisers are experienced? Sites are being smart priced based on the assumption that they're unlikely to convert. What a piece of crap model.

DavidDeprice

6:47 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Yahoo wont need smartpricing if they prevent low quality sites from displaying the ads. Smart pricing only exists because google didnt vet every site, if I was being uncharitable I might even say google is directly to blame for all the scraping tools and auto generated sites cluttering the serps.

100% hog wash. First of all, YPN has their own version of smartpricing. Second, smartpricing has nothing to do with site being good or bad. Let's say you have two sites about ocean cruises. The first site is a blog of a person who works on the cruise ship. Let's say she is a waitress or a maid or works in casino. She talks about her experience, the vacationers, the sailors - whatever.
That site is likely to have a lot of cruise ads (which by the way can bring you 2 bucks a click), but because most people who'd read the site would not be interested in buying cruises but maybe working on cruise ships, the site is likely to get smartpriced, despite being good and unique. The second site may be about senior friendly cruises or romantic cruises or family cruises. It probably would get a much higher conversion and avoid being smart priced.
It's has been LONG known that conversion rate for Smart Money Magazine may be very different from Fast Company for same ads. I don't mean specifically these two. ROI for TV ads is different from ROI you'd get from radio ads. Is TV better than radio? or the other way around. The assumption that smartpricing affects "bad sites" is completely wrong. Smartpricing affect sites that produce fewer sales than some average for that ad for that week.

DavidDeprice

6:53 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



And how much of the advertisers are experienced? Sites are being smart priced based on the assumption that they're unlikely to convert. What a piece of crap model.

No, from what we know from Jenstar posts, Google does not go by assumptions. It takes the conversion data that's available. I don't know how many advertisers use conversion tracking tool, but if that number is around 1-2%, that's enough. If you study statistics, you'd know. If you had not had a chance to study statistics, watch election news. There are things called "exit poles". These are remarkably accurate, when done correctly. You don't need to ask everybody "how did you vote". It's enough to ask around less then 100000 Americans when they leave the voting booths, and you'd know the election results for 200 million people who voted with a 2% margin of error.

dzcap

7:03 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Thanks for the lesson but I already know how "statistics" work. I don't believe this works with adsense. They don't KNOW if my sites would convert or not based on data from OTHER sites. Each site is different, content, visitors, ad placement, there is no way they would know, therefore it is an assumption.

europeforvisitors

7:27 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)



Yahoo wont need smartpricing if they prevent low quality sites from displaying the ads.

Quality is only part of the equation. Travel ads on a high-quality "armchair travel" site won't convert as well as travel ads on a travel-planning site, for example. Why? Because armchair travelers travel mostly in their imaginations, while people who visit a travel-planning site are researching ways to spend their money.

When smart pricing was introduced, Google used another example: a page of photo tips vs. a camera review. (The reader of a photo-tips page might see an ad for a Widgetco WC-1 camera and click it to learn more about the camera, while the reader of a Widgetco WC-1 camera review is more likely to be clicking on the ad because he's been presold on the camera and is ready to take the next step.)

DavidDeprice

7:51 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



What do you mean "you don't believe". Google TAKE REAL CONVERSION DATA from your sites, and that's why you are being smart priced

dzcap

8:03 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I think you're confused. When I have an increase in CTR, the EPC drops to a penny or less. Are you trying to tell me ALL the clicks do not convert..sure..I'll believe it. LOL!

DavidDeprice

8:20 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



DZCap, you are smartpriced if your conversion is worse than the average for most ads, in my understanding. It does not mean that none of "your" clicks convert. One or two in a thousand probably do (talking VERY concervative here), but does it mean that you should not be slapped with smartpricing?
Point two - smart pricing and CTR aren't related at all. When you get smart priced, you get less per click. Your CTR is not going to go up, because you got smartpriced.
The idea that "as soon as my CTR goes up I get smartpriced" does not hold water. My average CTR is high single digits. I've had days with 3% CTRs and I had days with 12% CTRs, but this did not result in me getting smart-priced. Some suggest that there is some sort of capping effect - higher CTR, lower EPC, but that's just rumors - people report opposit as well.
Most people who report smart-pricing tend to get very little pay per click, some times 1,2 or 3 cents. I believe that the typical scenario is this - "I started a mortgage site, used to get 50 cents, now I get 5 cents, Google and smartpricing are nothing but fraud."
Well, sorry, there has been a huge shift in how educated advertisers became. They track conversion and advertise on sites that deliver best results. You just have to do that when you pay a few bucks a click.
Please understand that it's not Googles fault. It's google reaction.

dzcap

8:33 pm on Nov 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



You can stop trying to convince me, smart pricing is evil, unfair, dumb, unjustified, etc. My opinion won't change. On another note, I just realized I could've spent my time better instead of arguing online. Not all is lost I guess, at least I did get something out of this and that's to never argue online, LOL!

Clark

1:14 am on Nov 14, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



dzcap is right but he seems to be tiring of arguing with true believers. I got tired of it a week or so earlier :)

Believe a huge public company that they are passing the discount to advertisers. Without people believing them, where would all those poor old Fortune 500 companies be? :)

oddsod

9:06 am on Nov 14, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



The bottom line is this: It's like religion. You've just got to believe.

You need to believe only that Google is honoring its promises to advertisers.

I must be missing something here. What connection does Google honouring promises to advertisers have to Google (or the SP algo) not screwing me over?

Bear in mind that this is the company that lost the # 1 SERPs for Adsense to a hijacker, that can't resolve canonical URLs, that are unable to do anything serious about supplementals.... They can have the greatest intentions in the world but if their smartpricing model is rubbish, it's rubbish. It boils down to "Is Google's guesswork any good?" and "Are they applying that guesswork correctly?" If you don't have faith and just believe you've also got questions like "Does the advertiser really get any of that money back?" and "Is it a fair redistribution?"