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Something is Definitely Screwy at Google

         

Swebbie

4:04 pm on Oct 3, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Something happened on Oct. 1 at Google, no doubt about it. AS revenues tanked, CTR tanked, ad relevancy tanked. I have been pouring over my traffic logs and rankings in the big 3 engines, and nothing has changed at all. EPC is right on average, but some of these ads are way out of left field (first time I've ever seen that). And, of course, CTR has plummeted because of it. I'm really disgusted right now. Anyone else have thoughts on what the heck this is all about?

sezampicika

7:57 am on Oct 8, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I can also say that my site has some "1st October" problems. Low CTR, lower relecany... Less clicks!
Average daily earnings are 50% lower this month..

But yestrday, I had my record-high day...

Very Very strange...

AlexMiles

2:00 pm on Oct 8, 2005 (gmt 0)



I'm pretty sure its targeting. I just banned over 50 advertisers and my CTR is 36% now.

RS_200_gto

6:23 pm on Oct 8, 2005 (gmt 0)



Our site dropped around 22nd of September and we are down over 40 % in traffic since, and we are adding 20 - 30 new pages a day and daily earnings are 60% lower this month.

ypsites

4:01 am on Oct 11, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I heard back from Google on my situation. Interesting: we have javascript (drop down menus - standard script) on the site, and Google says it's conflicting with AdSense js. (For those of you who didn't see my earlier posts, our wedding-related site is now showing 100% technology ads.)

The js has been there for a year now with no problem until last month. Note, Google acknowledged that they ARE changing things with AS code (all the time, they say) -- in our case it's impacting us severely because of this js issue. Their recommendation was along the lines of "remove your javascript," which of course isn't possible. (Urgh.) However, on the plus side, it is helpful to get an answer from them, and to know that they are changing things that impact ad targeting (and it's not just our imagination).

fearlessrick

5:34 am on Oct 11, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



I've never heard of one javascript conflicting with another and once asked an expert on the subject who said it was not possible. But, since I'm surely no expert, I've love to hear the opinions of others on the answer Google gave to ypsites' problem in the post above this one.

I might suggest instead of removing YOUR js, maybe making a change to it somehow might improve your results with AS. However, I still believe Google should adust THEIR js. After all, they have a vested interest in your site showing relevant ads, no?

a1call

5:48 am on Oct 11, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Hi,
JS codes can interfere with each other if the same names are chosen for function calls or variable names among some other possibilities. Have someone in the js forum [webmasterworld.com] offer suggestions. You can sticky me your URL if you would like, but I might not have a chance to take a look.

ypsites

5:56 am on Oct 11, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I will, of course, look into how to fix it ... but it's a little dismaying that Google is making changes that cause these conflicts without really testing for them or even seeming to take steps to avoid them (instead putting the burden for continuous testing/revision on the site owner). (Keep in mind our js was working fine alongside adsense for 9 months ... and, what's more, it is just standard pull-down menu code, nothing unusual or fancy, and I'd be shocked if lots of other sites weren't using similar code.)

Anyway, since the only short term solution is to try to fix it, I've already posted separately to try to find some other WebmasterWorld members who've experienced this issue ...

ypsites

3:55 pm on Oct 12, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Just an update ... got a good suggestion from another thread: put the js code in an external file and call it from there, instead of having it on the page. I'll try this next ....

Also, another (very helpful) member took a look at our js and found what might be incorrect type attributes ... we'll try changing to what he recommended. (Even though we have had no problems to date, and even AdSense was targeting fine until last month, so I think it's a little bit of a stretch for Google to say we have a "bug." But this is life as a flea on the backside of an elephant, as they say! I'll let everyone know if either of these end up working ...)

dzcap

12:15 am on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



My earnings dropped 40% since 2 days ago. Same number of visitors and clicks, anyone seeing a lower eCPM?

whizkiddo

4:40 am on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



yup ecpm has been down, as the thread says "Something is Definitely Screwy at Google"

great_9

5:40 am on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Traffic from google is down 70%.
Impressions on adsense are 50% of how many times ads are _really_ shown.
ecpm is up.
CTR is up.
clicks are up.
earnings are about the same or 10% more.

and that, my friends, doesn't make sense.

markus007

3:34 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



There was a major change in none usa referals from google a few days ago...

Clark

4:57 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I tried tweaking adsense and it went up a bit for a few days, now it's pretty much where it's always been. Not worth checking stats or spending any extra time on adsense imo.

Been with adsense since the very beginning and after all this time my opinion is it is much better to find other ways to monetize your site than relying on third parties like Google. Sure, you can make some money. But it isn't reliable and sucks up your time.

hunderdown

5:21 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)



Sure, you can make some money. But it isn't reliable and sucks up your time.

True for you, perhaps, but not for everyone. Even in the month of my lowest earnings (Sept. 2003), which was before I figured out some basic things, AdSense equalled what my site was making from all other sources of income combined. Most months it has been triple, and recently it seems to have reached a new plateau, of quapruple--this in spite of the fact that the other sources have been increasing too.

For my site, it's been very reliable, and takes up very little of my time....

21_blue

5:30 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



hunderdown wrote:
>recently it seems to have reached a new plateau

Ditto. Although, a plateau is a flat high point and we still seem to be climbing. And for us, unlike previous improvements to income that we've achieved, we haven't done anything. The income just seems to have taken on a growth of its own.

sezampicika

5:41 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Okay... I have a proposal...

Can we call it Google NoSense (instead of Google AdSense) , and also we can rename this forum name to Google NoSense ;-)

hunderdown

5:55 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)



sez, sorry, but it actually makes a lot of sense to me.

21_blue, well, I got to the plateau by trying a few new things. I've now got new plans that I hope will lead me higher yet.

Clark

6:46 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



hunder,

Just to clarify, when I say not reliable what I mean is that you can't count on it. It has been relatively consistent for me and is a serious chunk of change. A full time salary for many people in fact. But it went down 50% after smart pricing came into effect and it has taken since then to bring it back up 10%-20%. So "consistent", with a massive downturn one day is not the same as "reliable" for me.

Although I'm certainly not spitting on the extra income Google brings, if I depend on that money, it's like sitting on something at someone else's whim with no control. If an engineer feels like tweaking an algo, boom my income is halved. I can spend a year to bring up the income 10% and G can just feel like increasing their quarterly earnings and reduce my share 10%. Not only don't they guarantee to give me a set percentage of what my site brings them, but they won't even tell me what the percentage is.

So strategically, it isn't easy to come to the conclusion to mentally dump adsense. But I think it's worth it. Because the time I invested in testing out the new adsense features, making the javascript not clash, trying the different colors, reworking the site to be mediabot friendly, etc etc, could have been spent building a foundation that brings in income from a source that won't dry up because G felt like it.

Bad enough that much of the traffic is dependent on Google. Now the ad income too?

They have way too much power.

21_blue

6:59 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Clark wrote:
>if I depend on that money, it's like sitting on something at someone else's whim with no control

Aren't virtually all businesses like that? With the exception of a select few, all industries are subject to sudden changes in the market. Managers of all businesses sometimes feel they have no control over what is happening.

Using your definition of "reliable income", it is very difficult to find anywhere that brings you a reliable income these days. Even Government jobs aren't safe (eg: recent sackings in New Orleans).

Although online publishing is a business, with all the commensurate business risks, ups, downs, etc., it has the great advantage of not haveing the hassle delivering a new product or service in exchange for every cent.

Clark

7:11 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Sure. We could all die tomorrow.

So you really didn't see my point?

You really think G is reliable, relatively speaking?
You really think G isn't too powerful?

21_blue

7:41 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Clark wrote:
>So you really didn't see my point?
>You really think G is reliable, relatively speaking?
>You really think G isn't too powerful?

Did I not see your point, or did you not see my point? I have been employed. I have run a conventional business. I am now publishing via Adsense. Yes, imho, relatively speaking, Adsense is reliable - as reliable as many businesses can be.

With regards G's position as "too powerful", I think you have a point to some degree, as they have enjoyed and are continuing to enjoy a dominant position in the market. That also happens in many industries. But it doesn't usually last forever. The emergence of YPN, especially given Yahoo's collaborations with Microsoft, will imho create a better balance in this market.

europeforvisitors

7:47 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)



Not only don't they guarantee to give me a set percentage of what my site brings them, but they won't even tell me what the percentage is.

Of course not, because they don't want to make life easier for competitors. Also, they know--as AdSense publishers should know--that eCPM is the proper metric for determining whether ad space is profitable for the publisher. (IMHO, publishers need to get out of the affiliate mindset and think like publishers.)

So strategically, it isn't easy to come to the conclusion to mentally dump adsense. But I think it's worth it. Because the time I invested in testing out the new adsense features, making the javascript not clash, trying the different colors, reworking the site to be mediabot friendly, etc etc, could have been spent building a foundation that brings in income from a source that won't dry up because G felt like it.

You don't need to play with your javascript, colors, site content, etc. for the sake of AdSense. If you've got decent content and the right audience, you should be able to do quite nicely just by slapping the code on and following the same common-sense rules that you'd use with any other form of advertising (e.g., put the ads where people can see them).

What's more, you don't need to choose between AdSense and other sources of income. It isn't a matter of "either/or." Do as the big corporate publishers do: Have multiple revenue streams such as AdSense, display ads, and affiliate sales, and don't let any one revenue source become the tail that wags the dog.

21_blue

7:48 pm on Oct 13, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



PS: The NFIB stats for business failure rates state that, after 5 years, 39% of business are profitable, 30% break even and 30% lose money.

I don't know what the equivalent stats are for Adsense Publishers, but my guess is that it is unlikely to have such a failure rate.

Clark

12:09 am on Oct 14, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Of course not, because they don't want to make life easier for competitors.

Pass me some of what you're smoking. Must be good "stuff". ;)

europeforvisitors

12:53 am on Oct 14, 2005 (gmt 0)



Pass me some of what you're smoking. Must be good "stuff". ;)

Put away your roach holder and think about it. Pretend that you're about to launch another contextual ad network, and you want to attract (or, better yet, cherrypick) publishers from the market leader, Google.

You look at Google's AdSense FAQ, and you see that publishers are getting, say, 65% of the revenues from every click.

What do you do? You announce that your network will have a 60-40 split instead of Google's 65-35 split, and all the unhappy AdSense publishers come running. You then go to selected publishers who'd clearly be an asset to the network and you offer them a 55-45 split. Google is then forced to either match your offer or come up with very convincing reasons why publishers should stick with what they've been getting.

Why would Google want to open that Pandora's box? Especially when they don't have to?

Clark

1:13 am on Oct 14, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Let me clarify. They don't need to make it an exact figure. Just a guaranteed minimum. So the publishers know they won't go down to 10%.

If a newbie service comes in and offers a greater cut, people will know anyway. I doubt google will be able to hide it.

When YPN came in w/ greater figures, we all knew about it. And lo and behold, G upped the pot for a few days. Their "secrecy" did not help with their competitor.

The moment it was clear that YPN beta is still a joke, the pot went back down.

The day YPN becomes serious, G will have to pony up anyway.

europeforvisitors

1:21 am on Oct 14, 2005 (gmt 0)



If a newbie service comes in and offers a greater cut, people will know anyway. I doubt google will be able to hide it.

Sure, they can. Who says it's a simple percentage split? Combine a complex compensation formula with smart pricing, and nobody will be able to reverse-engineer it (especially if it isn't a static formula).

When YPN came in w/ greater figures, we all knew about it.

What do you mean by "greater figures"? Even if publishers were earning more per click, that didn't necessarily have anything to do with the percentage split. It could have been advertiser bids, a lack of smart pricing, etc. There's no way publishers can be sure they were (or are) getting a better percentage split from YPN or another network if they don't know what split they're getting from Google.

Clark

1:35 am on Oct 14, 2005 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Sure, they can. Who says it's a simple percentage split?

Not me. I'm sure it isn't.

Combine a complex compensation formula with smart pricing, and nobody will be able to reverse-engineer it (especially if it isn't a static formula).

Your line supports my point.

What do you mean by "greater figures"?

Higher payout. Everyone saw it. Didn't see the usual odd guy saying the numbers were down. First time I remember that happening. But if you're not sure, ok. We can disagree :)

There's no way publishers can be sure they were (or are) getting a better percentage split from YPN or another network if they don't know what split they're getting from Google.

Semantics.

I've tested both and was able to tell very easily.

europeforvisitors

5:20 am on Oct 14, 2005 (gmt 0)



Higher payout. Everyone saw it. Didn't see the usual odd guy saying the numbers were down. First time I remember that happening.

Higher payments don't necessarily represent a higher payout (with "payout" meaning the publisher's revenue share, which is the generally accepted definition here).

I suppose it may be easier to estimate YPN's payout than Google's, assuming that YPN isn't yet using a Yahoo version of smart pricing.

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