Forum Moderators: martinibuster
Is this a sign that smart-pricing is broken, because it is calculating its "penalties" not on a page-by-page basis, but instead on the entire domain?
I'm now at the point where I have reduced AdSense to a trickle, but my earnings are comparable to when I was sending them 10x more traffic, because the earnings per click have risen so much on the remaining inventory.
This is not wise optimization on the part of Google, in my opinion. The act of adding/removing their code from one part of my site should have no material impact on the revenues/optimization on a different page if they were doing things right.
It's like if Pepsi is buying billboard space in Toronto, and advertises in 10 different locations. If I'm the owner of all 10 locations, and suddenly remove their ads from 9 spots, leaving only 1 location with Pepsi ads, I'd not expect my revenues to stay roughly the same. But, with AdSense smart-pricing, this is exactly what is happening.
As more folks realize this, it'll encourage substitution of ad space between YPN (when it launches) or other contextual ad programs. This doesn't make Google better off. If their optimization was working "properly", they could be getting 10x the number of clicks, and the publisher would be getting more like 3 or 4 times the revenues.
If we draw a graph of total clicks on the X-axis, vs total revenues on the Y-axis (verical axis), that graph shouldn't ever be negative sloping, if the optimization was working properly. Right now it seems to be like an inverted U curve, and reducing inventory actually can make you better off.
The solution would be for Google to calculate smart-pricing penalties per page instead of per domain. This shouldn't be too hard, esp. when there are a statistically significant number of page views for those pages (e.g more than 100/day).
I've removed adsense from most low EPC pages and my earnings haven't been affected - but of course they wouldn't since the pages didn't make a single % to begin with. So, in my case I can't really say that removing them has done anything other than make my site look less like an adsense lady-of-the-evening site ;)
The solution would be for Google to calculate smart-pricing penalties per page instead of per domain. This shouldn't be too hard, esp. when there are a statistically significant number of page views for those pages (e.g more than 100/day).
IMHO, they already do this. Site-wide CTR is factored into smart pricing. That's why taking AdSense off pages that don't get clicks improves EPC. Page-by-page conversion (based on advertiser stats) is ALSO factored into smart pricing.
Whens it stopping is the question, and does it stay there for eternity, has anyone else experienced this?
I experienced a steady though slow decline from April to September, during which my EPC was cut about in half.
Since then I have put into practice some of the suggestions I've read here, and my EPC is back or nearly back to April levels. Since I also managed to more than double my CTR, earnings are up nicely. Now I need to work on traffic.
So it is possible to recover, though how possible must vary.