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Poll: Goog up or down? What will price be after auction

No discussion, just your guess

     

Clark

10:03 pm on Aug 12, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Three part poll/survey:

1. Will GOOG be up or down at the end of the first day of trading?
2. By how much?
3. What will be the opening price?

This poll is open for one day (obviously).

My guesses:

1. Down
2. 15%
3. $120

Stefan

11:30 pm on Aug 12, 2004 (gmt 0)

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1. Up
2. 10%
3. $125

Several weeks later, it will begin a long swan-dive that bottoms out who knows where.

IITian

2:31 am on Aug 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



1. Down
2. 4%
3. $104

Chndru

2:54 am on Aug 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Up / 5% / 142

loanuniverse

2:57 am on Aug 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

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Up / 10% / $154

Winning bids will actually be over the range given by Google.

/just trying to be different here

bnhall

3:11 am on Aug 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



1. Up
2. 1%
3. 110

A week later it'll be at 80

taxpod

1:34 am on Aug 16, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



It isn't trading yet so here goes:

1) Down (NO chance of up)
2) 10% (Nothing ever moves more without significant news)
3) $104 (low end of what they have been dribbling out to the public but there is a serious risk is will be undersold.)

gopi

1:03 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

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Down
5-10%
98

blaze

1:39 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

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1. Up
2. 8%
3. $105

I'll give a google invite to whoever comes closest with the closing price. Anyone else want to pony something up?

gopi

2:31 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Blaze , guess most in this forum should have a gmail account by now ...

Anyway if not i will also give a gmail invite to the second closest guess!

benihana

2:33 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

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down / 8% / 112

skibum

3:59 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Administrator skibum is a WebmasterWorld Top Contributor of All Time 10+ Year Member



1. Up
2. 20%
3. $30

Shane

4:21 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member




Down 10%, $82

..... Shane

pleeker

4:58 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

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Down

12%

$116

Brett_Tabke

5:59 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Administrator brett_tabke is a WebmasterWorld Top Contributor of All Time 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



1) down
2) 5%
3) $140

* (this after halving the # of shares offered)

Rugles

8:00 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

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Down
5%
$92.00

Oetzi

8:30 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Up
15%
$62

jcoronella

9:40 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



1) They will price it to make sure it goes UP
2) 20%
3) $80

caspita

10:28 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Blaze , guess most in this forum should have a gmail account by now ...

No true :-( I don't have one ;-) .. send me the invite with no conditions and then I'll give you the answer LOL!

Clark

10:31 pm on Aug 17, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Does everyone have an orkut account? Because I don't have one of those.

I got gmail but they only allowed me one invite in a couple of months...

nativenewyorker

1:38 am on Aug 18, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



  1. Down
  2. -27% / -$34
  3. $128 (opening trade) / $94 (closing trade 4pm)

I'm sensing deja vu here with the PALM ipo from several years back. It's a beautiful thing to see a short position go straight down 20+ points in a half hour. Rest assured that the syndicate will be heavily shorting against the green shoe.

Rugles

12:41 pm on Aug 18, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



From Drudge this morning....

In a sign that Google Inc.'s IPO isn't as popular as expected, the company lowered its estimated price range to between $85 and $95 per share, down from the earlier prediction of $108 and $135... Developing...

IITian

2:07 pm on Aug 18, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Unwritten rule of ebay or any other (American) option exercise is to wait till the last moment to gather all the information before placing bets.

Seems like prices will be much lower than they were hoping for. Investors have been burnt earlier and have become wiser.

My view of latest development my revised numbers are

down
-5%
$87

PS What happened to that S&P analyst asking people to bid at $110. Or many such Wall Street analysts who thought the fair price was $100 or more.

blaze

2:23 pm on Aug 18, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



For fun, I think I'll stand at my previous close, but revise my opening:

1. Up
2. 19%
3. 95$

taxpod

4:05 pm on Aug 18, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Revised:

1) Down
2) 10%
3) $90.00

If there is so little interest in the IPO, I imagine trading will be looking for buyers rather than sellers.

BayAreaGuy

1:25 am on Aug 19, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



1) Down
2) 8%
3) 89 opening and going perhaps as high as 91 and then going down .. expect it to close down by the day

Pricing at the LOW end of revised range seems to indicate that there is lack of interest!.

trstn

8:51 am on Aug 19, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Blaze , guess most in this forum should have a gmail account by now ...

No true :-( I don't have one ;-) .. send me the invite with no conditions and then I'll give you the answer LOL!

Indeed, i have no gmail either, but then i am on the new side of things here, lagging behind just a touch.

IITian

8:19 pm on Aug 19, 2004 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



In my original message (#3) I wrote
1. Down
2. 4%
3. $104

Later I revised it to a different set of number. Why do I do well when I make decisions based on less info?

blaze

8:30 pm on Aug 19, 2004 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



While I think jcoronella wasn't the closest, he was in my opinion the one with the best perception of what happened.

1) They will price it to make sure it goes UP
2) 20%
3) $80

I think they did indeed price it to make sure that it went up. And it did.

If someone was closer, no problem, but I'm not going to the trouble of figuring it out :)

 

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