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Website value for $6,000/month site

         

SpanishWeb

1:26 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member




How can I know the value of a $6,000/month website?
My website is in Spanish, number 1 in its topic.

700,000 unique visitors and 3 million page-views per month. 5 Years-old.

Any website or service i can use to value my website?

solinent

1:29 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



Signing up for adsense and implementing it is the only way to check the "value" of your website.

ember

1:30 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



One rule of thumb is the monthly net x 18 months. Thing is you never know when a site will drop in the rankings and lose its value. And if you sell, get 100% cash upfront. You don't want someone to promise to make payments.

SpanishWeb

1:36 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



So in your opinion:
6,000 x 18 = $108,000 (about 85,000 Euros).

Ok, you can say my rankings can drop, but google is not the unique referer. 25% of my visitors are repeat visitors!

And... what about this proposal:
Pay now: $100,000
And if site ranking is the same after the fist (or second) year, pay another $50,000

Any type of guarantee for my possible buyer(s)...?

Chico_Loco

1:37 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



If your only source of revenue is via. AdSense, then you'll be hard pressed to command 18 times monthly income. At least, not without warranting that you'll stay on-board for that time to maintain search rankings such that you are protecting the investment, since search rankings are volatile.

If however the majority of your traffic comes from places other than search engines, such as partnerships for example, then that might be a different story. In fact, if you're completely independent of search traffic, then you might be able to command 24-36 times monthly. Search traffic is very deterring for an investor because it is highly volatile and completely without guarantee.

SpanishWeb

1:42 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member




Yes, thanks for your comments and ideas.

I can:
+ Prove my last 2 years with google adsense.
+ Prove my last 5 years in google rankings.
+ Add a guarantee (pay more if rankings continue after 2 years).
+ Prove my 700,000 unique visitors (and 3 million page-views).
+ Prove my 70,000 registered members.

And things like that... ok.

Chico_Loco

2:32 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



A lot depends on the industry you are in. To be honest, you can ask what people might be willing to pay on these forums 'till the cows come home, but that means nothing.

The only way you're going to get a good idea of what you're going to fetch in the real market is by meeting with a business broker and having them analyze your business. They'll ask all of the question that potential buyers are going to ask.

Some people don't like business brokers, mostly because they take 10-15% in commission (less if you're a very high priced sale). But, only very well connected and dedicated people have what it takes to sell a business without a broker. And, generally the entrepreneur's time is better spent on continuing expansion of the business, because finding a buyer takes months (expect to be waiting at least 6 months before you find a buyer, and another 2 months or so for the sale to finalize).

Get a business broker, meet with them, and agree on a commission percentage. They'll ask for all your financials, then ask all the questions. Then they'll give you a reasonable asking price with which to go to market. Then they'll go through the nightmare of finding a buyer for your company. Once they qualify a prospective, they'll put you in touch with them. In the meantime, your focus would be to continue expanding the business by adding new content, or whatever it is that you do to build your website.

Do NOT expect an unconditional cash settlement. Be willing to accept an earn-out style agreement. A very high percentage of business acquisitions fail due to greed. If a prospective has been qualified by your broker and has flown in to see you, then they are most probably sincere about acquiring your website, so be sincere with them, and fair.

The points you mention above do serve to increase your asking price, since having 7,000 subscribers has potential for income - but only if the website in question could actually sell items within a particular industry. If on the other hand you have a massive category of varying topics for example, then targetting anyone on the list would be almost impossible, thus that list wouldn't actually add value.

Now, what are you going to do on Tuesday, after the holiday? Look up the best business brokers in your area and call themall to arrange a meeting! go with the best one (you'll likely only be able to select one since most have an exclusivity clause).

- Darrin Ward

RoadRash

2:41 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



>> And... what about this proposal:
>> Pay now: $100,000
>> And if site ranking is the same after the fist (or second) >> year, pay another $50,000

No no no... Sale for $150K, if rankings drop, refund $50K...

Better yet: Ask for $200K, get the word out to the topic industry, take the best offer, forget about the idea of a ranking gaurntee. :)

elsewhen

2:55 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



i think a ranking guarantee is a bad idea, especially because it sounds like the site will be in the buyer's hands. what if they make changes to the site that hurt rankings - why should you be responsible for that.

that your site is an authority commands a premium; that your site gets the majority of its revenue from adsense commands a discount; that your site gets 75% traffic from search engines commands a discount... you have to factor all of these things into the final value.

Chico_Loco

4:15 am on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



OK, the ranking guarantee is being interpreted wrong. What I'm saying is that savvy investors will likely ASK FOR ONE if search traffic is the majority source of visitors, and the only source of income is Adsense. In numerous deals I've worked on, the buyer would only go forward if the seller was willing to warrant that search traffic wouldn't decrease by more than x% within y months.

That warrant usually came in the form of an earn-out agreement. If the site made $x in 12 months (for example), you'd have your payment in 12 months (a lump sum downpayment followed by 12 installments). If search traffic decreased after month 6, for example, then it would take longer for you to earn that last 6 months of earn-out payments.

Of course, it was more complicated than that and certain criteria were specified, like if too many changes were made or black hat techniques were involved, then the seller wasn't held accountable and was entitled to full compensation. But the wording of such an agreement is very complicated, and specific.

For the most part the sellers wanted the buyers to remain on board for a least 3 months as a consultant to make the transition as smooth as possible, and thus avoid negative things which would impeed on loosing earn-out payments.

Of course, this was for Adsense websites with the vast majority of visitors coming from AdSense. No sale of a real website (ie. one that sells items) that I have been involved in was subject to anything other than a regular sale.

My final note on this topic that you don't have to settle on an earn-out style agreement, but if the buyer asks for one, that's their way of testing your confidence in things they know nothing about (SEO). If they think that you're trying to offload it because you know it's on its way out - they'll ask for an earn-out... which you don't have to accept, but it might be the only way to sell an adsense site.

wmuser

8:46 pm on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



I think $75.000 is more realistic value as the website is in spanish,there are much less webmasters that can keep it runing than if it was in English.

[edited by: trillianjedi at 9:48 am (utc) on May 30, 2006]
[edit reason] Typo confused word filter ;) [/edit]

josetann

8:57 pm on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I'd love to find a sure-fire way of valueing a website. Not just to sell, but what if you want to donate the site to a non-profit? It'd be good to show a standard formula to the IRS if they came knocking, and show how many other people are using the same formula to check the worth of their site, and actually selling it for that amount (plus or minus a small percentage).

Personally, I'd want to get paid a minimum of 12 months, probably more like 18 months, of what I think I could make with the site as it is. If your adsense profits are, on average, going up every month, I'd include that. I came close to selling my site last year for around what I had gotten in the past 18 months. Deal fell through, and shortly afterword my site jumped in earnings again. Site started at making a couple hundred a month, couple years later and it's 1-2K or more, who knows what next year will bring? I am very glad I didn't sell it now.

bateman_ap

9:19 pm on May 28, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Signing up for adsense and implementing it is the only way to check the "value" of your website."

Tosh, the value of a website is whatever someone is prepared to buy it for...

Essex_boy

3:36 pm on May 29, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member Top Contributors Of The Month



savvy investors - They will know that rankings go up and down and will be able to cope.

The point about Adsense is that it makes a site worth at least that, your right it is what someone is willing to pay.....

SpanishWeb

6:57 pm on May 29, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



I think $75.000 is more realistic value as the website is in S#*$!h,there are much less webmasters that can keep it runing than if it was in English.

That's not true.
1. The website is already earning $6.000 / month
2. The website is 5 years old and 2 years with adsense.
3. The spanish is one of the most growthing languages on the internet. So the website will growth more than an English one (talking about growth, not total audience).
The potential is there.
4. The website is valuable for spanish speakers, not for english of course. So i don't sell the site to english speakers.

wmuser

9:58 pm on May 29, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



SpanishWeb that was my opinion,you have the right for your own too,good luck

longen

10:17 pm on May 29, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



[webmasterworld.com ]
One of my sites is generating $3,800 / month

If it is the same site, and the revenue is increasing that fast, i would hold on to it.

SpanishWeb

12:26 pm on May 30, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member




I have more than one site ;)

I can prove $6.000/month during the last 6 months. That's a guarantee.

Anyway i am not looking for a buyer, i already have interested buyers.

I am trying to learn how to sell a website, how to value it, what guarantees offer to the investor, and things like that.

Thanks.

dauction

1:01 pm on May 30, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



24 Months ..absolutely dont try and gaurantee ranking..that's ludicrous

It is not your job to make sure they dont screw up rankings over the next few years by getting greedy and using black hat methods.

start out at 36 Months ..hell they've already started out at well over 12 months ...

oddsod

2:29 pm on May 30, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Signing up for adsense and implementing it is the only way to check the "value" of your website.

Huh? So if I owned Yahoo.com the only way I'd know it's value is by implementing Adsense?

One rule of thumb is the monthly net x 18 months.

Rule of whose thumb?

To be honest, you can ask what people might be willing to pay on these forums 'till the cows come home, but that means nothing.

True.

The only way you're going to get a good idea of what you're going to fetch in the real market is by meeting with a business broker

I would disagree. Most of them don't know IE from Firefox and are highly unsuitable for valuing web businesses. Even those that are invariably talk up the value of your business in order to get your instruction. Many naive sellers actually believe those appraisals (and the other "professional" valuers who hawk their "services" online). Despite the promises business brokers do almost nothing to vet the prospective or even to market your business. Have a look at some of the Sales Memoranda they've done for previous customers!

I'd love to find a sure-fire way of valueing a website

And therein lies a problem. There isn't one fixed value to your site. It's not the case that it can be valued as accurately as you can be weighed. It's about market sentiment, buyers' wallets, how you present it etc etc. The most you can do to get an idea is have a look at similar sites that sold and/or put yours up for auction and see how high the bidding goes.

I can prove $6.000/month during the last 6 months

Ah, so you haven't been earning $6,000 pm for years and years? I see a lot of sites coming up for sale. Weird thing: When sites were making a lot of money earlier and earnings dropped off over the last year sellers want to sell for a multiple of average monthly earnings over the last three years. When, like in your case, the earnings were high in the last six months... they want average over last six months. :)Which one should I base my calculations on?

Better yet: Ask for $200K

Even better yet: You give him $200K. Disprove my theory that it's mainly the people who are not in a position to make the purchase who have the most opinions on the site's worth. ;)

SpanishWeb

4:33 pm on May 30, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member




First and repeat it please: I don't try to sell my website here, i already have buyers on hold.

Second: I want to know how to value a website. Nothing interesting here by the moment.

Third: In the Spanish forums, i read better suggestions.

Thanks anyway for trying it.

Moosetick

5:52 pm on May 30, 2006 (gmt 0)

10+ Year Member



One thing you haven't said is the time/cost you put into the site. If you only need to spend a few hours/week and the site is hosted for $9.95/month it would be much more valuable than a site that demanded a staff of 3 working 50 hours/week needing to run on $1000/month dedicated servers.

I suspect you are somewhere in between the situation above. Obviously the first situation would be much more desirable than the second.

I do know that many non-internet based businesses will sell for about 1 year's earnings. That is actual earnings, not projected from a few good months. You may do better or worse given your situation and how much your buyer wants your site.

oddsod

6:28 pm on May 30, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



SpanishWeb, my question wasn't looking for an answer, I appreciate that you already have a buyer :)

Moosetick put it well and answered my rhetorical question. It's not the average over the last six months or six years that matters, it's what the buyer can reasonably expect to make in the future. The past earnings are only a basis on which he calculates his potential return and he uses that figure together with other signals, some business savvy and a dollop of risk.

One thing you haven't said is the time/cost you put into the site.

I'm hoping the seller knows, as most savvy sellers do, that quoting a net profit figure without deducting a notional amount for your own salary is misrepresentation/fraud. Speak to an accountant if you aren't sure about this. Or make it very clear that the figure is gross.

wmuser

9:11 pm on May 30, 2006 (gmt 0)

WebmasterWorld Senior Member 10+ Year Member



Good point oddsod