Yes, I just noticed the same for myself. The estimated earning for Oct where on par with how it has been for the past 20-30 months, but the finalized earnings are way lower. Only 56% of the estimated report.
I don't think I have ever, since 2006, had my finalized earnings so low
I have a site that has been active with Adsense for 6 years now and there has never been more than a 1% (always less) between finalized and actual earnings. For October I see a 40% difference between finalized and what was reported during October. Earning wents down after Oct 14th and now I see this - what is the Google Adsense team doing?
I just checked the total clicks, they seem very normal compared to previous months.
This is a first for me, usually finalized earnings have been very similar to the reported earnings.
But now the finalized earning are really low, I hope it is a mistake and will be rectified. If it's some other issues (advertiser that did not pay Google) I hope then that the Adsense team at least sends out an announcement.
The fact that it's happening to so many is probably a good thing; the possibility is greater that it's some kind of error. It might not be, so don't get your hopes up yet, but I'd go over to the AdSense Help Forum and if there's not a post over there already, start one, and see how many chime in. At least Google reads that one.
They knocked about a hundred bucks off mine in July, which is the largest amount they've ever taken by far, but it's also the largest earnings month I ever had too, so I figured it was just part of that.
Nope, only 2 other posts, both from 2010, one of which came up for the search but specifically states his problem is NOT with the finalized thing.
You know, as a sales copywriter I often tell clients that one compliant meants there's probably a bunch more people out there that didn't bother to complain or speak up but were also unhappy. This could be such a time.
I really do hope it's a system error, though this really drives home how Google have become impossible to talk to. :(
adsense publishers are not suppliers ..they are providing venues for the automatic display of ads to viewers, these ads are paid for by adwords customers and are supplied automatically to these "venues" by Google..
Think they are screwing with you ? ..maybe they are..or not ..but if you are really unhappy with Google and think that they are keeping extra money back for themselves..take the adsense code off your pages..
You don't let them control your inventory..you have no "inventory" ..you merely put up a billboard on a subject ..with content..you let them stick ads in the spaces on it ..and they give you a cut of what they get from the advertisers..think they are cheating you ? ..they are not the only ad network ..you can even sell access to your space and the eyeballs it attracts, you can do this direct with advertisers..( but it is more work..although it pays better ;-) many of us do ..and run adsense too , sometimes on the same pages and sites..
From reading the AdSense help forum threads on this issue (and cziffra is right, there are tons of posts there), it seems we're far from alone on this. It's possible there is some issue with Google's systems updating payments and perhaps it may get sorted out in a few days. My finalized earnings are always slightly lower than estimated earnings, but usually by no more than few dollars to $20 or $30 tops. This month, they're off by nearly $100. So I feel your pain too.
For this one, Google "finalized earnings AdSense October" and you'll see it's all over the web. I'd expect it's a payment & reporting bug too.
I suggest everyone download the details of their October earnings from the Adsense reporting console, (click "Overview, last month", then click "Export to Excel CSV"). That will show the correct amounts even if the Estimated v. Actual of the Dec. 1 payment amount is not correct.
BE SURE TO SAVE THAT FILE! It will be your only evidence if they do short you.
If they don't fix within 24-48 hours, we need a concentrated effort to get them to fix ASAP or payment for Dec. 1 may be VERY short, and they may not catch up payments til January.
Several of the people on the AdSense forum speculated that their differences matched up with non-US and Canada traffic earnings. So you might check that (in the new interface) My traffic is always almost 100% US, so maybe that's why I don't see much variance.
@netmeg --- I've seen enough different factors reported to say I don't think it's a non-US origin-country-traffic related issue. It seems to be a payment calculation error. I've even seen reports of people saying they are seeing 200%-2000% increases in Actual v. Estimated, (and I'm sure the number of people reporting that they may be overpaid are nowhere near the complaints of those afraid they will be underpaid).