incrediBILL - 9:17 pm on Jun 24, 2012 (gmt 0)
There's an entire ecosystem built around the phones and tablets that MS doesn't have and many others have failed to get.
They obviously could get to #3 without too much trouble simply because there isn't any other serious contenders behind iOS and Android, so #3 is a shoe-in.
As a matter of fact, it's more a simple statement of fact that MS Windows 8 will be the #3 tablet and maybe smart phone than a prediction.
The real question is can they get enough mind share to move up to #2 or #1, that's the real interesting issue, not whether they can get to #3.
They haven't even launched it and they're probably already #3 ;)