Michael_Anthony - 8:23 pm on Feb 3, 2004 (gmt 0)

Ian_Turner, as someone who has made and lost millions in curency speculation, I personally think that's a very bold statement.

However, if one thing's even more certain, it's the fallibility of "expert economists". There was a survey once where they pitted a team of portfolio managers against a team of monkeys throwing darts at a wall papered with stock listings - to the researchers delight, the monkeys won big time.