I really expected recovery in this refresh.
The site i'm working on was hit in May refresh and had about 30 linking domains (2,000 links) with targeted anchor text at the homepage. Those links came from a press release and 2 directories. That was about 25% of the total linking domains then.
I cut that down to just 4 link domains and 14 actual links.
At the same time, the site earned new backlinks from places like the library of congress, got into DMOZ, won awards, got on Forbes, and a few edu mentions. These links all used either example.com, example, www.example.com, or http://www.example.com as anchor text.
Don't know what else to make of it.
The site did have massive outage on Sept. 29th and part of the 30th. Crawl rate has been very, very low since then. That shouldn't matter with these algos right ?