For me, 2,000 words is a short page, I can't imagine 2,000 characters, sound like a paragraph.
No Adsense on one Pandalized site, Adsense on less than a quarter of the page views and never more than one unit a page on the other.
You lose your bet.
One of the things that's already clear from studying Pandalized sites (and recoveries) is that there are different things going on, especially at different Panda updates. And as I go through all the Google Forum sites checking, it's turning out that nearly 75% of sites that reported being Pandalized weren't. Some just had very uneven traffic on a week to week basis for as long as Alexa can look back, other's were really reporting on traffic losses that started back in 2010 but figured they'd get attention if they blamed it on Panda.