jmccormac - 7:57 am on Nov 22, 2013 (gmt 0)
Just to explain this "But there will be some successful new gTLDs and for every .tel there may be a .mobi or a .info. "
Many of these new TLDs will end up like .travel, .coop or .jobs or some repurposed ccTLD with less than 100K registrations. However there will be a few that will succeed. Some of these will get about a million registrations (the .mobi level). A few others might get around 6 million registrations (the .info level) after ten years. It really depends on the demand for the new gTLDs in the US market because many of the Domain Taster style strings are generics that have little meaning outside the English language market. And on the other side of the Atlantic, the Irish and UK market is highly ccTLD orientated. And in Australia, New Zealand and India (the other major English language markets), the ccTLDs are also important. Perhaps the .co ccTLD breakdown by country offers some indication of what will happen. The .co ccTLD is largely irrelevant as a global TLD and most of the its domains are parked on Godaddy's PPC landing page for undeveloped domains. The 1.5 million registrations is impressive in numerical terms but when you break it down on a country by country basis, it just isn't a significant player in most countries outside of Colombia. High value keyword domains were either held back by COInternet or sold to speculators to drive up the perceived value of the ccTLD. Unfortunately without usage and development, the ccTLD has found it hard to make any inroads into most markets. Sure there are a few developed .co websites but there are not enough to really make it a memorable TLD in the minds of the public. Even Overstock found that out the hard way.
There may be the equivalent (in registrations) of a .mobi or .info in the new gTLDs but it is still far from certain.