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Webwork - 1:32 pm on Aug 10, 2006 (gmt 0)
You know the original vision. The one where gTLDs were meant to address global audiences, not parochial / national / regional audiences. The wheel turns. Opinions about the future are more than grist for the mill. The millstone of time may prove that the original structure of the WWW - which has lead to many non-US companies adopting .com simply by virtue of .com being "the choice" - in the end is also the reason why, over time, .com will maintain its dominance as the default address: check .com first, use it if it's available, lose something to your competition if you have the same root name but not the .com address. Another variable: Due to the intentional and historical internationalization of .com it is likely that search engines will treat .com based URLs a bit differently than ccTLDs.
It all makes sense: .cn, .in will rise up to supplant .com - up to the point where .us begins to stake out some ground as the country centric ccTLD for local business interests - at which point we may come full circle to the originally envisioned, global top level domain roles of the gTLDs.