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Google Finance, Govt, Policy and Business Issues Forum

    
Adwords and Google Shares
Let Adword's people like me have some shares
jose




msg:1236145
 3:58 pm on Jan 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

It would be a good idea if Google let people like me who spends lots of money on adwords have some shares before going public. In this way I would love you Google even more...

thanks

 

mcavill




msg:1236146
 4:02 pm on Jan 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

<deleted :) >

Chris_R




msg:1236147
 7:32 pm on Jan 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

I think it is a great idea - however "keep dreaming" is probably what they are saying when they read this. Google has a ton of advertisers - many outside the US. It would be a logistical nightmare.

jose




msg:1236148
 10:00 pm on Jan 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

I don't think so.

In fact I am outside the USA and I want to buy some.

On the other hand, I have to say that for a company is better to have the shares spread among small shareholders rather than big banks have most of them. Of course if they really want to go on with their business.

In Europe this has been done many times and really have worked very well. First you spread the risk of takeover and second, and most important, you make your customers believe the company cares about you. We, as customers, feel rewarded and become Googles best marketing bet.

thanks

Shak




msg:1236149
 10:03 pm on Jan 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

jose,

how much do you spend with google per month, if you dont mind me asking?

Shak

jose




msg:1236150
 10:06 pm on Jan 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

I will send you an email shak, ok?

jose




msg:1236151
 10:13 pm on Jan 13, 2004 (gmt 0)

Thanks Shak, sorry but I felt embarrassed

shorebreak




msg:1236152
 1:19 am on Jan 14, 2004 (gmt 0)

Everyone talks about how big Google's IPO is going to be, but NOBODY talks about how their stock will do afterwards. I'd stay away from the stock, at least until the inevitable & major post-IPO reality check.

My $0.02

Chris_R




msg:1236153
 6:54 am on Jan 14, 2004 (gmt 0)

NOBODY talks about how their stock will do afterwards.

We talk about it. Right now there is no stock to talk about - but we still talk about it.

There is certainly room for concern. When everyone and there mother wants in on something - that is generally a poor time to be in on it.

I did that when netscape went public. I was sure they were going to bomb. Shorted it in online stock game. No way they were worth that much - and just got my goat as they went higher and higher.

Google will need to maintain massive growth to be able to support what is almost certainly going to be an inflated stock price. Can this bubble outrun the markets pin and last until google gets up to a reasonable growth level to support such a price?

I don't know. Neither does anyone else. Nothing like this has happened before - unless you want to go back to tulips. Not exactly what I had in mind anyway.

Speaking of adwords - when we find out the growth figures of profits - I would encourage everyone to throw out any data post 11/15. Look at the growth before that - then extrapolate from there.

I guess some are wondering if they can get in at IPO price and sell and make some cash the day it goes public. Possibly. Google has every reason to try and get every dollar they can out of the public. This won't be going for bargin prices.

No matter what price it goes for - people are gambling in taking this strategy - they are not "investing". The gamble may pay off.

After they go public - every rumor and analyst upgrade and downgrade will likely have a fair impact on stock price. The opening day after day 1 will almost certainly not be within 5% of closing price on day 1. People will either panic one way or another "Oh My God - what did I do" or "Oh My God - I should have mortgaged the house". Only time will tell.

Earnings growth seems to drive stock prices. Unless Google can continue theirs - it is unlikely the stock will have any real upward momentum for any long period of time. Nothing that would justify the risk of concentration into one stock versus a basket of diversified investments.

Remember - as most on here already know - Google owns (or at least did for the time period we will se figures for if the go public in April) the majority of search traffic. It is hard to imagine them ever having the monopoly on traffic as they do now. They can grow as the admarket grows, as the internet population grows, as they cut costs, and so forth, but their core growth phase - the one the most engines stive for is over.

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