homepage Welcome to WebmasterWorld Guest from 54.167.11.16
register, free tools, login, search, pro membership, help, library, announcements, recent posts, open posts,
Pubcon Platinum Sponsor 2014
Home / Forums Index / Local / Foo
Forum Library, Charter, Moderators: incrediBILL & lawman

Foo Forum

    
Convicted of not predicting an earthquake!
Last time I read it was impossible to give this information.
bwnbwn




msg:4510972
 7:23 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

[foxnews.com...]

I just don't understand how these people can be convicted of the crime when there never has been a way to give a date an earthquake.

I can see it now. Calif massive quake tomorrow is predicted. Millions flee and there isn't one. Next week the same prediction same results nothing.

Next week same prediction but this time it is looked over and it happens.

Just crazy they are convicted, wonder who will be convicted from the Japan quake?

 

Robino




msg:4510991
 8:20 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

If they can't predict quakes, what are these so-called "seismologists" doing then? ANd let this be a wakeup call to forecaster and geologists everywhere!

j/k...it's actually pretty sad.

Every scientist in Italy should announce an earthquake warning for L'Aquila every hour of every day for the next 2,000 years.

lawman




msg:4511005
 8:53 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

Just read that. Talk about a chilling effect.

greenleaves




msg:4511018
 9:28 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

Every Italian should be embarrassed about this - and the decision repealed!

lucy24




msg:4511024
 9:48 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

Wolf! Wolf!

In next week's headlines: NWS meteorologists sentenced to life imprisonment for failing to predict exact time and place of latest hurricane landing at least 24 hours in advance of the event.

TypicalSurfer




msg:4511028
 9:52 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

This is the problem with over-selling science. It sounds like the court is sold that the science exists but the practitioners were derelict.

Maybe the science community needs to lower expectations?

LifeinAsia




msg:4511045
 10:46 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

Remember your history- Italy wasn't such a great place for Galileo, either...

ken_b




msg:4511046
 10:52 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

So this got me thinking about how many times has the US National Weather Service been sued for predictions that were to strong or too weak?

Apparently more than a few.

TypicalSurfer




msg:4511049
 11:11 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

US National Weather Service


fairly lofty mission:

Our Mission

Provide weather, water, and climate data, forecasts and warnings for the protection of life and property and enhancement of the national economy.


Maybe they need to re-calibrate that a bit.

"We make very good guesses"

lawman




msg:4511050
 11:12 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

>>how many times has the US National Weather Service been sued

I don't know, but there's a big difference between being sued for money damages and being charged with a crime.

ken_b




msg:4511052
 11:22 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

I don't know, but there's a big difference between being sued for money damages and being charged with a crime.


Sure, but I'd guess both would have some level of "chilling effects".

I'd also guess that the effect would actually more "severe/very-severe weather" warnings, possibly overstating the risk to avoid being accused of not issuing a strong enough warning.

GaryK




msg:4511054
 11:43 pm on Oct 22, 2012 (gmt 0)

There's an lively discussion about this on Slashdot so long as you browse at +4 and above.

It seems to me these scientists and bureaucrats were playing politics with the science and that's what got them into trouble.

They'd have been better off to state what current scientific evidence seems to suggest, which is that there's no more or less chance of tremors leading to an earthquake, and that earthquakes as such cannot yet be reliably predicted.

Instead they minimized the risks and tried to shift the focus to building construction not being sufficient to withstand a moderate earthquake.

If they'd said there was a high likelihood of an earthquake happening I can't help but wonder what, if anything, would have been done to minimize the risks of injury and death. Would an evacuation have been ordered? I think not.

engine




msg:4511368
 5:18 pm on Oct 23, 2012 (gmt 0)

This conviction is stupid, and the law should show common sense.

In protest, I shall boycott the pasta and pizza for a week.

bwnbwn




msg:4511392
 6:45 pm on Oct 23, 2012 (gmt 0)

[foxnews.com...]

Can you blame the other experts from getting out. I guess they will need to watch the birds and dogs form now on. Just plain silly and very sad for the ones caught up in this madness.

Yo Mr Engine pizza came from early Greeks.

Better retrack might get sued.

londrum




msg:4511416
 7:47 pm on Oct 23, 2012 (gmt 0)

i bet Michael Fish is fretting tonight, for not predicting that hurricane. They'll bang him up for life

lucy24




msg:4511483
 12:15 am on Oct 24, 2012 (gmt 0)

tried to shift the focus to building construction not being sufficient to withstand a moderate earthquake.

That is the appropriate focus for current levels of knowledge. I live in California. Every time I read about a faraway earthquake I am struck by the enormous death toll compared to quakes of similar magnitude in similarly populous parts of my state. It happens even in places like Japan or western Europe that have absolutely no excuse.

My cats sleep through anything less than a 5. (That's the level at which you start getting property damage.) And even then it's only about three minutes notice.

engine




msg:4511694
 1:41 pm on Oct 24, 2012 (gmt 0)

>Yo Mr Engine pizza came from early Greeks.

hehe, great, i'll lift the boycott on pizza.

>My cats sleep through anything less than a 5.

Two of ours are impossible to awake. Typically, about a minute is the wake-up time for one of the sleepyheads.

I heard on the radio news report that many of the scientists are heading out of the country. How ludicrous!

I hear that Michael Fish has cancelled his holiday to Italy. ;)

Rugles




msg:4511959
 9:10 pm on Oct 24, 2012 (gmt 0)

What? pizza with red sauce (san marzano tomatoes)and mozzarella (buffalo mozzarella) is from Naples. Both those ingredients are local to that area. All our pizza is descended from that basic mix.

There may have been some other variation in Greece, but the dough with red sauce and mozzarella is definately from Naples.

lucy24




msg:4512035
 1:02 am on Oct 25, 2012 (gmt 0)

Tomatoes? Europe?

:: snicker ::

Panthro




msg:4512042
 2:08 am on Oct 25, 2012 (gmt 0)

Not surprising. Doesn't Italy have a long history of condemning scientists?

Shaddows




msg:4512155
 8:32 am on Oct 25, 2012 (gmt 0)

Mr Engine pizza came from early Greeks

pizza... is from Naples

Tomatoes? Europe?


Flatbreak with toppings was (ancient) greek.
Tomotoes arrived Late C16/Early C17 via Spain.
Naples used this imported (autonym:"Local") plant with extant flatbread.
EU recognises under law that this is abitrary point in the development of "stuff on flatbread" to be the birth of Pizza.

Rugles




msg:4512360
 5:43 pm on Oct 25, 2012 (gmt 0)

Tomatoes? Europe?


Ever tried real San Marzano tomatoes from the slopes of Vesuvius? Best in the world for sauce.

I had a bumper crop of tomatoes in my Canadian backyard this year. Plants 7 feet tall and fruit twice the size of my fist.

lucy24




msg:4512434
 10:06 pm on Oct 25, 2012 (gmt 0)

I might equally well have said

"Potatoes? Europe?"

or

"Chili peppers? Europe?"

and then we get fatally derailed into a discussion of culinary grandfather clauses with particular reference to the nightshade family :)

:: quick upward glance to verify that this is Foo ::

GaryK




msg:4512450
 10:45 pm on Oct 25, 2012 (gmt 0)

quick upward glance to verify that this is Foo

Seems more like the Food forum. ;)

Leosghost




msg:4512456
 10:56 pm on Oct 25, 2012 (gmt 0)

Mmmmmmmmmmmmm..Capsicum :)..Just had some ..think I'll just have some more ..with chocolate ..and Bourgueil :) and..Bleu d'Auvergne :)..

Global Options:
 top home search open messages active posts  
 

Home / Forums Index / Local / Foo
rss feed

All trademarks and copyrights held by respective owners. Member comments are owned by the poster.
Home ¦ Free Tools ¦ Terms of Service ¦ Privacy Policy ¦ Report Problem ¦ About ¦ Library ¦ Newsletter
WebmasterWorld is a Developer Shed Community owned by Jim Boykin.
© Webmaster World 1996-2014 all rights reserved