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Your Predictions for 2011
For the web, your biz, your life

 9:44 pm on Dec 27, 2010 (gmt 0)

Here are your predictions at the end of 2009 (and there is a link to the end of 2008).

So, how did I do?
I did get the house painted, inside and out. Took several small vacations instead of one big one. Went back to the gym. And left. So, personal predictions, pretty good.

Otherwise? Terrible. A lot of wishful thinking.
I said cable TV will seriously get worried about the web. You might think this is true and it is, but it didn't happen to at the level I thought it would.

Video on Amazon? I haven't see it, probably somewhere on their site, but it's not a major deal.

Bing explodes? It's done OK I guess, but not like I thought it might.

But, I LOVE this one. I predicted that the term "social media" will be heard less, but that social media will be used on more mainstream web sites. I was so wrong on the first, any points from the second shouldn't count.

I said the overall stock market will be about where it is. It's up about 10 percent. I'm happy to be wrong about that and I did make a change in March that took advantage of that.


The past is sooo boring, it's the future that brings you here. It's where we're all going, together.

I STILL think "social media" is going to lose its glam for us digital types. We'll do it, but not work it.

Instead, what is going to take a lot of webmaster time will be mobile. The pads will not be able to be ignored for much longer. Everyone is going to need a re-work for touch screens. Even your mother. It's going to be a monster PITA. If you are not getting paid by the hour now, look into it.

I predict Flash will come to the iPad and iPhone this year. Somehow. There will be a "breakthrough."

Personal? More small vacations. I liked that. Biz, good stuff. I expect my one man consulting firm to pull in six figures for the first time.



 10:03 pm on Dec 27, 2010 (gmt 0)

Do go back and read the predictions for this year. Great stuff.

But, I have to say..., FourDegreez, whoa! Impressive.
(middle of the page)

Overall, the one prediction kept surfacing was that Google would become more powerful and more untrusted this year. And I think that turned out to be true.


 9:00 am on Dec 28, 2010 (gmt 0)

Oops. I got it all wrong for 2010. I didn't even gain the five kilo in weight as I predicted.


 1:49 pm on Dec 28, 2010 (gmt 0)

Personal? More small vacations. I liked that.

Coincidental - my plan is more small vacations this year as well. We're fortunate to live within an easy commute to real wilderness and enjoy it. We're looking at doing more weekends camping in the remote bush. Easy, fun, inexpensive and very relaxing.

I'm horrible at trend predictions (actually, I'm extremely accurate at being 100% wrong) but businesswise, I withdrew one aspect of my business from the US completely in 2010. In 20111 I am going to reenter the US with a different aspect of my business. And I'm looking to dominate adwords in my niche this year as well.


 1:36 am on Dec 29, 2010 (gmt 0)

that "social media" term really irritates me, everytime i hear some guy talking about how he is going to get SOME HUGE AMOUNT of free traffic using "social media" i want to slap them in the face.

bing picks up traffic
windows phone gains past android
goog starts to lose marketshare


 12:09 pm on Dec 29, 2010 (gmt 0)

Here are my predictions for 2011.

1) There will be a crash in Social Media stocks. This social media thing is getting out of hand, with to many players and relativly new start-ups selling for billions. Expect a major correction in 2011.

2) The Yahoo-MSN PPC marriage will yield little fruit. Google controls the PPC market, and in 2010 the MSN - Yahoo marriage has done little to boost marketshare. Expect MSN to buy out Yahoo Search altogether as Yahoo continues to circle the drain.

3) One of the big non-stories of 2011 will do with Wikileaks. Expect this story to die in the media. Assange will not be charged in the USA, as they don't have a hope in hell to get a conviction. The major media has already begun to ignore recent wikileaks as old news in placing the stories on the analog equivalent of the 25th page.


 5:03 pm on Dec 29, 2010 (gmt 0)

I predict lawman will continue moderating Foo during 2011. I further predict I will have to edit the usual suspects as well as a few newcomers. :)


 8:12 pm on Dec 29, 2010 (gmt 0)

1. Net Neutrality legislation will have a huge negative impact on free VOIP providers. The small- to mid-sized webmaster won't be noticeably affected.

2. The Bing/Yahoo partnership will gain incremental market share, but not much.

3. Facebook will announce an IPO. The stock price will open higher than expectations and increase steadily from there.

4. China will ultimately agree to untie their currency from the US dollar. US imports from China will begin to decrease, a trend that will last for at least 10 years.


 3:06 pm on Dec 30, 2010 (gmt 0)

I predict lawman will continue moderating Foo during 2011. I further predict I will have to edit the usual suspects as well as a few newcomers. :)

If I don't get posts deleted once in a while, I'm not pushing hard enough.

And I've been delinquent in that respect lately. I'll try to get back in form for 2011.


 2:00 pm on Dec 31, 2010 (gmt 0)

The lack of predictions thus far isn't surprising to me. It looks as if 2011 is not going to be a year of big shake-ups, but instead pulling some of these technologies, such as mobile and video, into practical, everyday use.


 4:29 pm on Dec 31, 2010 (gmt 0)

My predictions last year were totally off. Spam actually decreased, and none of the things I predicted happened. Except one - Amazon did have its best year ever.

Heed my predictions for 2011:

1) Energy consumption per capita in Canada/USA will go down slightly
2) Nuclear disaster in Asia, on the scale of Chernobyl
3) Major political figure will die in a shocking way
4) Parts of the southern USA will run out of water
5) Scientists will begin trials of the stem cell cure for HIV in Africa
6) We'll notice something unexpected in outer space
7) A notable species of large mammal will go extinct
8) A major uprising in Urban Agriculture and Backyard farming all over North America
9) A has-been 1980's pop star will shock the world by making a massive comeback
10) Accuracy distribution of my random guesses will miraculously conform to a Bell curve


 4:42 pm on Dec 31, 2010 (gmt 0)

USA from my neck of the wood in CT
Regular 87 @ $5 per gal is coming soon

As every morning, first thing first -> gym; needed to fill it up, my station had it for 3.10, back from the gym it was already 3.13!
even if cars were able to run 100 miles/ 1 gal they'll find a way to make it $100 per gal :)


 5:42 pm on Dec 31, 2010 (gmt 0)

The idea of "water wars" (reflecting the increasing need for drinkable/fresh clean water for survival) will become less ridiculous.


 9:21 pm on Dec 31, 2010 (gmt 0)


1) The year Google Travel gets launched. Expect a huge shift in the balance of power in the travel sector, both online and offline. There will be huge collateral damage as Google moves to increase their profits for share holder gains.

2) The words "web" and "internet" will be replaced by the words "Google" and "Facebook". eg... "I found it on the web" becomes "I found it on Google" and "I saw it on the internet" becomes ""I saw it on Facebook"

3) Expect announcements/hints of future Google initiatives.

- Google Destination Guides (natural extension of Google Travel that opens up a whole new Adwords market)
- Google Insurance (will include travel insurance and be connected to Google Travel and Google Destinations)
- Google Car Yard (online vehicle sales)
- Google Real Estate (online property sales.. natural extension of Google Places/Maps)

OK... a bit tongue in cheek I have to admit, but none of the above would surprise me one little bit as Google marches onwards to towards total web domination.


 10:13 pm on Dec 31, 2010 (gmt 0)

windows phone gains past android

Made me LOL because my prediction was that Android would become the dominant phone OS and major iPhone developers will start to jump all over Android like hair on soap as more carrier billing options materialize for the Android Market as an option to Google Checkout.

FWIW, I think Windows will never be a dominant player in the phone market unless they go open source for the whole mess. They had the initial market dominance for smart phones and threw it away. I don't think the market is willing to risk resources (that could be used making money in established markets) will giving them a second chance. The only play they really have now is the cool integration with Ford cars, that's where they have a major place to play if they don't blow it. again.


 10:55 pm on Dec 31, 2010 (gmt 0)

yes yes I know you love android.

haah gota throw it out there though, goog needs a good kick to the nuts.


 4:45 am on Jan 1, 2011 (gmt 0)

I think Google's going to run into a lot of legal problems in 2011.


 7:48 am on Jan 1, 2011 (gmt 0)

Hmm....ok, I'll take a few guesses on what the New Year holds for 2011, for both online and off.

1. Google will begin to lose just a bit of market share, but will remain by far the "top dog" in search due to a simple lack of competitors. Bing is good, but not "so good" that it will make Google go away anytime soon.
2. Social Media will reach it's peak sometime this year - then begin to fade into 2012 as "something else" replaces it.
3. Mobile web will become increasingly important for site owners - even content oriented sites like mine will need a "re-do" for at least some sections.
4. US Stock Market will be about where it is now, +/- 5%
5. Canada and Australia will see the beginning of their housing bubble crashes.
6. Twitter will start to fade in popularity, usurped by something else or Twitters drive to monetize will turn away users (as a personal note, I really dislike Twitter so I am biased).
7. The New York Times experiment with their upcoming pay wall will come to a quiet end by the end of 2011 or the beginning of 2012.
8. The US Economy will sort of limp along as it has for much of 2010. Unemployment remains very high by end of the year (9%+).
9. Online sales continue to eat away at brick and mortar sales. Amazon continues to gain market share.
10. Microsoft finally takes over Yahoo in a bid well-below what they offered previously.
11. Big problems in the publishing industry as ebooks finally cause the traditional print publishing industry to start to crumble.
12. Gas prices are going to get real high this summer, approaching $4 a gallon or perhaps even higher....
13...Which is a bummer, since it's going to make my 3 month summer vacation and 3 month "work vacation" this spring/fall much more expensive!


 8:11 am on Jan 1, 2011 (gmt 0)

I predict:

- Facebook entering search this year or I'll chop off my right hand on December 31.

- Another Mayday. Actually is starting already.

- JD sues Google due to antitrust issues.


 3:11 pm on Jan 2, 2011 (gmt 0)

1. Google becomes more unpopular with webmasters
2. Google continues changing search results page every week
3. Bing Yahoo growth stalls
4. Mobile browsers get better at displaying "normal" content
5. More sites try charging for content but revenues are too low.
6. Adsense publishers complain about falling income
7. Amazon changes the style of it's website
8. Amazon takes over several other online retailers
9. Msoft launch bid for Adobe
10. Apple Corp changes it's name to icorp


 6:03 pm on Jan 2, 2011 (gmt 0)

I predict three hundred and sixty five (point 2422...) days in 2011 with only one of them being today on each day. Also, people all over the world will eat up other people's marketing budgets and make money using search engines. I also foresee search engines making money. There will be lots of money for everyone! Finally, I predicts hoards of fly-by-night link nectar scheming strategists infesting the search engine results pages with their pumped-up garbage.


 7:50 pm on Jan 2, 2011 (gmt 0)

>>12. Gas prices are going to get real high this summer, approaching $4 a gallon or perhaps even higher....

in the uk we are already paying twice that!


 3:23 pm on Jan 3, 2011 (gmt 0)

Looks like 2011 is going to be boring. That's fine with me.


 11:57 pm on Jan 3, 2011 (gmt 0)

Apple to bring out another iphone for all the brain-washed addicts to feed on, while announcing plans for a newer one..and one soon after that.

[edited by: lawman at 12:56 am (utc) on Jan 4, 2011]


 4:45 am on Jan 4, 2011 (gmt 0)

The Government and Technology in 2011

Our friends in Washington will try to pass some broad legislation to limit the use of handheld devices dependent on the user’s state of motion and the rate of speed of that motion.

The meaning of the word “motion” will be highly debated and will consume a vast amount of the legislator’s time.

The idea of taxing emails with resurface, congressional aides push the issue by texting like minded constituents and lobbyists. The new tax will be enacted, in a late night session, attached to the “handheld devices in motion” act of 2011.

In a desperate search for additional revenues, a federal sales tax on online purchases will be seriously debated. Related, discussions will be held regarding the downloading and updating of drivers and if that activity should or could be considered as a “value added function” and be taxable.

A new federal tax is enacted, taxing online purchases. The taxing of downloading drivers is excluded because of lengthy arguments in the House on the meaning of “a value added function”.


 8:24 pm on Jan 4, 2011 (gmt 0)

I predict that Smartphones will replace Desktop Computers. Really. I got one two weeks ago, and what can I say - if I could plug in my Microsoft Natural Keyboard a mouse and two 24'' monitors I would hardly miss my Desktop Computer. We are almost there....


 10:24 am on Jan 5, 2011 (gmt 0)

- G will develop voiceover search, because searches are just too lazy to type.
- G will change SERP on a daily and even hourly basis to give user variety, but this will backfire and users will turn to bing.
- Image search will be the next big thing
- Spammers will continue to win new territories on SE and legit webmasters will look for a day job.
- Every man and his dog will have a tablet, but they won't know what to do with it.
- Facebook will get hacked many times by various state sponsored cyber attacks
- 3D TV will be a miserable failure
- Weather will get worse people will start stocking food on monthly basis
- Yahoo! and Nokia CEO will be sacked


 10:37 am on Jan 5, 2011 (gmt 0)

>>I predict that Smartphones will replace Desktop Computers. Really. I got one two weeks ago, and what can I say - if I could plug in my Microsoft Natural Keyboard a mouse and two 24'' monitors I would hardly miss my Desktop Computer. We are almost there....

That would be ace, my Sony Ericsson X10 has a processor the same clock speed as my first PC, so once they hit the 1GB mark, which I think is achievable, we could carry our PC's around with us and just 'doc' them when required. That I like!

>>- Facebook will get hacked many times by various state sponsored cyber attacks
>>- 3D TV will be a miserable failure

I HATE facebook, and 3D tv is old hat, 30 year cycle's then it's forgotten about...

But, this year, I hope will see reliable and *cheaper* internet prices from ISP's that don't have hidden charges.

And I may try skype - hear a lot about it, but never used it.



 5:20 pm on Jan 6, 2011 (gmt 0)

Here's what I think will begin in 2011:
1) Facebook will get local, supporting such activities as block watch, tool lending etc.
2) Facebook will develop an online community bank and put a bunch of competitive Washington Mutual executives back to work.
3) Google will extend its competencies and systems to update the transportation sector with a blue ocean concept that responds to climate change and serves its core business.
4) Microsoft will release a new hosted product based on SharePoint to enable more efficient and effective government where jurisdictions overlap in geography and purpose.
5) Microsoft and Google will release translation tools and API's to support real-time trans-national communication and language learning while improving accuracy with crowd-sourced correction data. Facebook will evaluate which to license.


 4:47 pm on Jan 8, 2011 (gmt 0)

I predict that Smartphones will replace Desktop Computers. Really. I got one two weeks ago, and what can I say - if I could plug in my Microsoft Natural Keyboard a mouse and two 24'' monitors I would hardly miss my Desktop Computer. We are almost there....

eh, this all really comes down to what you use your computer for....and lets not look at clock speed as just a number. A 1ghz phone processor cannot be compared to a desktop processor.

im not going to edit audio, or render video on my phone, it would melt and explode....or take the rest of my life.

its a tool, not a replacement for anything.

for me, nothing will ever replace a power house machine with multiple LCDs... I'm a creator, not a consumer.

This 32 message thread spans 2 pages: 32 ( [1] 2 > >
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